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We provide a novel method for sensitivity analysis of parametric robust Markov chains. These models incorporate parameters and sets of probability distributions to alleviate the often unrealistic assumption that precise probabilities are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Thom Badings , Sebastian Junges , Ahmadreza Marandi , Ufuk Topcu , Nils Jansen

Probabilistic model checking computes probabilities and expected values related to designated behaviours of interest in Markov models. As a formal verification approach, it is applied to critical systems; thus we trust that probabilistic…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Arnd Hartmanns

Finite element model updating is challenging because 1) the problem is oftentimes underdetermined while the measurements are limited and/or incomplete; 2) many combinations of parameters may yield responses that are similar with respect to…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-28 Kai Zhou , Jiong Tang

In this work we introduce a new and richer class of finite order Markov chain models and address the following model selection problem: find the Markov model with the minimal set of parameters (minimal Markov model) which is necessary to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-04 Jesus E. Garcia Veronica A. Gonzalez-Lopez

State-of-the-art probabilistic model checkers perform verification on explicit-state Markov models defined in a high-level programming formalism like the PRISM modeling language. Typically, the low-level models resulting from such…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-11-15 Tobias Winkler , Johannes Lehmann , Joost-Pieter Katoen

This paper poses a theoretical characterization of the stochastic reachability problem in terms of probability measures, capturing the probability measure of the state of the system that satisfies the reachability specification for all…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Karthik Sivaramakrishnan , Vignesh Sivaramakrishnan , Rosalyn Alex Devonport , Meeko M. K. Oishi

This paper considers large families of Markov chains (MCs) that are defined over a set of parameters with finite discrete domains. Such families occur in software product lines, planning under partial observability, and sketching of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Milan Ceska , Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen

A labelled Markov decision process is a labelled Markov chain with nondeterminism, i.e., together with a strategy a labelled MDP induces a labelled Markov chain. The model is related to interval Markov chains. Motivated by applications of…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-25 Stefan Kiefer , Qiyi Tang

This is a preliminary version of visual interpretation integrating multiple sensors in SUCCESSOR, an intelligent, model-based vision system. We pursue a thorough integration of hierarchical Bayesian inference with comprehensive physical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Thomas O. Binford , Tod S. Levitt , Wallace B. Mann

This paper presents a novel theoretical Monte Carlo Markov chain procedure in the framework of graphs. It specifically deals with the construction of a Markov chain whose empirical distribution converges to a given reference one. The Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Roy Cerqueti , Emilio De Santis

This paper presents McNetKAT, a scalable tool for verifying probabilistic network programs. McNetKAT is based on a new semantics for the guarded and history-free fragment of Probabilistic NetKAT in terms of finite-state, absorbing Markov…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2019-04-18 Steffen Smolka , Praveen Kumar , David M Kahn , Nate Foster , Justin Hsu , Dexter Kozen , Alexandra Silva

Solving partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) with high dimensional and continuous observations, such as camera images, is required for many real life robotics and planning problems. Recent researches suggested machine…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Idan Lev-Yehudi , Moran Barenboim , Vadim Indelman

This paper studies the estimation of low-rank Markov chains from empirical trajectories. We propose a non-convex estimator based on rank-constrained likelihood maximization. Statistical upper bounds are provided for the Kullback-Leiber…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-20 Xudong Li , Mengdi Wang , Anru Zhang

We exhibit an efficient procedure for testing, based on a single long state sequence, whether an unknown Markov chain is identical to or $\varepsilon$-far from a given reference chain. We obtain nearly matching (up to logarithmic factors)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-26 Geoffrey Wolfer , Aryeh Kontorovich

Opacity is a generic security property, that has been defined on (non probabilistic) transition systems and later on Markov chains with labels. For a secret predicate, given as a subset of runs, and a function describing the view of an…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2014-09-02 Béatrice Bérard , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Nathalie Sznajder

We derive an algorithm to compute satisfiability bounds for arbitrary {\omega}-regular properties in an Interval-valued Markov Chain (IMC) interpreted in the adversarial sense. IMCs generalize regular Markov Chains by assigning a range of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-09-18 Maxence Dutreix , Samuel Coogan

We consider the problem of testing the identity of a reversible Markov chain against a reference from a single trajectory of observations. Employing the recently introduced notion of a lumping-congruent Markov embedding, we show that, at…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-17 Geoffrey Wolfer , Shun Watanabe

In this paper, we propose an approximating framework for analyzing parametric Markov models. Instead of computing complex rational functions encoding the reachability probability and the reward values of the parametric model, we exploit the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Ying Liu , Andrea Turrini , Moritz Hahn , Bai Xue , Lijun Zhang

Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) provide a modeling framework for a variety of sequential decision making under uncertainty scenarios in artificial intelligence (AI). Since the states are not directly observable in a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-05-21 Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Nils Jansen , Bo Wu , Ufuk Topcu

Statistical inference methods are fundamentally important in machine learning. Most state-of-the-art inference algorithms are variants of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) or variational inference (VI). However, both methods struggle with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-17 Yichuan Zhang , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato