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We develop a fully Bayesian, logistic tracking algorithm with the purpose of providing classification results that are unbiased when applied uniformly to individuals with differing sensitive variable values. Here, we consider bias in the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-02 Martin B. Short , George O. Mohler

This textbook provides a systematic treatment of statistical machine learning for astronomical research through the lens of Bayesian inference, developing a unified framework that reveals connections between modern data analysis techniques…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-06-17 Yuan-Sen Ting

With the aid of the All Sky Automated Survey (ASAS) database on the Galactic field, we compare the iron abundances of fundamental mode RR Lyrae stars derived from the Fourier parameters with those obtained from low-dispersion spectroscopy.…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 Geza Kovacs

RR Lyrae stars may be the best practical tracers of Galactic halo (sub-)structure and kinematics. The PanSTARRS1 (PS1) $3\pi$ survey offers multi-band, multi-epoch, precise photometry across much of the sky, but a robust identification of…

We aim to extend and test the classifiers presented in a previous work against an independent dataset. We complement the assessment of the validity of the classifiers by applying them to the set of OGLE light curves treated as variable…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 L. M. Sarro , J. Debosscher , M. Lopez , C. Aerts

Bayesian model selection provides a powerful and mathematically transparent framework to tackle hypothesis testing, such as detection tests of gravitational waves emitted during the coalescence of binary systems using ground-based laser…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-11-13 John Veitch , Alberto Vecchio

Data augmentation is often used to incorporate inductive biases into models. Traditionally, these are hand-crafted and tuned with cross validation. The Bayesian paradigm for model selection provides a path towards end-to-end learning of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-02 Pola Schwöbel , Martin Jørgensen , Sebastian W. Ober , Mark van der Wilk

The Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) will open a new observational window in the millihertz gravitational-wave band, enabling the detection of tens of thousands of compact stellar remnant binaries across the Milky Way. Most of…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2026-03-09 Irwin Khai Cheng Tay , Valeriya Korol , Thibault Lechien

In this experiment, we created a Multiple-Input Neural Network, consisting of Convolutional and Multi-layer Neural Networks. With this setup the selected highest-performing neural network was able to distinguish variable stars based on the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-10-26 T. Szklenár , A. Bódi , D. Tarczay-Nehéz , K. Vida , Gy. Mező , R. Szabó

In this paper, we study the accuracy of values aggregated over classes predicted by a classification algorithm. The problem is that the resulting aggregates (e.g., sums of a variable) are known to be biased. The bias can be large even for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-02 Q. A. Meertens , C. G. H. Diks , H. J. van den Herik , F W Takes

Integrative analyses based on statistically relevant associations between genomics and a wealth of intermediary phenotypes (such as imaging) provide vital insights into their clinical relevance in terms of the disease mechanisms. Estimates…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-16 Snigdha Panigrahi , Shariq Mohammed , Arvind Rao , Veerabhadran Baladandayuthapani

Classifying variable stars is crucial for advancing our understanding of stellar evolution and dynamics. As large-scale surveys generate increasing volumes of light curve data, the demand for automated and reliable classification techniques…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-19 Almat Akhmetali , Alisher Zhunuskanov , Timur Namazbayev , Marat Zaidyn , Aknur Sakan , Dana Turlykozhayeva , Nurzhan Ussipov

The problem of identifying the most discriminating features when performing supervised learning has been extensively investigated. In particular, several methods for variable selection in model-based classification have been proposed.…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-16 Andrea Cappozzo , Francesca Greselin , Thomas Brendan Murphy

Among the tens of thousands of known RR Lyrae stars there are only a handful that show indications of possible binarity. The question why this is the case is still unsolved, and has recently sparked several studies dedicated to the search…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-12-04 Elisabeth Guggenberger , Thomas G. Barnes , Katrien Kolenberg

Training data plays an essential role in modern applications of machine learning. However, gathering labeled training data is time-consuming. Therefore, labeling is often outsourced to less experienced users, or completely automated. This…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Alex Bäuerle , Heiko Neumann , Timo Ropinski

We discuss Bayesian inference for parameters selected using the data. First, we provide a critical analysis of the existing positions in the literature regarding the correct Bayesian approach under selection. Second, we propose two types of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-12 Daniel G. Rasines , G. Alastair Young

We present results of using a basic binary classification neural network model to identify likely catastrophic outlier photometric redshift estimates of individual galaxies, based only on the galaxies' measured photometric band magnitude…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-03-30 J. Singal , G. Silverman , E. Jones , T. Do , B. Boscoe , Y. Wan

We propose a new model selection method, the posterior averaging information criterion, for Bayesian model assessment from a predictive perspective. The theoretical foundation is built on the Kullback-Leibler divergence to quantify the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Shouhao Zhou

The information criterion for determining the number of explanatory variables in a subset regression modeling is discussed. Information criterion such as AIC is effective and frequently used in model selection for ordinary regression models…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Genshiro Kitagawa

The development of synoptic sky surveys has led to a massive amount of data for which resources needed for analysis are beyond human capabilities. To process this information and to extract all possible knowledge, machine learning…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-05-29 Isadora Nun , Karim Pichara , Pavlos Protopapas , Dae-Won Kim
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