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There is little doubt in scientific circles that--counting from the origin of life towards today--evolution has led to an increase in the amount of information stored within the genomes of the biosphere. This trend of increasing information…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-19 Masoud Mirmomeni , William F. Punch , Christoph Adami

We investigate a pricing rule that is applicable for streams of income or contingent claim liabilities and study how this rule changes under additional insider-type information that an investor might obtain. Considering a model where the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-15 Philip A. Ernst , Oleksii Mostovyi

The fundamental principle in Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) is based on the quantification of the portfolio's risk related to performance. Although MPT has made huge impacts on the investment world and prompted the success and prevalence of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-15 Shi Yu , Haoran Wang , Chaosheng Dong

Individualized treatment effect lies at the heart of precision medicine. Interpretable individualized treatment rules (ITRs) are desirable for clinicians or policymakers due to their intuitive appeal and transparency. The gold-standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-20 Lili Wu , Shu Yang

We derive a closed-form expression capturing the degree of Relative Risk Aversion (RRA) of investors for non-"fair" lotteries. We argue that our formula is superior to earlier methods that have been proposed, as it is a function of only…

General Economics · Economics 2022-11-10 George Samartzis , Nikitas Pittis

Organizations investing in artificial intelligence face a fundamental challenge: traditional return on investment calculations fail to capture the dual nature of AI implementations, which simultaneously reduce certain operational risks…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Hernan Huwyler

This paper introduces a method for linking technological improvement rates (i.e. Moore's Law) and technology adoption curves (i.e. S-Curves). There has been considerable research surrounding Moore's Law and the generalized versions applied…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-05-17 Christopher L. Benson , Christopher L. Magee

In this paper, we present an adaptive investment strategy for environments with periodic returns on investment. In our approach, we consider an investment model where the agent decides at every time step the proportion of wealth to invest…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2008-12-01 J. -Emeterio Navarro

We investigate fundamental limits on the performance of information processing systems from the perspective of information thermodynamics. We first extend the thermodynamic uncertainty relation (TUR) to a subsystem. Specifically, for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-04 Tomohiro Tanogami , Tan Van Vu , Keiji Saito

Shareholders' expectations of stock returns and fluctuations are constantly changing due to restrictions in financial status and undesirable capital structure, which constrain managers to limit the changes in price trends in order to cover…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-12 Masoud Taherinia , Mehrdad Matin , Jamal Valipour , Kavian Abdolahi , Peyman Shouryabi , Mohammad Mahdi Barzegar

We present an experimental and simulated model of a multi-agent stock market driven by a double auction order matching mechanism. Studying the effect of cumulative information on the performance of traders, we find a non monotonic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Bence Toth , Enrico Scalas , Juergen Huber , Michael Kirchler

Recent development in the data-driven decision science has seen great advances in individualized decision making. Given data with individual covariates, treatment assignments and outcomes, policy makers best individualized treatment rule…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Weibin Mo , Zhengling Qi , Yufeng Liu

Online community platforms require dynamic personalized retrieval and recommendation that can continuously adapt to evolving user interests and new documents. However, optimizing models to handle such changes in real-time remains a major…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-05-07 Youngjune Lee , Haeyu Jeong , Changgeon Lim , Jeong Choi , Hongjun Lim , Hangon Kim , Jiyoon Kwon , Saehun Kim

In situations where it is difficult to enroll patients in randomized controlled trials, external data can improve efficiency and feasibility. In such cases, adaptive trial designs could be used to decrease enrollment in the control arm of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-02 Brian D. Segal , W. Katherine Tan

Activity classification has observed great success recently. The performance on small dataset is almost saturated and people are moving towards larger datasets. What leads to the performance gain on the model and what the model has learnt?…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-12-16 Jialing Lyu , Weichao Qiu , Xinyue Wei , Yi Zhang , Alan Yuille , Zheng-Jun Zha

This paper considers the optimal portfolio selection problem in a dynamic multi-period stochastic framework with regime switching. The risk preferences are of exponential (CARA) type with an absolute coefficient of risk aversion which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-02-25 Traian A Pirvu , Huayue Zhang

Using frequency distributions of daily closing price time series of several financial market indexes, we investigate whether the bias away from an equiprobable sequence distribution found in the data, predicted by algorithmic information…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-08-17 Hector Zenil , Jean-Paul Delahaye

An information based method for solving stochastic control problems with partial observation has been proposed. First, the information-theoretic lower bounds of the cost function has been analysed. It has been shown, under rather weak…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-21 Piotr Bania

We present a detailed study of the performance of a trading rule that uses moving average of past returns to predict future returns on stock indexes. Our main goal is to link performance and the stochastic process of the traded asset. Our…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-03 Fernando F. Ferreira , A. Christian Silva , Ju-Yi Yen

In nervous system information is conveyed by sequence of action potentials (spikes-trains). As MacKay and McCulloch proposed, spike-trains can be represented as bits sequences coming from Information Sources. Previously, we studied…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-03 Agnieszka Pregowska