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Decision-making from offline datasets typically warm-starts a policy or score model from fixed offline data and then refines it with limited online interaction. Offline data reduces uncertainty, but it does not remove the need for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Keru Chen

A principal who values an object allocates it to one or more agents. Agents learn private information (signals) from an information designer about the allocation payoff to the principal. Monetary transfer is not available but the principal…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-10-31 Yi-Chun Chen , Gaoji Hu , Xiangqian Yang

Information-theoretic (IT) measures are ubiquitous in artificial intelligence: entropy drives decision-tree splits and uncertainty quantification, cross-entropy is the default classification loss, mutual information underpins representation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Nikolaos Al. Papadopoulos , Konstantinos E. Psannis

We study the problem of generalizing an expert agent's behavior, provided through demonstrations, to new environments and/or additional constraints. Inverse Reinforcement Learning (IRL) offers a promising solution by seeking to recover the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Filippo Lazzati , Alberto Maria Metelli

Does the asymptotic variance of the maximum composite likelihood estimator of a parameter of interest always decrease when the nuisance parameters are known? Will a composite likelihood necessarily become more efficient by incorporating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-22 Ximing Xu , Nancy Reid , Libai Xu

We integrate information-theoretic concepts into the design and analysis of optimistic algorithms and Thompson sampling. By making a connection between information-theoretic quantities and confidence bounds, we obtain results that relate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-25 Xiuyuan Lu , Benjamin Van Roy

A decision maker is choosing between an active action (e.g., purchase a house, invest certain stock) and a passive action. The payoff of the active action depends on the buyer's private type and also an unknown state of nature. An…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Shuze Liu , Weiran Shen , Haifeng Xu

Identifying the most suitable variables to represent the state is a fundamental challenge in Reinforcement Learning (RL). These variables must efficiently capture the information necessary for making optimal decisions. In order to address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Charles Westphal , Stephen Hailes , Mirco Musolesi

The growth rate of organisms depends both on external conditions and on internal states, such as the expression levels of various genes. We show that to achieve a criterion mean growth rate over an ensemble of conditions, the internal…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-12-31 Samuel F. Taylor , Naftali Tishby , William Bialek

We study the pricing of credit derivatives with asymmetric information. The managers have complete information on the value process of the firm and on the default threshold, while the investors on the market have only partial observations,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-18 Caroline Hillairet , Ying Jiao

When we implement a portfolio selection methodology under a mean-risk formulation, it is essential to correctly model investors' risk aversion which may be time-dependent, or even state-dependent during the investment procedure. In this…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-04 Xiangyu Cui , Xun Li , Duan Li , Yun Shi

We propose a data-driven portfolio selection model that integrates side information, conditional estimation and robustness using the framework of distributionally robust optimization. Conditioning on the observed side information, the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-10 Viet Anh Nguyen , Fan Zhang , Shanshan Wang , Jose Blanchet , Erick Delage , Yinyu Ye

In the presence of ambiguity on the driving force of market randomness, we consider the dynamic portfolio choice without any predetermined investment horizon. The investment criteria is formulated as a robust forward performance process,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-23 Qian Lin , Xianming Sun , Chao Zhou

Information theory is widely accepted as a powerful tool for analyzing complex systems and it has been applied in many disciplines. Recently, some central components of information theory - multivariate information measures - have found…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-08-30 Nicholas Timme , Wesley Alford , Benjamin Flecker , John M. Beggs

We examine the dynamics of informational efficiency in a market with asymmetrically informed, boundedly rational traders who adaptively learn optimal strategies using simple multiarmed bandit (MAB) algorithms. The strategies available to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-11-11 Aleksei Pastushkov

As financial instruments grow in complexity more and more information is neglected by risk optimization practices. This brings down a curtain of opacity on the origination of risk, that has been one of the main culprits in the 2007-2008…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-23 Marco Bardoscia , Daniele d'Arienzo , Matteo Marsili , Valerio Volpati

The maximal information coefficient (MIC), which measures the amount of dependence between two variables, is able to detect both linear and non-linear associations. However, computational cost grows rapidly as a function of the dataset…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-08-18 Ali Mousavi , Richard G. Baraniuk

This paper investigates a novel behavioral feature of recursive preferences: aversion to risks that persist over time, or simply \textit{correlation aversion}. Greater persistence provides information about future consumption but reduces…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-24 Lorenzo Maria Stanca

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is a crucial task in web search, recommender systems, and online advertisement displaying. In practical application, CTR models often serve with high-speed user-generated data streams, whose underlying…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Congcong Liu , Yuejiang Li , Fei Teng , Xiwei Zhao , Changping Peng , Zhangang Lin , Jinghe Hu , Jingping Shao

An investor with constant relative risk aversion and an infinite planning horizon trades a risky and a safe asset with constant investment opportunities, in the presence of small transaction costs and a binding exogenous portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-09 Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Ren Liu
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