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We consider continuous-time diffusion models driven by fractional Brownian motion. Observations are assumed to possess a non-trivial likelihood given the latent path. Due to the non-Markovianity and high-dimensionality of the latent paths,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-25 Alexandros Beskos , Joseph Dureau , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

Large deviation results are given for a class of perturbed nonhomogeneous Markov chains on finite state space which formally includes some stochastic optimization algorithms. Specifically, let {P_n} be a sequence of transition matrices on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zach Dietz , Sunder Sethuraman

We provide a new approach for proving the indistinguishability of connected components of random one-or-two-ended oriented forests on unimodular random graphs. In particular, this approach leads to a new and simpler proof for the wired…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Francois Baccelli , Ali Khezeli

For ${1/2}<\alpha<1$, we propose the MDP analysis for family $$ S^\alpha_n=\frac{1}{n^\alpha}\sum_{i=1}^nH(X_{i-1}), n\ge 1, $$ where $(X_n)_{n\ge 0}$ be a homogeneous ergodic Markov chain, $X_n\in \mathbb{R}^d$, when the spectrum of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 B. Delyon , A. Juditsky , R. Liptser

This paper establishes the rate region for a class of source coding function computation setups where sources of information are available at the nodes of a tree and where a function of these sources must be computed at the root. The rate…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-04-08 Milad Sefidgaran , Aslan Tchamkerten

Measure-valued Markov chains have raised interest in Bayesian nonparametrics since the seminal paper by (Math. Proc. Cambridge Philos. Soc. 105 (1989) 579--585) where a Markov chain having the law of the Dirichlet process as unique…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-27 Stefano Favaro , Alessandra Guglielmi , Stephen G. Walker

Triplet Markov chains are general generative models for sequential data which take into account three kinds of random variables: (noisy) observations, their associated discrete labels and latent variables which aim at strengthening the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-08 Katherine Morales , Yohan Petetin

In this paper, we study the averaging principle and central limit theorem for multi-scale stochastic differential equations with state-dependent switching. To accomplish this, we first study the Poisson equation associated with a Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Xiaobin Sun , Yingchao Xie

We are interested in the dynamic of a structured branching population where the trait of each individual moves according to a Markov process. The rate of division of each individual is a function of its trait and when a branching event…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Aline Marguet

This paper considers stochastic-constrained stochastic optimization where the stochastic constraint is to satisfy that the expectation of a random function is below a certain threshold. In particular, we study the setting where data samples…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Yeongjong Kim , Dabeen Lee

Stick-breaking has a long history and is one of the most popular procedures for constructing random discrete distributions in Statistics and Machine Learning. In particular, due to their intuitive construction and computational tractability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 María F. Gil-Leyva , Antonio Lijoi , Ramsés H. Mena , Igor Prünster

In this article, we propose a least squares method for the estimation of the transition density in bifurcating Markov models. Unlike the kernel estimation, this method do not use the quotient which can be a source of errors. In order to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-17 S. Valère Bitseki Penda

This paper considers functional central limit theorems for stationary absolutely regular mixing processes. Bounds for the entropy with bracketing are derived using recent results in Nickl and P\"otscher (2007). More specifically, their…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-27 Guido M. Kuersteiner

The recently established spectral Favard theorem for bounded banded matrices admitting a positive bidiagonal factorization is applied to a broader class of Markov chains with bounded banded transition matrices, extending beyond the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Amílcar Branquinho , Ana Foulquié-Moreno , Manuel Mañas

Extensions of Kemeny's constant, as derived for irreducible finite Markov chains in discrete time, to Markov renewal processes and Markov chains in continuous time are discussed. Three alternative Kemeny's functions and their variants are…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-17 Jeffrey J Hunter

The tail chain of a Markov chain can be used to model the dependence between extreme observations. For a positive recurrent Markov chain, the tail chain aids in describing the limit of a sequence of point processes $\{N_n,n\geq1\}$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-01 Sidney I. Resnick , David Zeber

We consider processes which are functions of finite-state Markov chains. It is well known that such processes are rarely Markov. However, such processes are often regular in the following sense: the distant past values of the process have…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Steven Berghout , Evgeny Verbitskiy

We introduce a Markov product structure for multivariate tail dependence functions, building upon the well-known Markov product for copulas. We investigate algebraic and monotonicity properties of this new product as well as its role in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-21 Karl Friedrich Siburg , Christopher Strothmann

Conformal prediction is a widely used method to quantify the uncertainty of a classifier under the assumption of exchangeability (e.g., IID data). We generalize conformal prediction to the Hidden Markov Model (HMM) framework where the…

Adaptive and interacting Markov Chains Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are a novel class of non-Markovian algorithms aimed at improving the simulation efficiency for complicated target distributions. In this paper, we study a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-15 Gersende Fort , Eric Moulines , Pierre Priouret , Pierre Vandekerkhove