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Bifurcating Markov chains (BMC) are Markov chains indexed by a full binary tree representing the evolution of a trait along a population where each individual has two children. We provide a central limit theorem for general additive…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-02 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Jean-François Delmas

Bifurcating Markov chains (BMC) are Markov chains indexed by a full binary tree representing the evolution of a trait along a population where each individual has two children. We provide a central limit theorem for additive functionals of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-16 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Jean-François Delmas

Bitseki and Delmas (2021) have studied recently the central limit theorem for kernel estimator of invariant density in bifurcating Markov chains models. We complete their work by proving a moderate deviation principle for this estimator.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-03 S. Valère Bitseki Penda

The main objective of this article is to establish a central limit theorem for additive three-variable functionals of bifurcating Markov chains. We thus extend the central limit theorem under point-wise ergodic conditions studied in…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-04 S. Valère Bitseki Penda

In a first part, we prove Bernstein-type deviation inequalities for bifurcating Markov chains (BMC) under a geometric ergodicity assumption, completing former results of Guyon and Bitseki Penda, Djellout and Guillin. These preliminary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-11 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Marc Hoffmann , Adélaïde Olivier

The density-dependent Markov chain (DDMC) introduced in \cite{Kurtz1978} is a continuous time Markov process applied in fields such as epidemics, chemical reactions and so on. In this paper, we give moderate deviation principles of paths of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Xiaofeng Xue

Bifurcating Markov chains (BMC) are Markov chains indexed by a full binary tree representing the evolution of a trait along a population where each individual has two children. Motivated by the functional estimation of the density of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-17 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Jean-François Delmas

First, under a geometric ergodicity assumption, we provide some limit theorems and some probability inequalities for the bifurcating Markov chains (BMC). The BMC model was introduced by Guyon to detect cellular aging from cell lineage, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-20 Valère Bitseki Penda , Hacène Djellout , Arnaud Guillin

In this paper we are concerned with hitting times of a family of density-dependent Markov chains. A moderate deviation principle of the hitting time is given. The proof of the main theorem relies heavily on moderate deviations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-15 Yuheng He , Xiaofeng Xue

We propose a general method to study dependent data in a binary tree, where an individual in one generation gives rise to two different offspring, one of type 0 and one of type 1, in the next generation. For any specific characteristic of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Julien Guyon

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the deviation inequalities and the moderate deviation principle of the least squares estimators of the unknown parameters of general $p$th-order bifurcating autoregressive processes, under…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-12 Hacène Djellout , Valère Bitseki Penda

In this paper we derive the moderate deviation principle for stationary sequences of bounded random variables under martingale-type conditions. Applications to functions of $\phi$-mixing sequences, contracting Markov chains, expanding maps…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-27 Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad , Sergey Utev

We consider Markov chains which are polynomially mixing, in a weak sense expressed in terms of the space of functions on which the mixing speed is controlled. In this context, we prove polynomial large and moderate deviations inequalities.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-22 J Dedecker , Sébastien Gouëzel , F Merlevède

We investigate the parameter recovery of Markov-switching ordinary differential processes from discrete observations, where the differential equations are nonlinear additive models. This framework has been widely applied in biological…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Katherine Tsai , Mladen Kolar , Sanmi Koyejo

A discrete-time Markov chain can be transformed into a new Markov chain by looking at its states along iterations of an almost surely finite stopping time. By the optional stopping theorem, any bounded harmonic function with respect to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Iddo Ben-Ari , Behrang Forghani

We study properties of the Laplace transforms of non-negative additive functionals of Markov chains. We are namely interested in a multiplicative ergodicity property used in [18] to study bifurcating processes with ancestral dependence. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-11 Loïc Hervé , Françoise Pène

We derive some key extremal features for $k$th order Markov chains that can be used to understand how the process moves between an extreme state and the body of the process. The chains are studied given that there is an exceedance of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Adrian Casey , Jonathan A. Tawn

By comparing the original equations with the corresponding stationary ones, the moderate deviation principle (MDP) is established for unbounded additive functionals of several different models of distribution dependent SDEs, with…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-26 Panpan Ren , Shen Wang

We consider a sequence of additive functionals {\phi_n}, set on a sequence of Markov chains {X_n} that weakly converges to a Markov process X. We give sufficient condition for such a sequence to converge in distribution, formulated in terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yuri N. Kartashov , Alexey M. Kulik

We study the large deviations of Markov chains under the sole assumption that the state space is discrete. In particular, we do not require any of the usual irreducibility and exponential tightness assumptions. Using subadditive arguments,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Léo Daures
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