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Gradient Boosting Machines (GBM) are hugely popular for solving tabular data problems. However, practitioners are not only interested in point predictions, but also in probabilistic predictions in order to quantify the uncertainty of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Olivier Sprangers , Sebastian Schelter , Maarten de Rijke

This paper proposes a hybrid framework combining LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) networks with LightGBM and CatBoost for stock price prediction. The framework processes time-series financial data and evaluates performance using seven models:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Chang Yu , Fang Liu , Jie Zhu , Shaobo Guo , Yifan Gao , Zhongheng Yang , Meiwei Liu , Qianwen Xing

Gradient boosting for decision tree algorithms are increasingly used in actuarial applications as they show superior predictive performance over traditional generalised linear models. Many enhancements to the first gradient boosting machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-05 Dominik Chevalier , Marie-Pier Côté

Gradient tree boosting is a prediction algorithm that sequentially produces a model in the form of linear combinations of decision trees, by solving an infinite-dimensional optimization problem. We combine gradient boosting and Nesterov's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-07 Gérard Biau , Benoît Cadre , Laurent Rouvìère

This work explores the use of gradient boosting in the context of classification. Four popular implementations, including original GBM algorithm and selected state-of-the-art gradient boosting frameworks (i.e. XGBoost, LightGBM and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-29 Piotr Florek , Adam Zagdański

XGBoost is a scalable ensemble technique based on gradient boosting that has demonstrated to be a reliable and efficient machine learning challenge solver. This work proposes a practical analysis of how this novel technique works in terms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-05 Candice Bentéjac , Anna Csörgő , Gonzalo Martínez-Muñoz

Knowing the actual precipitation in space and time is critical in hydrological modelling applications, yet the spatial coverage with rain gauge stations is limited due to economic constraints. Gridded satellite precipitation datasets offer…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-04 Hristos Tyralis , Georgia Papacharalampous , Nikolaos Doulamis , Anastasios Doulamis

As the availability, size and complexity of data have increased in recent years, machine learning (ML) techniques have become popular for modeling. Predictions resulting from applying ML models are often used for inference, decision-making,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-25 Xiaozhe Yin , Masoud Fallah-Shorshani , Rob McConnell , Scott Fruin , Yao-Yi Chiang , Meredith Franklin

Background: The masses of about 2500 nuclei have been measured experimentally, however more than 7000 isotopes are predicted to exist in the nuclear landscape from H (Z=1) to Og (Z=118) based on various theoretical calculations. Exploring…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2023-11-17 Zepeng Gao , Yongjia Wang , Hongliang Lü , Qingfeng Li , Caiwan Shen , Ling Liu

Gradient Boosting Machine has proven to be one successful function approximator and has been widely used in a variety of areas. However, since the training procedure of each base learner has to take the sequential order, it is infeasible to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Ji Feng , Yi-Xuan Xu , Yuan Jiang , Zhi-Hua Zhou

Merging satellite and gauge data with machine learning produces high-resolution precipitation datasets, but uncertainty estimates are often missing. We addressed the gap of how to optimally provide such estimates by benchmarking six…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-23 Georgia Papacharalampous , Hristos Tyralis , Nikolaos Doulamis , Anastasios Doulamis

We present a unified probabilistic gradient boosting framework for regression tasks that models and predicts the entire conditional distribution of a univariate response variable as a function of covariates. Our likelihood-based approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-05 Alexander März , Thomas Kneib

XGBoost, a scalable tree boosting algorithm, has proven effective for many prediction tasks of practical interest, especially using tabular datasets. Hyperparameter tuning can further improve the predictive performance, but unlike neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Sanyam Kapoor , Valerio Perrone

State-of-the-art implementations of boosting, such as XGBoost and LightGBM, can process large training sets extremely fast. However, this performance requires that the memory size is sufficient to hold a 2-3 multiple of the training set…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Julaiti Alafate , Yoav Freund

Current implementations of Gradient Boosting Machines are mostly designed for single-target regression tasks and commonly assume independence between responses when used in multivariate settings. As such, these models are not well suited if…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Alexander März

Despite their theoretical appeal, totally corrective boosting methods based on linear programming have received limited empirical attention. In this paper, we conduct the first large-scale experimental study of six LP-based boosting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Fabian Akkerman , Julien Ferry , Christian Artigues , Emmanuel Hebrard , Thibaut Vidal

This paper compares the performances of three supervised machine learning algorithms in terms of predictive ability and model interpretation on structured or tabular data. The algorithms considered were scikit-learn implementations of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-06 Alice J. Liu , Arpita Mukherjee , Linwei Hu , Jie Chen , Vijayan N. Nair

Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM) introduced by Friedman is a powerful supervised learning algorithm that is very widely used in practice---it routinely features as a leading algorithm in machine learning competitions such as Kaggle and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-17 Haihao Lu , Rahul Mazumder

The present study examines the effectiveness of applying Artificial Intelligence methods in an automotive production environment to predict unknown lead times in a non-cycle-controlled production area. Data structures are analyzed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Cornelius Hake , Jonas Weigele , Frederik Reichert , Christian Friedrich

We analyze the accuracy of traffic simulations metamodels based on neural networks and gradient boosting models (LightGBM), applied to traffic optimization as fitness functions of genetic algorithms. Our metamodels approximate outcomes of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-12 Paweł Gora , Maciej Brzeski , Marcin Możejko , Arkadiusz Klemenko , Adrian Kochański
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