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Maximum likelihood estimation in statistics leads to the problem of maximizing a product of powers of polynomials. We study the algebraic degree of the critical equations of this optimization problem. This degree is related to the number of…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Fabrizio Catanese , Serkan Hosten , Amit Khetan , Bernd Sturmfels

In algebraic statistics, the maximum likelihood degree of a statistical model is the number of complex critical points of its log-likelihood function. A priori knowledge of this number is useful for applying techniques of numerical…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2020-12-30 Jane Ivy Coons , Orlando Marigliano , Michael Ruddy

The maximum likelihood degree of a statistical model refers to the number of solutions, where the derivative of the log-likelihood function is zero, over the complex field. This paper examines the maximum likelihood degree of the parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Pooja Yadav , Tanuja Srivastava

Given a statistical model, the maximum likelihood degree is the number of complex solutions to the likelihood equations for generic data. We consider discrete algebraic statistical models and study the solutions to the likelihood equations…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2014-05-06 Elizabeth Gross , Jose Israel Rodriguez

Maximum likelihood degree of a projective variety is the number of critical points of a general likelihood function. In this note, we compute the Maximum likelihood degree of Fermat hypersurfaces. We give a formula of the Maximum likelihood…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2015-09-15 Botong Wang

We study multivariate Gaussian models that are described by linear conditions on the concentration matrix. We compute the maximum likelihood (ML) degrees of these models. That is, we count the critical points of the likelihood function over…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Carlos Améndola , Lukas Gustafsson , Kathlén Kohn , Orlando Marigliano , Anna Seigal

Most statistical software packages implement numerical strategies for computation of maximum likelihood estimates in random effects models. Little is known, however, about the algebraic complexity of this problem. For the one-way layout…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-07 Elizabeth Gross , Mathias Drton , Sonja Petrović

The maximum likelihood threshold of a statistical model is the minimum number of datapoints required to fit the model via maximum likelihood estimation. In this paper we determine the maximum likelihood thresholds of generic linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Daniel Irving Bernstein , Steven J. Gortler , Louis Theran

Linear structural equation models postulate noisy linear relationships between variables of interest. Each model corresponds to a path diagram, which is a mixed graph with directed edges that encode the domains of the linear functions and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-16 Mathias Drton , Christopher Fox , Andreas Käufl , Guillaume Pouliot

We present bounds for the sparseness and for the degrees of the polynomials in the Nullstellensatz. Our bounds depend mainly on the unmixed volume of the input polynomial system. The degree bounds can substantially improve the known ones…

alg-geom · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mart'in Sombra

We study a broad class of polynomial optimization problems whose constraints and objective functions exhibit sparsity patterns. We give two characterizations of the number of critical points to these problems, one as a mixed volume and one…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2024-06-12 Julia Lindberg , Leonid Monin , Kemal Rose

We study the critical points of the likelihood function over the Fermat hypersurface. This problem is related to one of the main problems in statistical optimization: maximum likelihood estimation. The number of critical points over a…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2015-04-09 Daniele Agostini , Davide Alberelli , Francesco Grande , Paolo Lella

In algebraic statistics, the maximum likelihood degree of a statistical model refers to the number of solutions (counted with multiplicity) of the score equations over the complex field. In this paper, the maximum likelihood degree of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Pooja Yadav , Tanuja Srivastava

For regression model selection via maximum likelihood estimation, we adopt a vector representation of candidate models and study the likelihood ratio confidence region for the regression parameter vector of a full model. We show that when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Min Tsao

Maximum likelihood estimation is a fundamental computational problem in statistics. In this note, we give a bound for the maximum likelihood degree of algebraic statistical models for discrete data. As usual, such models are identified with…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2015-04-20 Nero Budur , Botong Wang

Maximum likelihood estimation is a fundamental optimization problem in statistics. We study this problem on manifolds of matrices with bounded rank. These represent mixtures of distributions of two independent discrete random variables. We…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2013-03-19 Jonathan Hauenstein , Jose Rodriguez , Bernd Sturmfels

Let F:=(f_1,...,f_n) be a random polynomial system with fixed n-tuple of supports. Our main result is an upper bound on the probability that the condition number of f in a region U is larger than 1/epsilon. The bound depends on an integral…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Gregorio Malajovich , J. Maurice Rojas

We study the problem of maximum likelihood (ML) estimation for statistical models defined by reflexive polytopes. Our focus is on the maximum likelihood degree of these models as an algebraic measure of complexity of the corresponding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-24 Carlos Améndola , Janike Oldekop

The maximum likelihood threshold of a graph is the smallest number of data points that guarantees that maximum likelihood estimates exist almost surely in the Gaussian graphical model associated to the graph. We show that this graph…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2015-09-17 Elizabeth Gross , Seth Sullivant

We explore the maximum likelihood degree of a homogeneous polynomial $F$ on a projective variety $X$, $\mathrm{MLD}_F(X)$, which generalizes the concept of Gaussian maximum likelihood degree. We show that $\mathrm{MLD}_F(X)$ is equal to the…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2023-11-27 Sandra Di Rocco , Lukas Gustafsson , Luca Schaffler
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