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We characterize the existence of the maximum likelihood estimator for discrete exponential families. Our criterion is simple to apply as we show in various settings, most notably for exponential models of random graphs. As an application,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Krzysztof Bogdan , Michał Bosy , Tomasz Skalski

Let $G^r_{n,p}$ denote the $r$th power of the random graph $G_{n,p}$, where $p=c/n$ for a positive constant $c$. We prove that w.h.p. the maximum degree $\Delta\left(G^r_{n,p}\right)\sim \frac{\log n}{\log_{(r+1)}n}$. Here $\log_{(k)}n$…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-04-10 Alan Frieze , Aditya Raut

We obtain a new lower bound on the size of value set f(F_p) of a sparse polynomial f in F_p[X] over a finite field of p elements when p is prime. This bound is uniform with respect of the degree and depends on some natural arithmetic…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Igor E. Shparlinski , Jose Felipe Voloch

Validating and controlling safety-critical systems in uncertain environments necessitates probabilistic reachable sets of future state evolutions. The existing methods of computing probabilistic reachable sets normally assume that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-03 Xun Shen , Ye Wang , Kazumune Hashimoto , Yuhu Wu , Sebastien Gros

To learn (statistical) dependencies among random variables requires exponentially large sample size in the number of observed random variables if any arbitrary joint probability distribution can occur. We consider the case that sparse data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Dominik Janzing , Daniel Herrmann

Given $X \subset R^n$, $\varepsilon \in (0,1)$, a parametrized family of probability distributions $(\mu\_{a})\_{a\in A}$ on $\Omega\subset R^p$, we consider the feasible set $X^*\_\varepsilon\subset X$ associated with the {\em…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Jean Lasserre , Tillmann Weisser

This paper proposes tight semidefinite relaxations for polynomial optimization. The optimality conditions are investigated. We show that generally Lagrange multipliers can be expressed as polynomial functions in decision variables over the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-09 Jiawang Nie

A Maximum Likelihood recursive state estimator is derived for non-linear and non-Gaussian state-space models. The estimator combines a particle filter to generate the conditional density and the Expectation Maximization algorithm to compute…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-22 Mohammad S. Ramadan , Robert R. Bitmead

A polynomial matrix inequality is a formula asserting that a polynomial matrix is positive semidefinite. Polynomial matrix optimization concerns minimizing the smallest eigenvalue of a symmetric polynomial matrix subject to a tuple of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-06 Jared Miller , Jie Wang , Feng Guo

We consider a nonlinear polynomial regression model in which we wish to test the null hypothesis of structural stability in the regression parameters against the alternative of a break at an unknown time. We derive the extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-23 Alexander Aue , Lajos Horváth , Marie Hušková , Piotr Kokoszka

The maximum-likelihood method for quantum estimation is reviewed and applied to the reconstruction of density matrix of spin and radiation as well as to the determination of several parameters of interest in quantum optics.

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 M. G. A. Paris , G. M. D'Ariano , M. F. Sacchi

The lifetime of a system of connected units under some natural assumptions can be represented as a random variable Y defined as a weighted lattice polynomial of random lifetimes of its components. As such, the concept of a random variable Y…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-28 Alexander Dukhovny , Jean-Luc Marichal

In this short note, we propose a new and short approach to polynomial escape rates, which can be applied to various open systems with intermittency. The tool of our approach is the maximal large deviations developed in \cite{mldp}.

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Yaofeng Su

In finite mixtures of location-scale distributions, if there is no constraint or penalty on the parameters, then the maximum likelihood estimator does not exist because the likelihood is unbounded. To avoid this problem, we consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-04 Kentaro Tanaka

Compared to the conditional mean as a simple point estimator, the conditional density function is more informative to describe the distributions with multi-modality, asymmetry or heteroskedasticity. In this paper, we propose a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-22 Yiping Guo , Howard D. Bondell

Mixture models are regularly used in density estimation applications, but the problem of estimating the mixing distribution remains a challenge. Nonparametric maximum likelihood produce estimates of the mixing distribution that are…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-28 Minwoo Chae , Ryan Martin , Stephen G. Walker

Bogdan et al. established a new criterion to determine the existence of a maximum likelihood estimator in discrete exponential families. It uses the notion of the set of uniqueness, which allows to apply the problem to the Ising model from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Tomasz Skalski , Tomasz Stroiński

We investigate the joint distribution of the vertex degrees in three models of random bipartite graphs. Namely, we can choose each edge with a specified probability, choose a specified number of edges, or specify the vertex degrees in one…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-12-22 Brendan D. McKay , Fiona Skerman

A common statistical situation concerns inferring an unknown distribution Q(x) from a known distribution P(y), where X (dimension n), and Y (dimension m) have a known functional relationship. Most commonly, n<m, and the task is relatively…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-01 Jayajit Das , Sayak Mukherjee , Susan E. Hodge

The three-parameter generalized extreme value distribution arises from classical univariate extreme value theory and is in common use for analyzing the far tail of observed phenomena. Curiously, important asymptotic properties of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-17 Likun Zhang , Benjamin Shaby
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