English
Related papers

Related papers: Species distribution modelling with spatio-tempora…

200 papers

Enhancement of the predictive power and robustness of nonlinear population dynamics models allows ecologists to make more reliable forecasts about species' long term survival. However, the limited availability of detailed ecological data,…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2025-04-18 Indrajyoti Gaine , Malay Banerjee

Gaussian process regression is a frequently used statistical method for flexible yet fully probabilistic non-linear regression modeling. A common obstacle is its computational complexity which scales poorly with the number of observations.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Adam Gorm Hoffmann , Claus Thorn Ekstrøm , Andreas Kryger Jensen

A network of independently trained Gaussian processes (StackedGP) is introduced to obtain predictions of quantities of interest with quantified uncertainties. The main applications of the StackedGP framework are to integrate different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-20 Kareem Abdelfatah , Junshu Bao , Gabriel Terejanu

Data derived from remote sensing or numerical simulations often have a regular gridded structure and are large in volume, making it challenging to find accurate spatial models that can fill in missing grid cells or simulate the process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Sweta Rai , Douglas W. Nychka , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

This manuscript develops computationally efficient online learning for multivariate spatiotemporal models. The method relies on matrix-variate Gaussian distributions, dynamic linear models, and Bayesian predictive stacking to efficiently…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Luca Presicce , Sudipto Banerjee

In applications like environment monitoring and pollution control, physical quantities are modeled by spatio-temporal fields. It is of interest to learn the statistical distribution of such fields as a function of space, time or both. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Meera Pai

Occupancy modeling is a common approach to assess spatial and temporal species distribution patterns, while explicitly accounting for measurement errors common in detection-nondetection data. Numerous extensions of the basic single species…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-04 Jeffrey W. Doser , Andrew O. Finley , Marc Kéry , Elise F. Zipkin

varstan is an \proglang{R} package for Bayesian analysis of time series models using \proglang{Stan}. The package offers a dynamic way to choose a model, define priors in a wide range of distributions, check model's fit, and forecast with…

Computation · Statistics 2020-05-22 Izhar Asael Alonzo Matamoros , Cristian Andres Cruz Torres

Spatio-temporal point process models play a central role in the analysis of spatially distributed systems in several disciplines. Yet, scalable inference remains computa- tionally challenging both due to the high resolution modelling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-07 Botond Cseke , Andrew Zammit Mangion , Tom Heskes , Guido Sanguinetti

Complex behaviour in many systems arises from the stochastic interactions of spatially distributed particles or agents. Stochastic reaction-diffusion processes are widely used to model such behaviour in disciplines ranging from biology to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-23 David Schnoerr , Ramon Grima , Guido Sanguinetti

Spatially and temporally varying coefficient (STVC) models are currently attracting attention as a flexible tool to explore the spatio-temporal patterns in regression coefficients. However, these models often struggle with balancing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-07 Daisuke Murakami , Shinichiro Shirota , Seiji Kajita , Mami Kajita

Spatiotemporal forecasting is critical for real-world applications like traffic management, yet capturing reliable interactions remains challenging under noisy and non-stationary conditions. Existing methods primarily rely on historical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Yinghao Ai , Yukai Zhou , Ruoxi Jiang , Junyi An , Chao Qu , Zhijian Zhou , Shiyu Wang , Fenglei Cao , Zenglin Xu , Furao Shen , Yuan Qi

The R software package rSPDE contains methods for approximating Gaussian random fields based on fractional-order stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). A common example of such fields are Whittle-Mat\'ern fields on bounded…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-28 David Bolin , Alexandre B. Simas

Collecting time series data spatially distributed in many locations is often important for analyzing climate change and its impacts on ecosystems. However, comprehensive spatial data collection is not always feasible, requiring us to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Shihori Koyama , Daisuke Inoue , Hiroaki Yoshida , Kazuyuki Aihara , Gouhei Tanaka

Accurate spatiotemporal modeling of conditions leading to moderate and large wildfires provides better understanding of mechanisms driving fire-prone ecosystems and improves risk management. We here develop a joint model for the occurrence…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-15 Jonathan Koh , François Pimont , Jean-Luc Dupuy , Thomas Opitz

Quantitative modeling of post-transcriptional regulation process is a challenging problem in systems biology. A mechanical model of the regulatory process needs to be able to describe the available spatio-temporal protein concentration and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-18 Mu Niu , Zhenwen Dai , Neil Lawrence , Kolja Becker

Modeling environmental ecosystems is essential for effective resource management, sustainable development, and understanding complex ecological processes. However, traditional methods frequently struggle with the inherent complexity,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-06 Runlong Yu , Shengyu Chen , Yiqun Xie , Xiaowei Jia

Gaussian processes (GPs) are instrumental in modeling spatial processes, offering precise interpolation and prediction capabilities across fields such as environmental science and biology. Recently, there has been growing interest in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-04 Jiawen Chen , Aritra Halder , Yun Li , Sudipto Banerjee , Didong Li

In this paper, we propose a Spatial Robust Mixture Regression model to investigate the relationship between a response variable and a set of explanatory variables over the spatial domain, assuming that the relationships may exhibit complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-30 Wennan Chang , Pengtao Dang , Changlin Wan , Xiaoyu Lu , Yue Fang , Tong Zhao , Yong Zang , Bo Li , Chi Zhang , Sha Cao

For many survey-based spatial modelling problems, responses are observed as spatially aggregated over survey regions due to limited resources. Covariates, from weather models and satellite imageries, can be observed at many different…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-04 Harrison Zhu , Adam Howes , Owen van Eer , Maxime Rischard , Yingzhen Li , Dino Sejdinovic , Seth Flaxman