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The COVID-19 pandemic is the profoundest health crisis of the 21rst century. The SARS-CoV-2 virus arrived in Brazil around March, 2020 and its social and economical backlashes are catastrophic. In this paper, it is investigated how Model…

The current outbreak of COVID-19 has called renewed attention to the need for sound statistical analysis for monitoring mortality patterns and trends over time. Excess mortality has been suggested as the most appropriate indicator to…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-13 Patrizio Vanella , Ugofilippo Basellini , Berit Lange

This research paper proposes a COVID-19 monitoring and response system to identify the surge in the volume of patients at hospitals and shortage of critical equipment like ventilators in South-east Asian countries, to understand the burden…

This paper deals with the mathematical modeling and numerical simulations related to the coronavirus dynamics. A description is developed based on the framework of susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered model. Initially, a model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-27 Pedro V. Savi , Marcelo A. Savi , Beatriz Borges

A pandemic caused by a new coronavirus has spread worldwide, affecting Argentina. We implement an SEIR model to analyze the disease evolution in Buenos Aires and neighbouring cities. The model parameters are calibrated using the number of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-16 Juan E. Santos , Jose' M. Carcione , Gabriela B. Savioli , Patricia M. Gauzellino , Alejandro Ravecca , Alfredo Moras

The COVID-19 disease has forced countries to make a considerable collaborative effort between scientists and governments to provide indicators to suitable follow-up the pandemic's consequences. Mathematical modeling plays a crucial role in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-29 Patricio Cumsille , Oscar Rojas-Díaz , Pablo Moisset de Espanés

We discuss the relationships between the outcome of the COVID-19 pandemic in Brazil at the municipal level and different health, social, demographic, and economic indices. We obtain significant correlations between the data gathered for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-22 T. M. Rocha Filho , M. L. Lucio , Fulvio A. Scorza , M. A. Moret

While extensive literature exists on the COVID-19 pandemic at regional and national levels, understanding its dynamics and consequences at the city level remains limited. This study investigates the pandemic in Maring\'a, a medium-sized…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-08 Andre S. Sunahara , Arthur A. B. Pessa , Matjaz Perc , Haroldo V. Ribeiro

We are currently living in a state of uncertainty due to the pandemic caused by the Sars-CoV-2 virus. There are several factors involved in the epidemic spreading such as the individual characteristics of each city/country. The true shape…

This manuscript proposes a model of $n$ distinct populations interaction structured SEIR to describe the spread of COVID-19 pandemic diseases. The proposed model has the flexibility to include geographically separated communities as well as…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-04 Matheus Jatkoske Lazo , Adriano De Cezaro

In the present article we introduce an epidemiological model for the investigation of the spread of epidemics caused by viruses. The model is applied specifically to COVID-19, the disease caused by the SARS-Cov-2 virus (aka "novel…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-10 Rodrigo A. Schulz , Carlos H. Coimbra-Araújo , Samuel W. S. Costiche

The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted delayed reporting as a significant impediment to effective disease surveillance and decision-making. In the absence of timely data, statistical models which account for delays can be adopted to nowcast…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-19 Oliver Stoner , Theo Economou , Alba Halliday

Understanding differences in hospital case-fatality rates (HCFRs) of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) may help evaluate its severity and the capacity of the healthcare system to reduce mortality. We examined the variability in HCFRs of…

The current outbreak of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an unprecedented example of how fast an infectious disease can spread around the globe (especially in urban areas) and the enormous impact it causes on public health and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-19 Haroldo V. Ribeiro , Andre S. Sunahara , Jack Sutton , Matjaz Perc , Quentin S. Hanley

SARS-COV-19 is the most prominent issue which many countries face today. The frequent changes in infections, recovered and deaths represents the dynamic nature of this pandemic. It is very crucial to predict the spreading rate of this virus…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-01 Sadhana Tiwari , Ritesh Chandra , Sonali Agarwal

COVID-19 is a new pandemic disease that is affecting almost every country with a negative impact on social life and economic activities. The number of infected and deceased patients continues to increase globally. Mathematical models can…

The current global health emergency triggered by the pandemic COVID-19 is one of the greatest challenges mankind face in this generation. Computational simulations have played an important role to predict the development of the current…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-11 Kok Yew Ng , Meei Mei Gui

In the present article a mathematical model is proposed to research the current coronavirus outbreak (SARS-CoV-2) in Paraguay, describing the multiple transmission paths in the infection dynamics, following the susceptible, exposed,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-02 Juan A. Gonzalez Cuevas

More than ever COVID-19 is putting pressure on health systems all around the world, especially in Brazil. In this study we propose an analytical approach based on statistics and machine learning that uses lab exam data coming from patients…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-09 Vitor Bezzan , Cleber D. Rocco

As of December 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic has infected over 75 million people, making it the deadliest pandemic in modern history. This study develops a novel compartmental epidemiological model specific to the SARS-CoV-2 virus and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-19 Caden Lin