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The largest eigenvalue of the adjacency matrix of a network (referred to as the spectral radius) is an important metric in its own right. Further, for several models of epidemic spread on networks (e.g., the `flu-like' SIS model), it has…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-01-28 Sudip Saha , Abhijin Adiga , B. Aditya Prakash , Anil Kumar S. Vullikanti

This paper proposes a feedback design that effectively copes with uncertainties for reliable epidemic monitoring and control. There are several optimization-based methods to estimate the parameters of an epidemic model by utilizing past…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-06 Muhammad Umar B. Niazi , Philip E. Paré , Karl H. Johansson

We present a general framework for adaptive allocation of viral tests in social contact networks. We pose and solve several complementary problems. First, we consider the design of a social sensing system whose objective is the early…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-05 Pau Batlle , Joan Bruna , Carlos Fernandez-Granda , Victor M. Preciado

We develop a generalized group-based epidemic model (GgroupEM) framework for any compartmental epidemic model (for example; susceptible-infected-susceptible, susceptible-infected-recovered, susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered). Here, a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-19 Sifat Afroj Moon , Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Caterina Scoglio

We introduce a methodology to guarantee safety against the spread of infectious diseases by viewing epidemiological models as control systems and by considering human interventions (such as quarantining or social distancing) as control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-21 Tamas G. Molnar , Andrew W. Singletary , Gabor Orosz , Aaron D. Ames

The emergence and spread of deadly pandemics has repeatedly occurred throughout history, causing widespread infections and loss of life. The rapid spread of pandemics have made governments across the world adopt a range of actions,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-15 Marianna Karapitta , Andreas Kasis , Charithea Stylianides , Kleanthis Malialis , Panayiotis Kolios

In this paper we consider a simple virus infection spread model on a finite population of $n$ agents connected by some neighborhood structure. Given a graph $G$ on $n$ vertices, we begin with some fixed number of initial infected vertices.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-21 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Farkhondeh Sajadi

The exploration of epidemic dynamics on dynamically evolving ("adaptive") networks poses nontrivial challenges to the modeler, such as the determination of a small number of informative statistics of the detailed network state (that is, a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-07 Assimakis A. Kattis , Alexander Holiday , Ana-Andreea Stoica , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

Using the continuous-time susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model on networks, we investigate the problem of inferring the class of the underlying network when epidemic data is only available at population-level (i.e. the number of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-12-05 F. Di Lauro , J. -C. Croix , M. Dashti , L. Berthouze , I. Z. Kiss

Recent outbreaks of monkeypox and Ebola, and worrying waves of COVID-19, influenza and respiratory syncytial virus, have all led to a sharp increase in the use of epidemiological models to estimate key epidemiological parameters. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-01 B. K. M. Case , Jean-Gabriel Young , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

Mathematical modeling of epidemic propagation on networks is extended to hypergraphs in order to account for both the community structure and the nonlinear dependence of the infection pressure on the number of infected neighbours. The exact…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-10-31 Ágnes Bodó , Gyula Y. Katona , Péter L. Simon

We present a local spread model of disease transmission on a regular network and compare different control options ranging from treating the whole population to local control in a well-defined neighborhood of an infectious individual.…

Biological Physics · Physics 2015-05-30 Katarzyna Oles , Ewa Gudowska-Nowak , Adam Kleczkowski

We study the network reconstruction problem for an epidemic reaction-diffusion. These models are an extension of deterministic, compartmental models to a graph setting, where the reactions within the nodes are coupled by a diffusion. We…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2021-09-24 Louis-Brahim Beaufort , Pierre-Yves Massé , Antonin Reboulet , Laurent Oudre

Many fundamental concepts in network-based epidemic modeling depend on the branching factor, which captures a sense of dispersion in the network connectivity and quantifies the rate of spreading across the network. Moreover, contact network…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-14 Wenrui Li , Daniel L. Sussman , Eric D. Kolaczyk

This article examines how diseases on random networks spread in time. The disease is described by a probability distribution function for the number of infected and recovered individuals, and the probability distribution is described by a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2013-05-29 M. Marder

Infectious diseases are studied to understand their spreading mechanisms, to evaluate control strategies and to predict the risk and course of future outbreaks. Because people only interact with a small number of individuals, and because…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-05 Ritabrata Dutta , Antonietta Mira , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Network sampling is used around the world for surveys of vulnerable, hard-to-reach populations including people at risk for HIV, opioid misuse, and emerging epidemics. The sampling methods include tracing social links to add new people to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-05 Steve Thompson

This article introduces a new class of models for multiple networks. The core idea is to parametrize a distribution on labelled graphs in terms of a Fr\'{e}chet mean graph (which depends on a user-specified choice of metric or graph…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-09 Simón Lunagómez , Sofia C. Olhede , Patrick J. Wolfe

This study aims to estimate the parameters of a stochastic exposed-infected epidemiological model for the transmission dynamics of notifiable infectious diseases, based on observations related to isolated cases counts only. We use the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-15 Ibrahim Bouzalmat , Benoîte de Saporta , Solym M. Manou-Abi

Epidemic propagation on networks represents an important departure from traditional massaction models. However, the high-dimensionality of the exact models poses a challenge to both mathematical analysis and parameter inference. By using…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-07 István Z. Kiss , Luc Berthouze , Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh