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A test of the concavity of a distribution function with support contained in the unit interval may be based on a statistic constructed from the $L^p$-norm of the difference between an empirical distribution function and its least concave…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Brendan K. Beare

We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

It is well known that increasing functions do not preserve operator order in general; nor do decreasing functions reverse operator order. However, operator monotone increasing or operator monotone decreasing do. In this article, we employ a…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Gholamreza Karamali , Hamid Reza Moradi , Mohammad Sababheh

We study the approximation of arbitrary distributions $P$ on $d$-dimensional space by distributions with log-concave density. Approximation means minimizing a Kullback--Leibler-type functional. We show that such an approximation exists if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-17 Lutz Duembgen , Richard Samworth , Dominic Schuhmacher

We propose flexible Gaussian representations for conditional cumulative distribution functions and give a concave likelihood criterion for their estimation. Optimal representations satisfy the monotonicity property of conditional cumulative…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-22 Richard Spady , Sami Stouli

Let $(X,Y)$ be a bivariate random vector. The estimation of a probability of the form $P(Y\leq y \mid X >t) $ is challenging when $t$ is large, and a fruitful approach consists in studying, if it exists, the limiting conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-01 Anne-Laure Fougères , Philippe Soulier

The problem of minimizing convex functionals of probability distributions is solved under the assumption that the density of every distribution is bounded from above and below. A system of sufficient and necessary first-order optimality…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-12-05 Michael Fauss , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

We study nonparametric regression with covariates $X$ and outcome $Y$ under random unbiased perturbations (RUPs) of the conditional distribution $Y|X$, where the marginal distribution of covariates, $P^X$, remains fixed but the conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Anna Lyubarskaja , Dominik Rothenhäusler

This paper develops a general theory on rates of convergence of penalized spline estimators for function estimation when the likelihood functional is concave in candidate functions, where the likelihood is interpreted in a broad sense that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Jianhua Z. Huang , Ya Su

We consider the joint lower expectation of a finite-state imprecise stochastic process, defined using either the Ville-Vovk-Shafer natural extension or the Williams natural extension. In both cases, we show that it is continuous with…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-26 Jasper De Bock , Gert de Cooman

In the present paper we show that in P\'{o}lya's urn model, for an arbitrarily fixed initial distribution of the urn, the corresponding random variables satisfy a convex ordering with respect to the replacement parameter. As an application,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Diana Meleşteu , Mihai N. Pascu , Nicolae R. Pascu

The article presents a systematic study of the problem of conditioning a Gaussian random variable $\xi$ on nonlinear observations of the form $F \circ \phi(\xi)$ where $\phi: \mathcal{X} \to \mathbb{R}^N$ is a bounded linear operator and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-24 Yifan Chen , Bamdad Hosseini , Houman Owhadi , Andrew M Stuart

The objective of this paper is to extend an estimation method of parameters of the stable distributions in $\rd$ to the regularly varying tails distributions in an arbitrary cone. The consistency and the asymptotic normality of estimators…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-15 Youri Davydov , Shuyan Liu

Stochastic natural gradient variational inference (NGVI) is a popular and efficient algorithm for Bayesian inference. Despite empirical success, the convergence of this method is still not fully understood. In this work, we define and study…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-02 Thomas Guilmeau , Hadrien Hendrikx , Florence Forbes

Let $Y$ be a nonnegative random variable with mean $\mu$ and finite positive variance $\sigma^2$, and let $Y^s$, defined on the same space as $Y$, have the $Y$ size biased distribution, that is, the distribution characterized by…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-20 Subhankar Ghosh , Larry Goldstein

In this paper several related estimation problems are addressed from a Bayesian point of view and optimal estimators are obtained for each of them when some natural loss functions are considered. Namely, we are interested in estimating a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-27 A. G. Nogales

This paper provides a framework to show the concentration of solutions $Y^*$ to convex minimizing problem where the objective function $\phi(X)(Y)$ depends on some random vector $X$ satisfying concentration of measure hypotheses. More…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Cosme Louart

This paper studies estimation of and inference on a distribution function $F$ that is concave on the nonnegative half line and admits a density function $f$ with potentially unbounded support. When $F$ is strictly concave, we show that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Zheng Fang

Distribution regression seeks to estimate the conditional distribution of a multivariate response given a continuous covariate. This approach offers a more complete characterization of dependence than traditional regression methods.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Rong Tang , Yun Yang

A representation of Gaussian distributed sparsely sampled longitudinal data in terms of predictive distributions for their functional principal component scores (FPCs) maps available data for each subject to a multivariate Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Álvaro Gajardo , Xiongtao Dai , Hans-Georg Müller