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In this paper we provide a novel family of stochastic orders that generalizes second order stochastic dominance, which we call the $\alpha,[a,b]$-concave stochastic orders. These stochastic orders are generated by a novel set of "very"…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Bar Light , Andres Perlroth

This paper examines the local linear regression (LLR) estimate of the conditional distribution function $F(y|x)$. We derive three uniform convergence results: the uniform bias expansion, the uniform convergence rate, and the uniform…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-07 Haitian Xie

Conditional estimation given specific covariate values (i.e., local conditional estimation or functional estimation) is ubiquitously useful with applications in engineering, social and natural sciences. Existing data-driven non-parametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-13 Viet Anh Nguyen , Fan Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Erick Delage , Yinyu Ye

We explore negative dependence and stochastic orderings, showing that if an integer-valued random variable $W$ satisfies a certain negative dependence assumption, then $W$ is smaller (in the convex sense) than a Poisson variable of equal…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Fraser Daly

Non-parametric estimation of a convex discrete distribution may be of interest in several applications, such as the estimation of species abundance distribution in ecology. In this paper we study the least squares estimator of a discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-29 Cécile Durot , François Koladjo , Sylvie Huet , Stéphane Robin

Comparison of two univariate distributions based on independent samples from them is a fundamental problem in statistics, with applications in a wide variety of scientific disciplines. In many situations, we might hypothesize that the two…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-08 Ted Westling , Kevin J. Downes , Dylan S. Small

We consider the Bayesian analysis of models in which the unknown distribution of the outcomes is specified up to a set of conditional moment restrictions. The nonparametric exponentially tilted empirical likelihood function is constructed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-27 Siddhartha Chib , Minchul Shin , Anna Simoni

This paper deals with the consistency of the least squares estimator of a convex regression function when the predictor is multidimensional. We characterize and discuss the computation of such an estimator via the solution of certain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Emilio Seijo , Bodhisattva Sen

It is often of interest to condition on a singular event given by a random variable, e.g. $\{Y=y\}$ for a continuous random variable $Y$. Conditional measures with respect to this event are usually derived as a special case of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-06 Philipp Wacker

Convex combinations of i.i.d. random variables without a finite mean can behave in a strikingly different way from the finite-mean case: as the weight vector becomes more balanced, the resulting combination may become stochastically larger,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Tommaso Lando , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

This paper extends Edgeworth-Cornish-Fisher expansions for the distribution and quantiles of nonparametric estimates in two ways. Firstly it allows observations to have different distributions. Secondly it allows the observations to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-02-24 C. S. Withers , S. Nadarajah

Convex regression is a method for estimating the convex function from a data set. This method has played an important role in operations research, economics, machine learning, and many other areas. However, it has been empirically observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-17 Zhiqiang Liao , Sheng Dai , Eunji Lim , Timo Kuosmanen

The conditional distribution of the next outcome given the infinite past of a stationary process can be inferred from finite but growing segments of the past. Several schemes are known for constructing pointwise consistent estimates, but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-17 G. Morvai , S. Yakowitz , P. Algoet

Stochastic dominance of a random variable by a convex combination of its independent copies has recently been shown to hold within the relatively narrow class of distributions with concave odds function, and later extended to broader…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Idir Arab , Tommaso Lando , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

Consider bivariate observations $(X_1,Y_1), \ldots, (X_n,Y_n) \in \mathbb{R}\times \mathbb{R}$ with unknown conditional distributions $Q_x$ of $Y$, given that $X = x$. The goal is to estimate these distributions under the sole assumption…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-31 Alexandre Mösching , Lutz Duembgen

We introduce a new dependence order, termed the conditional convex order, whose minimal and maximal elements characterize independence and perfect dependence. Moreover, it characterizes conditional independence, satisfies information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-22 Jonathan Ansari , Sebastian Fuchs

Let $\{X_{1},\ldots,X_{N_1}\}$ and $\{Y_{1},\ldots,Y_{N_2}\}$ be two sequences of interdependent heterogeneous samples, where for $i=1,\ldots,N_{1},$ $X_{i}\sim \text{Kw-G}(x, \alpha_{i}, \gamma_{i};G)$ and for $i=1,\ldots,N_{2},$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-21 Sangita Das , Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan

Considering a continuous random variable Y together with a continuous random vector X, I propose a nonparametric estimator f^(.|x) for the conditional density of Y given X=x. This estimator takes the form of an exponential series whose…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-19 Federico Zincenko

Motivated by the study of the propagation of convexity by semi-groups of stochastic differential equations and convex comparison between the distributions of solutions of two such equations, we study the comparison for the convex order…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-11 Benjamin Jourdain , Gilles Pagès

Stochastic ordering among distributions has been considered in a variety of scenarios. Economic studies often involve research about the ordering of investment strategies or social welfare. However, as noted in the literature, stochastic…