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This research investigates the growing trend of retail investors participating in certain stocks by organizing themselves on social media platforms, particularly Reddit. Previous studies have highlighted a notable association between Reddit…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-22 Tim Matthies , Thomas Löhden , Stephan Leible , Jun-Patrick Raabe

Popularity systems, like Twitter retweets, Reddit upvotes, and Pinterest pins have the potential to guide people toward posts that others liked. That, however, creates a feedback loop that reduces their informativeness: items marked as more…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2018-09-05 Maria Glenski , Greg Stoddard , Paul Resnick , Tim Weninger

Stock market forecasting is very important in the planning of business activities. Stock price prediction has attracted many researchers in multiple disciplines including computer science, statistics, economics, finance, and operations…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Dev Shah , Haruna Isah , Farhana Zulkernine

Bitcoin is the first digital decentralized cryptocurrency that has shown a significant increase in market capitalization in recent years. The objective of this paper is to determine the predictable price direction of Bitcoin in USD by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-26 S M Raju , Ali Mohammad Tarif

Despite the efficient market hypothesis, many studies suggest the existence of inefficiencies in the stock market leading to the development of techniques to gain above-market returns. Systematic trading has undergone significant advances…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-09 Sungwoo Kang , Jong-Kook Kim

The primary objective of this work is to develop a Neural Network based on LSTM to predict stock market movements using tweets. Word embeddings, used in the LSTM network, are initialised using Stanford's GloVe embeddings, pretrained…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-01-25 Kavyashree Ranawat , Stefano Giani

Public opinion influences events, especially related to stock market movement, in which a subtle hint can influence the local outcome of the market. In this paper, we present a dataset that allows for company-level analysis of tweet based…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-06-18 Karolina Sowinska , Pranava Madhyastha

The financial industry poses great challenges with risk modeling and profit generation. These entities are intricately tied to the sophisticated prediction of stock movements. A stock forecaster must untangle the randomness and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-14 Luke Sanborn , Matthew Sahagun

Social learning is a fundamental mechanism shaping decision-making across numerous social networks, including social trading platforms. In those platforms, investors combine traditional investing with copying the behavior of others.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-04 Bijin Joseph , Christoph Riedl , Alex Pentland , Esteban Moro

Human decision making by professionals trading daily in the stock market can be a daunting task. It includes decisions on whether to keep on investing or to exit a market subject to huge price swings, and how to price in news or rumors…

Social network platforms like Reddit are increasingly impacting real-world economics. Meme stocks are a recent phenomena where price movements are driven by retail investors organizing themselves via social networks. To study the impact of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Yunming Hui , Inez Maria Zwetsloot , Simon Trimborn , Stevan Rudinac

Social media platforms are thriving nowadays, so a huge volume of data is produced. As it includes brief and clear statements, millions of people post their thoughts on microblogging sites every day. This paper represents and analyze the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-08-05 Suchandra Dutta , Dhrubasish Sarkar , Sohom Roy , Dipak K. Kole , Premananda Jana

A novel social networks sentiment analysis model is proposed based on Twitter sentiment score (TSS) for real-time prediction of the future stock market price FTSE 100, as compared with conventional econometric models of investor sentiment…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-23 Xinyi Guo , Jinfeng Li

How the online social media, like Twitter or its variant Weibo, interacts with the stock market and whether it can be a convincing proxy to predict the stock market have been debated for years, especially for China. As the traditional…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-05-02 Zhenkun Zhou , Ke Xu , Jichang Zhao

We study investor learning and information acquisition in private markets using a large dataset of expert network calls. We develop a sequential Large Language Model (LLM)-Bayesian framework that treats expert interactions as sequential…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Yidong Chai , Yanguang Liu , Xuan Tian , Jiaheng Xie , Yonghang Zhou

Predicting financial returns accurately poses a significant challenge due to the inherent uncertainty in financial time series data. Enhancing prediction models' performance hinges on effectively capturing both social and financial…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Raffaele Giuseppe Cestari , Simone Formentin

Increasingly people form opinions based on information they consume on online social media. As a result, it is crucial to understand what type of content attracts people's attention on social media and drive discussions. In this paper we…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-05-09 Benjamin D. Horne , Sibel Adali , Sujoy Sikdar

Along with the advance of opinion mining techniques, public mood has been found to be a key element for stock market prediction. However, how market participants' behavior is affected by public mood has been rarely discussed. Consequently,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-18 Frank Z. Xing , Erik Cambria , Lorenzo Malandri , Carlo Vercellis

This study conducted a comprehensive review of 71 papers published between 2000 and 2021 that employed various measures of investor sentiment to model returns. The analysis indicates that higher complexity of sentiment measures and models…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-21 Szymon Lis

Sentiment-based stock prediction systems aim to explore sentiment or event signals from online corpora and attempt to relate the signals to stock price variations. Both the feature-based and neural-networks-based approaches have delivered…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Yue Zhou , Kerstin Voigt