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Understanding the sociodemographic composition of online platforms is essential for accurately interpreting digital behavior and its societal implications. Yet, current methods often lack the transparency and reliability required, risking…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Federico Cinus , Corrado Monti , Paolo Bajardi , Gianmarco De Francisci Morales

Economy is severely dependent on the stock market. An uptrend usually corresponds to prosperity while a downtrend correlates to recession. Predicting the stock market has thus been a centre of research and experiment for a long time. Being…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-15 Shayan Halder

The application of Machine learning to finance has become a familiar approach, even more so in stock market forecasting. The stock market is highly volatile, and huge amounts of data are generated every minute globally. The extraction of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-01-03 Sai Akash Bathini , Dagli Cihan

Thanks to the high potential for profit, trading has become increasingly attractive to investors as the cryptocurrency and stock markets rapidly expand. However, because financial markets are intricate and dynamic, accurately predicting…

Accurate forecasting of financial markets remains a long-standing challenge due to complex temporal and often latent dependencies, non-linear dynamics, and high volatility. Building on our earlier recurrent neural network framework, we…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-05 Shaswat Mohanty

With the advent of fast-paced information dissemination and retrieval, it has become inherently important to resort to automated means of predicting stock market prices. In this paper, we propose Taureau, a framework that leverages Twitter…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-04-03 Nicholas Milikich , Joshua Johnson

There are inefficiencies in financial markets, with unexploited patterns in price, volume, and cross-sectional relationships. While many approaches use large-scale transformers, we take a domain-focused path: feed-forward and recurrent…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Sid Ghatak , Arman Khaledian , Navid Parvini , Nariman Khaledian

Applications of deep learning in financial market prediction has attracted huge attention from investors and researchers. In particular, intra-day prediction at the minute scale, the dramatically fluctuating volume and stock prices within…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-25 Yuze Lu , Hailong Zhang , Qiwen Guo

We propose a prediction model based on the minority game in which traders continuously evaluate a complete set of trading strategies with different memory lengths using the strategies' past performance. Based on the chosen trading strategy…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-01-06 Andreas Krause

We check the claims that data from Google Trends contain enough data to predict future financial index returns. We first discuss the many subtle (and less subtle) biases that may affect the backtest of a trading strategy, particularly when…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-19 Damien Challet , Ahmed Bel Hadj Ayed

The new digital revolution of big data is deeply changing our capability of understanding society and forecasting the outcome of many social and economic systems. Unfortunately, information can be very heterogeneous in the importance,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-16 Gabriele Ranco , Ilaria Bordino , Giacomo Bormetti , Guido Caldarelli , Fabrizio Lillo , Michele Treccani

Financial sentiment analysis is crucial for understanding the influence of news on stock prices. Recently, large language models (LLMs) have been widely adopted for this purpose due to their advanced text analysis capabilities. However,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Yixuan Liang , Yuncong Liu , Neng Wang , Hongyang Yang , Boyu Zhang , Christina Dan Wang

We propose a mathematical model for the word-of-mouth communications among stock investors through social networks and explore how the changes of the investors' social networks influence the stock price dynamics and vice versa. An investor…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-22 Li-Xin Wang

This paper presents a cross-domain trend analysis that aims to identify and analyze the relationships between stock prices, stock news on Twitter, and users' behaviors on e-commerce websites. The analysis is based on three datasets: a US…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-02 Aditya Pandey , Haseeba Fathiya , Nivedita Patel

As the number of publicly traded companies as well as the amount of their financial data grows rapidly, it is highly desired to have tracking, analysis, and eventually stock selections automated. There have been few works focusing on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-04 Sercan Arik , Sukru Burc Eryilmaz , Adam Goldberg

Predicting Bitcoin price remains a challenging problem due to the high volatility and complex non-linear dynamics of cryptocurrency markets. Traditional time-series models, such as ARIMA and GARCH, and recurrent neural networks, like LSTMs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Mohammad Shahab Sepehri , Asal Mehradfar , Mahdi Soltanolkotabi , Salman Avestimehr

The meme stock phenomenon is yet to be explored. In this note, we provide evidence that these stocks display common stylized facts on the dynamics of price, trading volume, and social media activity. Using a regime-switching cointegration…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-06-08 Michele Costola , Matteo Iacopini , Carlo R. M. A. Santagiustina

The Prevalence of Community support and engagement for different domains in the tech industry has changed and evolved throughout the years. In this study, we aim to understand, analyze and predict the trends of technology in a scientific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-19 Raja CSP Raman , Rohith Mahadevan , Divya Perumal , Vedha Sankar , Talha Abdur Rahman

Applying deep learning and computational intelligence to finance has been a popular area of applied research, both within academia and industry, and continues to attract active attention. The inherently high volatility and non-stationary of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-17 Michael Charles Albada , Mojolaoluwa Joshua Sonola

Stock market prediction has been an important topic for investors, researchers, and analysts. Because it is affected by too many factors, stock market prediction is a difficult task to handle. In this study, we propose a novel method that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-07-05 Anil Berk Altuner , Zeynep Hilal Kilimci
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