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As predictive algorithms grow in popularity, using the same dataset to both train and test a new model has become routine across research, policy, and industry. Sample-splitting attains valid inference on model properties by using separate…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-27 Bruno Fava

Subsampling is a general statistical method developed in the 1990s aimed at estimating the sampling distribution of a statistic $\hat \theta _n$ in order to conduct nonparametric inference such as the construction of confidence intervals…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Dimitris N. Politis

Standard supervised machine learning assumes that the distribution of the source samples used to train an algorithm is the same as the one of the target samples on which it is supposed to make predictions. However, as any data scientist…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-12 Pirmin Lemberger , Ivan Panico

Most work on supervised learning research has focused on marginal predictions. In decision problems, joint predictive distributions are essential for good performance. Previous work has developed methods for assessing low-order predictive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-01 Ian Osband , Zheng Wen , Seyed Mohammad Asghari , Vikranth Dwaracherla , Xiuyuan Lu , Benjamin Van Roy

In this paper we consider the problem of estimating quantiles when data are received sequentially (data stream). For real life data streams, the distribution of the data typically varies with time making estimation of quantiles challenging.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-02 Hugo Lewi Hammer , Anis Yazidi , Håvard Rue

Amortized inference is the task of training a parametric model, such as a neural network, to approximate a distribution with a given unnormalized density where exact sampling is intractable. When sampling is implemented as a sequential…

From social networks to P2P systems, network sampling arises in many settings. We present a detailed study on the nature of biases in network sampling strategies to shed light on how best to sample from networks. We investigate connections…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2011-09-20 Arun S. Maiya , Tanya Y. Berger-Wolf

In this work we study the set size distribution estimation problem, where elements are randomly sampled from a collection of non-overlapping sets and we seek to recover the original set size distribution from the samples. This problem has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-04 Fabricio Murai , Bruno Ribeiro , Don Towsley , Pinghui Wang

In this paper, we investigate the problem of assessing statistical methods and effectively summarizing results from simulations. Specifically, we consider problems of the type where multiple methods are compared on a reasonably large test…

Applications · Statistics 2015-10-07 Abigail Arnold , Jason Loeppky

In real-world contexts, sometimes data are available in form of Natural Data Streams, i.e. data characterized by a streaming nature, unbalanced distribution, data drift over a long time frame and strong correlation of samples in short time…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-01-10 Guido Borghi , Gabriele Graffieti , Davide Maltoni

Symbolic Data Analysis works with variables for which each unit or class of units takes a finite set of values/categories, an interval or a distribution (an histogram, for instance). When to each observation corresponds an empirical…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-01 Sónia Dias , Paula Brito

Stochastic processes can model many emerging phenomena on networks, like the spread of computer viruses, rumors, or infectious diseases. Understanding the dynamics of such stochastic spreading processes is therefore of fundamental interest.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-01-07 Gerrit Großmann , Verena Wolf

Node embedding is a central topic in graph representation learning. Computational efficiency and scalability can be challenging to any method that requires full-graph operations. We propose sampling approaches to node embedding, with or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-20 Li-Chun Zhang

Various strategies for active learning have been proposed in the machine learning literature. In uncertainty sampling, which is among the most popular approaches, the active learner sequentially queries the label of those instances for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Vu-Linh Nguyen , Sébastien Destercke , Eyke Hüllermeier

The traditional approach to studying student understanding presents a question and uses the student answers to make inferences about their knowledge. However, this method does not capture the range of possible alternative ideas available to…

Physics Education · Physics 2022-06-29 Nolan K. Weinlader , Eric Kuo , Benjamin M. Rottman , Timothy J. Nokes-Malach

Statistical samples, in order to be representative, have to be drawn from a population in a random and unbiased way. Nevertheless, it is common practice in the field of model-based diagnosis to make estimations from (biased) best-first…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-05 Patrick Rodler , Fatima Elichanova

This paper proposes a novel and statistical method of ability estimation based on acquisition distribution for a personalized computer aided question generation. This method captures the learning outcomes over time and provides a flexible…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2018-08-30 Yi-Ting Huang , Meng Chang Chen , Yeali S. Sun

Statistical system models provide the basis for the examination of various sorts of distributions. Classification distributions are a very common and versatile form of statistics in e.g. real economic, social, and IT systems. The…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-20 Uwe Petersohn , Thomas Dedek , Sandra Zimmer , Hans Biskupski

This paper considers some designs for sampling and interventions in dynamic networks and spatial temporal settings. The sample spreads through the population largely by tracing network links, although random sampling or spatial designs may…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-05 Steven K. Thompson

Teaching requires distilling a rich category distribution into a small set of informative exemplars. Although prior work shows that humans consider both representativeness and diversity when teaching, the computational principles underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Fanxiao Wani Qiu , Oscar Leong , Alexander LaTourrette