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Conformal prediction (CP) is an important tool for distribution-free predictive uncertainty quantification. Yet, a major challenge is to balance computational efficiency and prediction accuracy, particularly for multiple predictions. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-17 Kiljae Lee , Yuan Zhang

This paper introduces two new families of non-parametric tests of goodness-of-fit on the compact classical groups. One of them is a family of tests for the eigenvalue distribution induced by the uniform distribution, which is consistent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-27 Amir Sepehri

We propose two robust methods for testing hypotheses on unknown parameters of predictive regression models under heterogeneous and persistent volatility as well as endogenous, persistent and/or fat-tailed regressors and errors. The proposed…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-25 Rustam Ibragimov , Jihyun Kim , Anton Skrobotov

When one observes a sequence of variables $(x_1, y_1), \ldots, (x_n, y_n)$, Conformal Prediction (CP) is a methodology that allows to estimate a confidence set for $y_{n+1}$ given $x_{n+1}$ by merely assuming that the distribution of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-08 Eugene Ndiaye

Existing sequential generalized estimating equation methodology for longitudinal and group-correlated data focuses on narrow hypotheses concerning treatment efficacy and often makes modeling assumptions that impede the desirable robustness…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-16 Nathan T. Provost , Abdus S. Wahed

In Kuznetsov et al. (2011) a new Monte Carlo simulation technique was introduced for a large family of Levy processes that is based on the Wiener-Hopf decomposition. We pursue this idea further by combining their technique with the recently…

In this paper, we propose a new modified likelihood ratio test (LRT) for simultaneously testing mean vectors and covariance matrices of two-sample populations in high-dimensional settings. By employing tools from Random Matrix Theory (RMT),…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-12 Zhenzhen Niu , Jianghao Li , Wenya Luo , Zhidong Bai

Recent advancements in large language models (LLMs) integrating explicit reasoning, such as OpenAI's o3-mini, DeepSeek-R1, and QWQ-32B, enable smaller models to solve complex tasks by generating intermediate reasoning steps prior to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Jaeyeon Lee , Guantong Qi , Matthew Brady Neeley , Zhandong Liu , Hyun-Hwan Jeong

High-dimensional autocovariance matrices play an important role in dimension reduction for high-dimensional time series. In this article, we establish the central limit theorem (CLT) for spiked eigenvalues of high-dimensional sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Daning Bi , Xiao Han , Adam Nie , Yanrong Yang

The randomized $p$-value, (nonrandomized) mid-$p$-value and abstract randomized $p$-value have all been recommended for testing a null hypothesis whenever the test statistic has a discrete distribution. This paper provides a unifying…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-02 Joshua D Habiger

We study the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) in the so-called hybrid Lebesgue-continuous spaces and tail behavior of normed sums of centered random independent variables (vectors) with values in these spaces.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-11 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

This paper investigates the asymptotic properties of quantile regression estimators in linear models, with a particular focus on polynomial regressors and robustness to heavy-tailed noise. Under independent and identically distributed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Saïd Maanan , Azzouz Dermoune , Ahmed El Ghini

Many high-dimensional hypothesis tests aim to globally examine marginal or low-dimensional features of a high-dimensional joint distribution, such as testing of mean vectors, covariance matrices and regression coefficients. This paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Yinqiu He , Gongjun Xu , Chong Wu , Wei Pan

Using the theory of free random variables (FRV) and the Coulomb gas analogy, we construct stable random matrix ensembles that are random matrix generalizations of the classical one-dimensional stable L\'{e}vy distributions. We show that the…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Z. Burda , R. A. Janik , J. Jurkiewicz , M. A. Nowak , G. Papp , I. Zahed

Bayes Factors, the Bayesian tool for hypothesis testing, are receiving increasing attention in the literature. Compared to their frequentist rivals ($p$-values or test statistics), Bayes Factors have the conceptual advantage of providing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Stavros Nikolakopoulos , Björn Alfons Edmar , Ioannis Ntzoufras

The two-sample test is a fundamental problem in statistics with a wide range of applications. In the realm of high-dimensional data, nonparametric methods have gained prominence due to their flexibility and minimal distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-24 Zexi Cai , Wenbo Fei , Doudou Zhou

We establish two results about local times of spectrally positive stable processes. The first is a general approximation result, uniform in space and on compact time intervals, in a model where each jump of the stable process may be marked…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-22 Noah Forman , Soumik Pal , Douglas Rizzolo , Matthias Winkel

We consider the problem of multiple hypothesis testing with generic side information: for each hypothesis $H_i$ we observe both a p-value $p_i$ and some predictor $x_i$ encoding contextual information about the hypothesis. For large-scale…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-26 Lihua Lei , William Fithian

Fithian and Hastie (2014) proposed a new sampling scheme called local case-control (LCC) sampling that achieves stability and efficiency by utilizing a clever adjustment pertained to the logistic model. It is particularly useful for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-07 Xinwei Shen , Kani Chen , Wen Yu

We investigate an algorithm named histogram transform ensembles (HTE) density estimator whose effectiveness is supported by both solid theoretical analysis and significant experimental performance. On the theoretical side, by decomposing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-27 Hanyuan Hang