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We discuss a general approach to handling "multiple hypotheses" testing in the case when a particular hypothesis states that the vector of parameters identifying the distribution of observations belongs to a convex compact set associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-24 A. Goldenshluger , A. Juditski , A. Nemirovski

Composite likelihood inference has gained much popularity thanks to its computational manageability and its theoretical properties. Unfortunately, performing composite likelihood ratio tests is inconvenient because of their awkward…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-01 Manuela Cattelan , Nicola Sartori

We introduce a joint posterior $p$-value, an extension of the posterior predictive $p$-value for multiple test statistics, designed to address limitations of existing Bayesian $p$-values in the setting of continuous model expansion. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-13 Collin Cademartori

Let $\mathbf{X}_n=(x_{ij})$ be a $k \times n$ data matrix with complex-valued, independent and standardized entries satisfying a Lindeberg-type moment condition. We consider simultaneously $R$ sample covariance matrices…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Weiming Li , Zeng Li , Jianfeng Yao

The conditional average treatment effect (CATE) is the best measure of individual causal effects given baseline covariates. However, the CATE only captures the (conditional) average, and can overlook risks and tail events, which are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-05 Nathan Kallus , Miruna Oprescu

We develop a central limit theorem (CLT) for a non-parametric estimator of the transition matrices in controlled Markov chains (CMCs) with finite state-action spaces. Our results establish precise conditions on the logging policy under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Ziwei Su , Imon Banerjee , Diego Klabjan

In this paper, we obtain a new characterization result for symmetric distributions based on the entropy measure. Using the characterization, we propose a nonparametric test to test the symmetry of a distribution. We also develop the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-14 Ganesh Vishnu Avhad , Ananya Lahiri , Sudheesh K. Kattumannil

We study breakdown of $CPT$ symmetry which can occur in the decay process $B \bar B \to l^\pm X^\mp f$ with $f$ being a CP eigenstate. In this process, the standard model expectations for time ordered semi-leptonic and hadronic events, i.e.…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-11-10 K. R. S. Balaji , Wilfried Horn , E. A. Paschos

P-value functions are modern statistical tools that unify effect estimation and hypothesis testing and can provide alternative point and interval estimates compared to standard meta-analysis methods, using any of the many $p$-value…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 Leonhard Held , Felix Hofmann , Samuel Pawel

We study the fluctuations of the eigenvalues of real valued large centrosymmetric random matrices via its linear eigenvalue statistic. This is essentially a central limit theorem (CLT) for sums of dependent random variables. The dependence…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Indrajit Jana , Sunita Rani

Although prospective logistic regression is the standard method of analysis for case-control data, it has been recently noted that in genetic epidemiologic studies one can use the ``retrospective'' likelihood to gain major power by…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-10-25 Nilanjan Chatterjee , Yi-Hau Chen , Sheng Luo , Raymond J. Carroll

In genetic association studies, rare variants with extremely small allele frequency play a crucial role in complex traits, and the set-based testing methods that jointly assess the effects of groups of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs)…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-13 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Hisashi Noma

Under a multinormal distribution with an arbitrary unknown covariance matrix, the main purpose of this paper is to propose a framework to achieve the goal of reconciliation of Bayesian, frequentist, and Fisher's reporting $p$-values,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-10 Ming-Tien Tsai

This paper proposes an adaptive sparse polynomial chaos expansion(PCE)-based method to quantify the impacts of uncertainties on critical clearing time (CCT) that is an important index in transient stability analysis. The proposed method can…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-10 Jingyu Liu , Xiaoting Wang , Xiaozhe Wang

Modeling uncertainty in heavy-tailed time series remains a critical challenge for deep probabilistic forecasting models, which often struggle to capture abrupt, extreme events. While L\'evy stable distributions offer a natural framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Yang Yang , Du Yin , Hao Xue , Flora Salim

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a powerful framework for constructing prediction sets with guaranteed coverage. However, recent studies have shown that integrating confidence calibration with CP can lead to a degradation in efficiency. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Rui Luo , Nicolo Colombo

We consider a statistical test whose p-value can only be approximated using Monte Carlo simulations. We are interested in deciding whether the p-value for an observed data set lies above or below a given threshold such as 5%. We want to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-10 Dong Ding , Axel Gandy , Georg Hahn

The tail behavior of aggregates of heavy-tailed random vectors is known to be determined by the so-called principle of "one large jump'', be it for finite sums, random sums, or, L\'evy processes. We establish that, in fact, a more general…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-26 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

Statistical models of unobserved heterogeneity are typically formalized as mixtures of simple parametric models and interest naturally focuses on testing for homogeneity versus general mixture alternatives. Many tests of this type can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-22 Jiaying Gu , Roger Koenker , Stanislav Volgushev

Testing for white noise is a classical yet important problem in statistics, especially for diagnostic checks in time series modeling and linear regression. For high-dimensional time series in the sense that the dimension $p$ is large in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Zeng Li , Clifford Lam , Jianfeng Yao , Qiwei Yao
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