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A key feature of a sequential study is that the actual sample size is a random variable that typically depends on the outcomes collected. While hypothesis testing theory for sequential designs is well established, parameter and precision…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-21 Ben Berckmoes , Geert Molenberghs

Although copulas are used and defined for various infinite-dimensional objects (e.g. Gaussian processes and Markov processes), there is no prevalent notion of a copula that unifies these concepts. We propose a unified approach and define…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-23 Fred Espen Benth , Giulia Di Nunno , Dennis Schroers

We develop an algorithm for computing bounded reachability probability for hybrid systems, i.e., the probability that the system reaches an unsafe region within a finite number of discrete transitions. In particular, we focus on hybrid…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-05-13 Fedor Shmarov , Paolo Zuliani

When the copula of the conditional distribution of two random variables given a covariate does not depend on the value of the covariate, two conflicting intuitions arise about the best possible rate of convergence attainable by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-17 François Portier , Johan Segers

Several Artificial Intelligence schemes for reasoning under uncertainty explore either explicitly or implicitly asymmetries among probabilities of various states of their uncertain domain models. Even though the correct working of these…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Marek J. Druzdzel

We discuss the connection between information and copula theories by showing that a copula can be employed to decompose the information content of a multivariate distribution into marginal and dependence components, with the latter…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-26 Rafael S. Calsaverini , Renato Vicente

This paper presents an introduction to the stochastic concepts of \emph{coupling} and \emph{copula}. Coupling means the construction of a joint distribution of two or more random variables that need not be defined on one and the same…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-18 Hans Colonius

Order statistics theory is applied in this paper to probabilistic robust control theory to compute the minimum sample size needed to come up with a reliable estimate of an uncertain quantity under continuity assumption of the related…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-05-13 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou

Copulas, generalized estimating equations, and generalized linear mixed models promote the analysis of grouped data where non-normal responses are correlated. Unfortunately, parameter estimation remains challenging in these three…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 Sarah S. Ji , Benjamin B. Chu , Hua Zhou , Kenneth Lange

This paper develops new methodology, together with related theories, for combining information from independent studies through confidence distributions. A formal definition of a confidence distribution and its asymptotic counterpart (i.e.,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Kesar Singh , Minge Xie , William E. Strawderman

We consider the problem of sequentially testing a simple null hypothesis versus a composite alternative hypothesis that consists of a finite set of densities. We study sequential tests that are based on thresholding of mixture-based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-23 Georgios Fellouris , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

We derive theorems which outline explicit mechanisms by which anomalous scaling for the probability density function of the sum of many correlated random variables asymptotically prevails. The results characterize general anomalous scaling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Attilio L. Stella , Fulvio Baldovin

Standardness is a popular assumption in the literature on set estimation. It also appears in statistical approaches to topological data analysis, where it is common to assume that the data were sampled from a probability measure that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Alejandro Cholaquidis , Leonardo Moreno , Beatriz Pateiro-López

A generalization of stable and casual stable probability distribution is proposed. The notion of $\go G$-casual stability can be used to introduce discrete analogues of stable distributions on the sent $\mathbb Z$ of integers. In contrary…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-09 Lev B. Klebanov

Understanding the way in which random entities interact is of key interest in numerous scientific fields. This can range from a full characterization of the joint distribution to single scalar summary statistics. In this work we identify a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-22 Yaniv Tenzer , Gal Elidan

Finding interdependency relations between (possibly multivariate) time series provides valuable knowledge about the processes that generate the signals. Information theory sets a natural framework for non-parametric measures of several…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-09 German Gomez-Herrero , Wei Wu , Kalle Rutanen , Miguel C. Soriano , Gordon Pipa , Raul Vicente

We study the approximation of non-negative multi-variate couplings in the uniform norm while matching given single-variable marginal constraints.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-25 Ugo Bindini , Tapio Rajala

A new expression as a certain asymptotic limit via "discrete micro-states" of permutations is provided to the mutual information of both continuous and discrete random variables.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 F. Hiai , D. Petz

Suppose we are given the conditional probability of one variable given some other variables.Normally the full joint distribution over the conditioning variablesis required to determine the probability of the conditioned variable.Under what…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Avi Pfeffer

A common approach to aggregate classification estimates in an ensemble of decision trees is to either use voting or to average the probabilities for each class. The latter takes uncertainty into account, but not the reliability of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-17 Florian Busch , Moritz Kulessa , Eneldo Loza Mencía , Hendrik Blockeel