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This paper develops an intuitive concept of perfect dependence between two variables of which at least one has a nominal scale. Perfect dependence is attainable for all marginal distributions. It furthermore proposes a set of dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Jan-Lukas Wermuth

Strict frequentism defines probability as the limiting relative frequency in an infinite sequence. What if the limit does not exist? We present a broader theory, which is applicable also to random phenomena that exhibit diverging relative…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-07 Christian Fröhlich , Rabanus Derr , Robert C. Williamson

We extend previously proposed measures of complexity, emergence, and self-organization to continuous distributions using differential entropy. This allows us to calculate the complexity of phenomena for which distributions are known. We…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-04-01 Guillermo Santamaría-Bonfil , Nelson Fernández , Carlos Gershenson

The large-sample properties of likelihood-based statistical inference under mixture models have received much attention from statisticians. Although the consistency of the nonparametric MLE is regarded as a standard conclusion, many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-06 Jiahua Chen

In applied probability, the normal approximation is often used for the distribution of data with assumed additive structure. This tradition is based on the central limit theorem for sums of (independent) random variables. However, it is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Alexandra Dorofeeva , Victor Korolev , Alexander Zeifman

Testing the independence between random vectors is a fundamental problem in statistics. Distance correlation, a recently popular dependence measure, is universally consistent for testing independence against all distributions with finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Yuwei Ke , Hok Kan Ling , Yanglei Song

The maximum entropy principle is a powerful tool for solving underdetermined inverse problems. This paper considers the problem of discretizing a continuous distribution, which arises in various applied fields. We obtain the approximating…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Ken'ichiro Tanaka , Alexis Akira Toda

The partial correlation coefficient is a commonly used measure to assess the conditional dependence between two random variables. We provide a thorough explanation of the partial copula, which is a natural generalization of the partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-13 Fabian Spanhel , Malte S. Kurz

This paper develops a hybrid likelihood (HL) method based on a compromise between parametric and nonparametric likelihoods. Consider the setting of a parametric model for the distribution of an observation $Y$ with parameter $\theta$.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Nils Lid Hjort , Ian W. McKeague , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Stochastic dynamical systems consisting of non-invertible continuous maps on an interval are studied. It is proved that if they satisfy the recently introduced so-called $\mu$-injectivity and some mild assumptions, then proximality,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Sander C. Hille , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Oppelmayer , Tomasz Szarek

Recently, Halpern and Leung suggested representing uncertainty by a weighted set of probability measures, and suggested a way of making decisions based on this representation of uncertainty: maximizing weighted regret. Their paper does not…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-09-06 Joseph Y. Halpern

This study outlines a comprehensive methodology utilizing copulas to discern inconsistencies in the behavior exhibited by pairs of financial assets. It introduces a robust approach to establishing the interrelationship between the returns…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-05 Alexander Shulzhenko

The $\lambda$-exponential family generalizes the standard exponential family via a generalized convex duality motivated by optimal transport. It is the constant-curvature analogue of the exponential family from the information-geometric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Xiwei Tian , Ting-Kam Leonard Wong , Jiaowen Yang , Jun Zhang

In this paper we consider a variety of procedures for numerical statistical inference in the family of univariate and multivariate stable distributions. In connection with univariate distributions (i) we provide approximations by finite…

Computation · Statistics 2012-09-04 Efthymios G. Tsionas

Looking at bivariate copulas from the perspective of conditional distributions and considering weak convergence of almost all conditional distributions yields the notion of weak conditional convergence. At first glance, this notion of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-12 Thimo M. Kasper , Sebastian Fuchs , Wolfgang Trutschnig

We consider multivariate extreme value statistics for independent but nonidentically distributed random vectors. In particular, the data may have varying tail copulas and also heteroscedastic marginal distributions. Assuming smoothly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 John H. J. Einmahl , Chen Zhou

Recently maximum pseudo-likelihood (MPL) inference method has been successfully applied to statistical physics models with intractable likelihoods. We use information theory to derive a relation between the pseudo-likelihood and likelihood…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-18 Alexander Mozeika , Onur Dikmen , Joonas Piili

We discuss in detail the asymptotic distribution of sample expectiles. First, we show uniform consistency under the assumption of a finite mean. In case of a finite second moment, we show that for expectiles other then the mean, only the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-14 Hajo Holzmann , Bernhard Klar

The problem of sequentially detecting an abrupt change in a sequence of independent and identically distributed (IID) random variables is addressed. Whereas previous approaches assume a known probability density function (PDF) at the start…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-11 James Falt , Steven D. Blostein

Building upon the theory of graph limits and the Aldous-Hoover representation and inspired by Panchenko's work on asymptotic Gibbs measures (Annals of Probability 2013), we construct continuous embeddings of discrete probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-17 Amin Coja-Oghlan , Will Perkins , Kathrin Skubch
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