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A nonparametric Bayes approach is proposed for the problem of estimating a sparse sequence based on Gaussian random variables. We adopt the popular two-group prior with one component being a point mass at zero, and the other component being…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-31 Yunbo Ouyang , Feng Liang

Uncertainty in state or model parameters is common in robotics and typically handled by acquiring system measurements that yield information about the uncertain quantities of interest. Inputs to a nonlinear dynamical system yield outcomes…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-08-04 Parker Ewen , Gitesh Gunjal , Joey Wilson , Jinsun Liu , Challen Enninful Adu , Ram Vasudevan

We present two approaches to system identification, i.e. the identification of partial differential equations (PDEs) from measurement data. The first is a regression-based Variational System Identification procedure that is advantageous in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-03-28 Zhenlin Wang , Bowei Wu , Krishna Garikipati , Xun Huan

The deployment of autonomous systems that operate in unstructured environments necessitates algorithms to verify their safety. This can be challenging due to, e.g., black-box components in the control software, or undermodelled dynamics…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-17 John Jackson , Luca Laurenti , Eric Frew , Morteza Lahijanian

The design of reliable indicators to anticipate critical transitions in complex systems is an im portant task in order to detect a coming sudden regime shift and to take action in order to either prevent it or mitigate its consequences. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-14 Martin Heßler , Oliver Kamps

Linear dynamical systems are canonical models for learning-based control of plants with uncertain dynamics. The setting consists of a stochastic differential equation that captures the state evolution of the plant understudy, while the true…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-03 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Mohamad Sadegh Shirani Faradonbeh

The Gaussian process state space model (GPSSM) is a non-linear dynamical system, where unknown transition and/or measurement mappings are described by GPs. Most research in GPSSMs has focussed on the state estimation problem, i.e.,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-08 Stefanos Eleftheriadis , Thomas F. W. Nicholson , Marc Peter Deisenroth , James Hensman

Bayesian filtering is a general framework for recursively estimating the state of a dynamical system. Classical solutions such that Kalman filter and Particle filter are introduced in this report. Gaussian processes have been introduced as…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-11-04 Mr. Chong Han , Dr. Ido Nevat , Dr. Gareth Peters , Prof. Jinhong Yuan

The problem of distributed identification of linear stochastic system with unknown coefficients over time-varying networks is considered. For estimating the unknown coefficients, each agent in the network can only access the input and the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-04 Kewei Fu , Han-Fu Chen , Wenxiao Zhao

We consider the problem of sequential estimation of the unknowns of state-space and deep state-space models that include estimation of functions and latent processes of the models. The proposed approach relies on Gaussian and deep Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Yuhao Liu , Marzieh Ajirak , Petar Djuric

While the Graybox characterization method allows for implicit noise models and is platform-agnostic, the method lacks uncertainty quantification. Characterization of quantum devices is a crucial process that enables researchers to gain…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-09-30 Poramet Pathumsoot , Michal Hajdušek , Rodney Van Meter

In this paper, we aim to design and analyze distributed Bayesian estimation algorithms for sensor networks. The challenges we address are to (i) derive a distributed provably-correct algorithm in the functional space of probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Parth Paritosh , Nikolay Atanasov , Sonia Martinez

This paper proposes a new class of real-time optimization schemes to overcome system-model mismatch of uncertain processes. This work's novelty lies in integrating derivative-free optimization schemes and multi-fidelity Gaussian processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-11 Panagiotis Petsagkourakis , Benoit Chachuat , Ehecatl Antonio del Rio-Chanona

While the identification of nonlinear dynamical systems is a fundamental building block of model-based reinforcement learning and feedback control, its sample complexity is only understood for systems that either have discrete states and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-19 Horia Mania , Michael I. Jordan , Benjamin Recht

Focusing on identification, this paper develops techniques to reconstruct zero and nonzero elements of a sparse parameter vector of a stochastic dynamic system under feedback control, for which the current input may depend on the past…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-04 Wenxiao Zhao , George G. Yin , Er-Wei Bai

We describe algorithms for learning Bayesian networks from a combination of user knowledge and statistical data. The algorithms have two components: a scoring metric and a search procedure. The scoring metric takes a network structure,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Dan Geiger , David Heckerman

We propose stochastic, non-parametric activation functions that are fully learnable and individual to each neuron. Complexity and the risk of overfitting are controlled by placing a Gaussian process prior over these functions. The result is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-01 Sebastian Urban , Marcus Basalla , Patrick van der Smagt

We consider how to characterize the dynamics of a quantum system from a restricted set of initial states and measurements using Bayesian analysis. Previous work has shown that Hamiltonian systems can be well estimated from analysis of noisy…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-03-04 S. G. Schirmer , D. K. L. Oi

In this paper we propose a new methodology for solving a discrete time stochastic Markovian control problem under model uncertainty. By utilizing the Dirichlet process, we model the unknown distribution of the underlying stochastic process…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Tao Chen , Jiyoun Myung

We focus on variational inference in dynamical systems where the discrete time transition function (or evolution rule) is modelled by a Gaussian process. The dominant approach so far has been to use a factorised posterior distribution,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-17 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , James Hensman , Carl Edward Rasmussen
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