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Balancing social utility and equity in distributing limited vaccines represents a critical policy concern for protecting against the prolonged COVID-19 pandemic. What is the nature of the trade-off between maximizing collective welfare and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-11-15 Lin Chen , Fengli Xu , Zhenyu Han , Kun Tang , Pan Hui , James Evans , Yong Li

In this paper, we present a decision support framework for optimizing multiple aspects of vaccine distribution across a multitier cold chain network. We propose two multi-period optimization formulations within this framework: first to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-12 Shanmukhi Sripada , Ayush Jain , Prasanna Ramamoorthy , Varun Ramamohan

We propose a versatile model with a flexible choice of control for an early-pandemic outbreak prevention when vaccine/drug is not yet available. At that stage, control is often limited to non-medical interventions like social distancing and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-14 Alexandra Smirnova , Xiaojing Ye

The aftermath of the Covid-19 pandemic saw more severe outcomes for racial minority groups and economically-deprived communities. Such disparities can be explained by several factors, including unequal access to healthcare, as well as the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Nicola Neophytou , Afaf Taïk , Golnoosh Farnadi

The optimal allocation of vaccines to population subgroups over time is a challenging health care management problem. In the context of a pandemic, the interaction between vaccination policies adopted by multiple agents and the cooperation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-22 David Rey , Ahmed W Hammad , Meead Saberi

We apply optimal control theory to a generalized SEIR-type model. The proposed system has three controls, representing social distancing, preventive means, and treatment measures to combat the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. We analyze…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-10 Mohamed Abdelaziz Zaitri , Mohand Ouamer Bibi , Delfim F. M. Torres

In this paper we model the role of a government of a large population as a mean field optimal control problem. Such control problems are constrainted by a PDE of continuity-type, governing the dynamics of the probability distribution of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-08-08 Giacomo Albi , Young-Pil Choi , Massimo Fornasier , Dante Kalise

This paper revisits a longstanding problem of interest concerning the distributed control of an epidemic process on human contact networks. Due to the stochastic nature and combinatorial complexity of the problem, finding optimal policies…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-12 Mohammad Mubarak , Cameron Nowzari

Motivated by the increasing number of COVID-19 cases that have been observed in many countries after the vaccination and relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions, we propose a mathematical model on time-varying networks for the spread…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-09 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

The vast majority of strategies aimed at controlling contagion processes on networks considers the connectivity pattern of the system as either quenched or annealed. However, in the real world many networks are highly dynamical and evolve…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-17 Suyu Liu , Nicola Perra , Marton Karsai , Alessandro Vespignani

We investigate an SIR model of epidemic propagation on networks in the context of mean-field games. In a real epidemic, individuals adjust their behavior depending on the epidemic level and the impact it might have on them in the future.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-27 Louis Bremaud , Olivier Giraud , Denis Ullmo

The study of epidemiological systems has generated deep interest in exploring the dynamical complexity of common infectious diseases driven by seasonally varying contact rates. Mathematical modeling and field observations have shown that,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-12-22 Jorge Duarte , Cristina Januário , Nuno Martins , Jesús Seoane , Miguel AF Sanjuán

In the simple mean-field SIS and SIR epidemic models, infection is transmitted from infectious to susceptible members of a finite population by independent p-coin tosses. Spatial variants of these models are proposed, in which finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-26 Steven P. Lalley

This paper presents a simple continuous-time linear vaccination-based control strategy for a SEIR (susceptible plus infected plus infectious plus removed populations) propagation disease model. The model takes into account the total…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-03-28 M. De la Sen , A. Ibeas , S. Alonso-Quesada

In this paper, we study the problem of minimizing the spread of a viral epidemic when immunization takes a non-negligible amount of time to take into effect. Specifically, our problem is to determine which set of nodes to be vaccinated when…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-07-14 Shiju Li , Xin Huang , Chul-Ho Lee , Do Young Eun

We introduce the concept of {\it mean-field optimal control} which is the rigorous limit process connecting finite dimensional optimal control problems with ODE constraints modeling multi-agent interactions to an infinite dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Massimo Fornasier , Francesco Solombrino

This study explores the vaccine prioritization strategy to reduce the overall burden of the pandemic when the supply is limited. Existing methods conduct macro-level or simplified micro-level vaccine distribution by assuming the homogeneous…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-10 Lu Ling , Washim Uddin Mondal , Satish V , Ukkusuri

We introduce the rigorous limit process connecting finite dimensional sparse optimal control problems with ODE constraints, modeling parsimonious interventions on the dynamics of a moving population divided into leaders and followers, to an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Massimo Fornasier , Benedetto Piccoli , Francesco Rossi

Epidemic spread on networks is one of the most studied dynamics in network science and has important implications in real epidemic scenarios. Nonetheless, the dynamics of real epidemics and how it is affected by the underline structure of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-08 Bnaya Gross , Shlomo Havlin

The Covid-19 pandemic revealed the difficulties of vaccinating a population under the circumstances marked by urgency and limited availability of doses while balancing benefits associated with distinct guidelines satisfying specific ethical…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-08 Pedro Ribeiro de Almeida , Vitor Hirata Sanches , Carla Goldman