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We consider the problem of approximate Bayesian inference in log-supermodular models. These models encompass regular pairwise MRFs with binary variables, but allow to capture high-order interactions, which are intractable for existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-25 Josip Djolonga , Andreas Krause

We establish an invariance principle for a general class of stationary random fields indexed by $\mathbb Z^d$, under Hannan's condition generalized to $\mathbb Z^d$. To do so we first establish a uniform integrability result for stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-17 Dalibor Volný , Yizao Wang

We study the parameter estimation for parabolic, linear, second-order, stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) observing a mild solution on a discrete grid in time and space. A high-frequency regime is considered where the mesh of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-11 Markus Bibinger , Mathias Trabs

We present a novel generic framework to approximate the non-equilibrium steady states of dissipative quantum many-body systems. It is based on the variational minimization of a suitable norm of the quantum master equation describing the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-02-20 Hendrik Weimer

Gaussian Process Latent Variable Models (GPLVMs) have become increasingly popular for unsupervised tasks such as dimensionality reduction and missing data recovery due to their flexibility and non-linear nature. An importance-weighted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Jian Xu , Shian Du , Junmei Yang , Qianli Ma , Delu Zeng , John Paisley

Functional Gaussian graphical models (GGM) used for analyzing multivariate functional data customarily estimate an unknown graphical model representing the conditional relationships between the functional variables. However, in many…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-03 Debangan Dey , Sudipto Banerjee , Martin Lindquist , Abhirup Datta

In this paper, we establish three criteria for the asymptotic behavior of Markov-Feller semigroups. First, we present a criterion for convergence in total variation to a unique invariant measure, requiring only $TV$-eventual continuity of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Ting Li , Xianming Liu

Accurately quantifying uncertainty of individual treatment effects (ITEs) across multiple decision points is crucial for personalized decision-making in fields such as healthcare, finance, education, and online marketplaces. Previous work…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-10 Swaraj Bose , Walter Dempsey

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

The purpose of this paper is to establish a variational representation \log \E [e^{f(B)}] = \sup_h \E [f(B + \int_0^{\cdot} d<B>_s h_s) - 1/2 \int_0^1 h_s \cdot (d<B>_s h_s)] for functionals of the d-dimensional G-Brownian motion B. Here \E…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-04 Emi Osuka

Adaptive clinical trials rely on interim analyses, flexible stopping, and data-dependent design modifications that complicate statistical guarantees when fixed-horizon test statistics are repeatedly inspected or reused after adaptations.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Alexandra Sokolova , Vadim Sokolov

We provide some sufficient mixing conditions on a strictly stationary sequence in order to guarantee the weak invariance principle in H\"older spaces. Strong mixing and $\rho$-mixing conditions are investigated as well as $\tau$-dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-28 Davide Giraudo

Invariant and equivariant models incorporate the symmetry of an object to be estimated (here non-parametric regression functions $f : \mathcal{X} \rightarrow \mathbb{R}$). These models perform better (with respect to $L^2$ loss) and are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-31 Louis G. Christie , John A. D. Aston

Spearheaded by the recent efforts to derive stochastic geophysical fluid dynamics models, we present a generic framework for introducing stochasticity into variational principles through the concept of a semi-martingale driven variational…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-04-07 Oliver D. Street , Dan Crisan

Motivated by applications to stochastic programming, we introduce and study the expected-integral functionals, which are mappings given in an integral form depending on two variables, the first a finite dimensional decision vector and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-15 Boris S. Mordukhovich , Pedro Pérez-Aros

A novel stability-enhanced Gaussian process variational autoencoder (SEGP-VAE) is proposed for indirectly training a low-dimensional linear time invariant (LTI) system, using high-dimensional video data. The mean and covariance function of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Carl R. Richardson , Jichen Zhang , Ethan King , Ján Drgoňa

The conditional moment problem is a powerful formulation for describing structural causal parameters in terms of observables, a prominent example being instrumental variable regression. A standard approach reduces the problem to a finite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Andrew Bennett , Nathan Kallus

This paper is devoted to the study of directional minimal time functions that specify the minimal time for a vector to reach an object following its given direction. We provide a careful analysis of general and generalized differentiation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-01-08 Nguyen Mau Nam , Constantin Zalinescu

Variational inference often struggles with the posterior geometry exhibited by complex hierarchical Bayesian models. Recent advances in flow-based variational families and Variationally Inferred Parameters (VIP) each address aspects of this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Joohwan Ko , Justin Domke

The paper gives a brief account of the spaces of interval functions defined through the concepts of H-continuity, D-continuity and S-continuity. All three continuity concepts generalize the usual concept of continuity for real (point…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Roumen Anguelov