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We address the problem of forecasting a time series meeting the Causal Bernoulli Shift model, using a parametric set of predictors. The aggregation technique provides a predictor with well established and quite satisfying theoretical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-27 Andres Sanchez-Perez

We present an agent-based simulator for economic systems with heterogeneous households, firms, central bank, and government agents. These agents interact to define production, consumption, and monetary flow. Each agent type has distinct…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Kshama Dwarakanath , Svitlana Vyetrenko , Tucker Balch

Shaping thermoplastic sheets into three-dimensional products is challenging since overheating results in failed manufactured parts and wasted material. To this end, we propose an indirect data-driven predictive control approach using Model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-25 Hadi Hosseinionari , Mohammad Bajelani , Klaske van Heusden , Abbas S. Milani , Rudolf Seethaler

This paper presents a kernelized offset-free data-driven predictive control scheme for nonlinear systems. Traditional model-based and data-driven predictive controllers often struggle with inaccurate predictors or persistent disturbances,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-02 Thomas Oliver de Jong , Mircea Lazar

We propose a tube-based guaranteed cost model predictive controller considering a homothetic formulation for constrained linear systems subject to multiplicative structured norm-bounded uncertainties. It provides an upper bound to the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-15 Carlos M. Massera , Marco H. Terra , Denis F. Wolf

Owing to the call for energy efficiency, the need to optimize the energy consumption of commercial buildings-- responsible for over 40% of US energy consumption--has recently gained significant attention. Moreover, the ability to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Mohammad Ostadijafari , Anamika Dubey , Yang Liu , Jie Shi , Nanpeng Yu

Despite the success of model predictive control (MPC), its application to high-dimensional systems, such as flexible structures and coupled fluid/rigid-body systems, remains a largely open challenge due to excessive computational…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-05-03 Joseph Lorenzetti , Benoit Landry , Sumeet Singh , Marco Pavone

We investigate control of a non-linear process when communication and processing capabilities are limited. The sensor communicates with a controller node through an erasure channel which introduces i.i.d. packet dropouts. Processor…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-15 Daniel E. Quevedo , Vijay Gupta , Wann-Jiun Ma , Serdar Yuksel

Model predictive control allows to provide high performance and safety guarantees in the form of constraint satisfaction. These properties, however, can be satisfied only if the underlying model, used for prediction, of the controlled…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-25 Michael Maiworm , Daniel Limon , Rolf Findeisen

We propose and analyze a real-time model predictive control (MPC) scheme that utilizes stored data to improve its performance by learning the value function online with stability guarantees. For linear and nonlinear systems, a learning…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-23 Lukas Schwenkel , Meriem Gharbi , Sebastian Trimpe , Christian Ebenbauer

The behaviour of a space-modulated, so-called "argumental" oscillator is studied, which is represented by a model having an even-parity space-modulating function. Analytic expressions of a stability criterion and of discrete energy levels…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-06-30 Daniel Cintra , Pierre Argoul

We study the value of stochastic predictions in online optimal control with random disturbances. Prior work provides performance guarantees based on prediction error but ignores the stochastic dependence between predictions and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-06 Yiheng Lin , Christopher Yeh , Zaiwei Chen , Adam Wierman

In this paper, we analyze stability of nonlinear model predictive control (MPC) using data-driven surrogate models in the optimization step. First, we establish asymptotic stability of the origin, a controlled steady state, w.r.t. the MPC…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Irene Schimperna , Karl Worthmann , Manuel Schaller , Lea Bold , Lalo Magni

For time-inconsistent stochastic controls in discrete time and finite horizon, an open problem in Bj\"ork and Murgoci (Finance Stoch, 2014) is the existence of an equilibrium control. A nonrandomized Borel measurable Markov equilibrium…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-18 Erhan Bayraktar , Bingyan Han

Forecasting project expenses is a crucial step for businesses to avoid budget overruns and project failures. Traditionally, this has been done by financial analysts or data science techniques such as time-series analysis. However, these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Cheng Qian , Lucas Glass , Nikos Sidiropoulos

Predictive Business Process Monitoring is becoming an essential aid for organizations, providing online operational support of their processes. This paper tackles the fundamental problem of equipping predictive business process monitoring…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-18 Riccardo Galanti , Bernat Coma-Puig , Massimiliano de Leoni , Josep Carmona , Nicolò Navarin

Proof-of-work blockchains need to be carefully designed so as to create the proper incentives for miners to faithfully maintain the network in a sustainable way. This paper describes how the economic engineering of the Conflux Network, a…

General Economics · Economics 2020-04-29 Yuxi Cai , Fan Long , Andreas Park , Andreas Veneris

This paper proposes a novel hierarchical model predictive control (MPC) strategy that guarantees overall system stability. This method differs significantly from previous approaches to guaranteeing overall stability, which have relied upon…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-09-24 Chris Vermillion , Amor Menezes , Ilya Kolmanovsky

This paper develops a technique for computing a quadratic terminal cost for linear model predictive controllers that is valid for all states in the maximal control invariant set. This maximizes the set of recursively feasible states for the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-06 Mikael Johansson , Hamed Taghavian

Model agnostic controller learning, for instance by direct policy optimization, has been the object of renewed attention lately, since it avoids a computationally expensive system identification step. Indeed, direct policy search has been…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Mario Sznaier , Mustafa Bozdag