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This work primarily focuses on an operator inference methodology aimed at constructing low-dimensional dynamical models based on a priori hypotheses about their structure, often informed by established physics or expert insights. Stability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-04 Igor Pontes Duff , Pawan Goyal , Peter Benner

Conformal methods provide prediction sets for outcomes with confidence guarantees. We study their use in a selective inference setting, where inference is performed only when the prediction set is informative. The analyst may consider as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Israela Solomon , Etienne Roquain , Saharon Rosset , Ruth Heller

We investigate the connection between interference and computational power within the operationally defined framework of generalised probabilistic theories. To compare the computational abilities of different theories within this framework…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-07-30 Howard Barnum , Ciarán M. Lee , John H. Selby

Originating in the artificial intelligence literature, optimistic planning (OP) is an algorithm that generates near-optimal control inputs for generic nonlinear discrete-time systems whose input set is finite. This technique is therefore…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-06 Mathieu Granzotto , Romain Postoyan , Lucian Buşoniu , Dragan Nešić , Jamal Daafouz

Classical discrete-time adaptive controllers provide asymptotic stabilization. While the original adaptive controllers did not handle noise or unmodelled dynamics well, redesigned versions were proven to have some tolerance; however,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Daniel E. Miller

We construct models for the pricing and risk management of inflation-linked derivatives. The models are rational in the sense that linear payoffs written on the consumer price index have prices that are rational functions of the state…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-17 Henrik Dam , Andrea Macrina , David Skovmand , David Sloth

In this paper we propose a model predictive control scheme for constrained fractional-order discrete-time systems. We prove that all constraints are satisfied at all time instants and we prescribe conditions for the origin to be an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-06-16 Pantelis Sopasakis , Haralambos Sarimveis

We provide a stability and performance analysis for nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) schemes subject to input constraints. Given an exponential stabilizability and detectability condition w.r.t. the employed state cost, we provide…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Johannes Köhler , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Lars Grüne

We propose in this paper a general framework for deriving loss functions for structured prediction. In our framework, the user chooses a convex set including the output space and provides an oracle for projecting onto that set. Given that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-27 Mathieu Blondel

This article presents an identification benchmark based on data from a public swimming pool in operation. Such a system is both a complex process and easily understandable by all with regard to the stakes. Ultimately, the objective is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-24 François Gauthier-Clerc , Hoel Le Capitaine , Fabien Claveau , Philippe Chevrel

Trading algorithms that execute large orders are susceptible to exploitation by order anticipation strategies. This paper studies the influence of order anticipation strategies in a multi-investor model of optimal execution under transient…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-12 Elias Strehle

We consider the problem of robust and adaptive model predictive control (MPC) of a linear system, with unknown parameters that are learned along the way (adaptive), in a critical setting where failures must be prevented (robust). This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-22 Edouard Leurent , Denis Efimov , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard

In this paper, we propose a model predictive control based operation strategy that allows for power exchange between interconnected microgrids. Particularly, the approach ensures that each microgrid benefits from power exchange with others.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2023-11-14 A. K. Sampathirao , S. Hofmann , J. Raisch , C. A. Hans

Operational risk is the risk relative to monetary losses caused by failures of bank internal processes due to heterogeneous causes. A dynamical model including both spontaneous generation of losses and generation via interactions between…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-27 Marco Bardoscia

We propose a formulation for approximate constrained nonlinear output-feedback stochastic model predictive control. Starting from the ideal but intractable stochastic optimal control problem (OCP), which involves the optimization over…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Florian Messerer , Katrin Baumgärtner , Moritz Diehl

Economic Model Predictive Control (MPC) dissipativity theory is central to discussing the stability of policies resulting from minimizing economic stage costs. In its current form, the dissipativity theory for economic MPC applies to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-25 Sébastien Gros , Mario Zanon

Recently developed control methods with strong disturbance rejection capabilities provide a useful option for control design. The key lies in a general concept of disturbance and effective ways to estimate and compensate the disturbance.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-19 Wuhua Hu , Eduardo F. Camacho , Lihua Xie

Predictive control, which is based on a model of the system to compute the applied input optimizing the future system behavior, is by now widely used. If the nominal models are not given or are very uncertain, data-driven model predictive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-09 Hoang Hai Nguyen , Maurice Friedel , Rolf Findeisen

We address the problem of executing large client orders in continuous double-auction markets under time and liquidity constraints. We propose a model predictive control (MPC) framework that balances three competing objectives: order…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-01 Thomas P. McAuliffe , Samuel Liew , Yuchao Li , Andrey Ushenin , Chihang Wang , Alexandros Tasos , Jack Pearce , Dimitris Tasoulis , Dimitri P. Bertsekas , Theodoros Tsagaris

This study focuses on two important problems related to applying offline model-based optimization to real-world industrial control problems. The first problem is how to create a reliable probabilistic model that accurately captures the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Cheng Feng
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