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We propose to test the homogeneity of a Poisson process observed on a finite interval. In this framework, we first provide lower bounds for the uniform separation rates in $\mathbb{L}^2$ norm over classical Besov bodies and weak Besov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-05-08 M. Fromont , B. Laurent , P. Reynaud-Bouret

A large class of problems in sciences and engineering can be formulated as the general problem of constructing random intervals with pre-specified coverage probabilities for the mean. Wee propose a general approach for statistical inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-11 Xinjia Chen

The paper proposes a formal estimation procedure for parameters of the fractional Poisson process (fPp). Such procedures are needed to make the fPp model usable in applied situations. The basic idea of fPp, motivated by experimental data…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-08 Dexter Cahoy , Vladimir V. Uchaikin , Wojbor A. Woyczynski

Differential privacy is a restriction on data processing algorithms that provides strong confidentiality guarantees for individual records in the data. However, research on proper statistical inference, that is, research on properly…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Joerg Drechsler , Ira Globus-Harris , Audra McMillan , Jayshree Sarathy , Adam Smith

Under standard regularity assumptions, we provide simple approximations for specific classes of fiducial and confidence distributions and discuss their connections with objective Bayesian posteriors. For a real parameter the approximations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-18 Piero Veronese , Eugenio Melilli

The most frequently taught confidence intervals for a proportion are the classical Wald (Ws) and the Clopper-Pearson (CP) ones because of the simplicity of their definition. However, their actual coverage probability of the parameter p is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-07 Jean-Christophe Turlot , Jean François Petiot

We give a survey on the concept of Poissonian pair correlation (PPC) of sequences in the unit interval, on existing and recent results and we state a list of open problems. Moreover, we present and discuss a quite recent multi-dimensional…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-26 Gerhard Larcher , Wolfgang Stockinger

The following questions are discussed: ``Why confidence intervals are a hot topic?''; ``Are confidence intervals objective?''; ``What is the usefulness of coverage?''; ``How to obtain useful information from experiment?''; ``The confidence…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Giunti

Our work is focused on the joint sparsity recovery problem where the common sparsity pattern is corrupted by Poisson noise. We formulate the confidence-constrained optimization problem in both least squares (LS) and maximum likelihood (ML)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-10-10 E. Chunikhina , R. Raich , T. Nguyen

We study the frequentist properties of confidence intervals computed by the method known to statisticians as the Profile Likelihood. It is seen that the coverage of these intervals is surprisingly good over a wide range of possible…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Wolfgang A. Rolke , Angel M. Lopez , Jan Conrad

A new method for including systematic errors in the regression with Poisson data is reviewed in this contribution, with emphasis on applications to astronomical spectra. The method consists of generalizing the usual Poisson log-likelihood,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-23 M. Bonamente

The proposed approach extends the confidence posterior distribution to the semi-parametric empirical Bayes setting. Whereas the Bayesian posterior is defined in terms of a prior distribution conditional on the observed data, the confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-02 David R. Bickel

This paper utilizes the modified signed log-likelihood ratio method for the problem of inference about the common coefficient of variation in several independent normal populations. This method is applicable for both the problem of…

Computation · Statistics 2017-07-14 Mohmammad Reza Kazemi , Ali Akbar Jafari

It is well-known that assumptions of monotonicity in size-bias couplings may be used to prove simple, yet powerful, Poisson approximation results. Here we show how these assumptions may be relaxed, establishing explicit Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-30 Fraser Daly , Oliver Johnson

The (conditional or unconditional) distribution of the continuous scan statistic in a one-dimensional Poisson process may be approximated by that of a discrete analogue via time discretization (to be referred to as the discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Yi-Ching Yao , Daniel Wei-Chung Miao , Xenos Chang-Shuo Lin

The exact lower bound on the probability of the occurrence of exactly one of $n$ random events each of probability $p$ is obtained.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Iosif Pinelis

A family of consistent tests, derived from a characterization of the probability generating function, is proposed for assessing Poissonity against a wide class of count distributions, which includes some of the most frequently adopted…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Antonio Di Noia , Marzia Marcheselli , Caterina Pisani , Luca Pratelli

We present new estimators of the mean of a real valued random variable, based on PAC-Bayesian iterative truncation. We analyze the non-asymptotic minimax properties of the deviations of estimators for distributions having either a bounded…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-30 Olivier Catoni

In this paper, we study the minimum mean square estimator for a sublinear operator. Under some mild assumptions, we prove the existence and uniqueness of the minimum mean square estimator. Several characterizations of the minimum mean…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-19 Ji Shaolin , Sun Chuanfeng

We propose and study three confidence intervals (CIs) centered at an estimator that is intentionally biased to reduce mean squared error. The first CI simply uses an unbiased estimator's standard error; compared to centering at the unbiased…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-04 David M. Kaplan , Xin Liu