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The Poisson probability distribution is frequently encountered in physical science measurements. In spite of the simplicity and familiarity of this distribution, there is considerable confusion among physicists concerning the description of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-04-22 Frank C. Porter

Results of numerical procedure of constructing confidence intervals for parameter of the Poisson distribution of signal events in the presence of background events with known value of parameter of Poisson distribution are presented. It is…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 S. I. Bityukov , N. V. Krasnikov , V. A. Taperechkina

The construction of the Bayesian credible (confidence) interval for a Poisson observable including both the signal and background with and without systematic uncertainties is presented. Introducing the conditional probability satisfying the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 Yong-Sheng Zhu

A results of numerical procedure for construction of confidence intervals for parameter of Poisson distribution for signal in the presence of background which has Poisson distribution with known value of parameter are presented. It is shown…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 S. I. Bityukov , N. V. Krasnikov

The 'standard' confidence interval for a Poisson parameter is only one of a number of estimation intervals based on the chi-square distribution that may be used in the estimation of the mean or mean rate for a Poisson model. Other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-07 E. A. Maxwell

In this article, we derive an explicit formula for computing confidence interval for the mean of a bounded random variable. Moreover, we have developed multistage point estimation methods for estimating the mean value with prescribed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-29 Xinjia Chen

In this paper, we develop an approach for the exact determination of the minimum sample size for the estimation of a Poisson parameter with prescribed margin of error and confidence level. The exact computation is made possible by reducing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-19 Xinjia Chen

Interval estimation of the probability of success in a Binomial model is considered. Zieli\'nski (2018) showed that the confidence interval which uses information about non-homogeneity of the sample is better than the classical one. In the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-28 Stanisław Jaworski , Wojciech Zieliński

We study exact confidence intervals and two-sided hypothesis tests for univariate parameters of stochastically increasing discrete distributions, such as the binomial and Poisson distributions. It is shown that several popular methods for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-03 MÅns Thulin , Silvelyn Zwanzig

The possibility of construction of continuous analogue of Poisson distribution with the search of bounds of confidence intervals for parameter of Poisson distribution is discussed. Also, in the article is shown that the true value of a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 S. I. Bityukov , N. V. Krasnikov , V. A. Taperechkina

Well-recommended methods of forming `confidence intervals' for a binomial proportion give interval estimates that do not actually meet the definition of a confidence interval, in that their coverages are sometimes lower than the nominal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Paul H. Garthwaite , Maha W. Moustafa , Fadlalla G. Elfadaly

We review the methods of constructing confidence intervals that account for a priori information about one-sided constraints on the parameter being estimated. We show that the so-called method of sensitivity limit yields a correct solution…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-20 A. V. Lokhov , F. V. Tkachov

Confidence interval of mean is often used when quoting statistics. The same rigor is often missing when quoting percentiles and tolerance or percentile intervals. This article derives the expression for confidence in percentiles of a sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-01 Sanjay M. Joshi

In this paper, we derive an explicit sample size formula based a mixed criterion of absolute and relative errors for estimating means of Poisson random variables.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-04-21 Xinjia Chen

For any class of one-sided $1-\alpha$ confidence intervals with a certain monotonicity ordering on the random confidence limit, the smallest interval, in the sense of the set inclusion for the difference of two proportions of two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-19 Weizhen Wang

We present a new method for constructing a confidence interval for the mean of a bounded random variable from samples of the random variable. We conjecture that the confidence interval has guaranteed coverage, i.e., that it contains the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Erik Learned-Miller , Philip S. Thomas

We propose randomized confidence intervals based on the Neyman-Pearson lemma, in order to make them more broadly applicable to distributions that do not satisfy regularity conditions. This is achieved by using the definition of fuzzy…

We consider the Roe-Woodroofe construction of confidence intervals for the case of a Poisson distributed variate where the mean is the sum of a known background and an unknown non-negative signal. We point out that the intervals do not have…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Mark Mandelkern , Jonas Schultz

In this paper we first provide a method to compute confidence intervals for the center of a piecewise normal distribution given a sample from this distribution, under certain assumptions. We then extend this method to an asymptotic setting,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-08 Shu Lu , Hongsheng Liu

In this work, we consider an estimation method in sparse Poisson models inspired by [1] and provide novel sign consistency results under mild conditions.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-27 Marina Gomtsyan , Céline Lévy-Leduc , Sarah Ouadah , Laure Sansonnet
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