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Related papers: Vaccine allocation to blue-collar workers

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We formalize and study the problem of optimal allocation strategies for a (perfect) vaccine in the infinite-dimensional SIS model. The question may be viewed as a bi-objective minimization problem, where one tries to minimize simultaneously…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-27 Jean-François Delmas , Dylan Dronnier , Pierre-André Zitt

Motivated by the increasing number of COVID-19 cases that have been observed in many countries after the vaccination and relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions, we propose a mathematical model on time-varying networks for the spread…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-09 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

The pursuit of strategies that minimize the number of individuals needing vaccination to control an outbreak is a well-established area of study in mathematical epidemiology. However, for certain diseases, public policy tends to prioritize…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-30 J. Orestes Cerdeira , Fabio A. C. C. Chalub , Matheus Hansen

Vaccinations against viruses have always been the need of the hour since long past. However, it is hard to efficiently distribute the vaccines (on time) to all the corners of a country, especially during a pandemic. Considering the vastness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-03 Jayeeta Mondal , Jeet Dutta , Hrishav Bakul Barua

We formulate an optimal control problem to determine the lockdown policy to curb an epidemic where other control measures are not available yet. We present a unified framework to model the epidemic and economy that allows us to study the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-20 Jagtap Kalyani Devendra , Kundan Kandhway

This paper combines a canonical epidemiology model of disease dynamics with government policy of lockdown and testing, and agents' decision to social distance in order to avoid getting infected. The model is calibrated with data on deaths…

General Economics · Economics 2022-02-10 Shomak Chakrabarti , Ilia Krasikov , Rohit Lamba

The traditional long-term solutions for epidemic control involve eradication or population immunity. Here, we analytically derive the existence of a third viable solution: a stable equilibrium at low case numbers, where…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-15 Sebastian Contreras , Jonas Dehning , Sebastian B. Mohr , Simon Bauer , F. Paul Spitzner , Viola Priesemann

We propose and solve an optimal vaccination problem within a deterministic compartmental model of SIRS type: the immunized population can become susceptible again, e.g.\ because of a not complete immunization power of the vaccine. A social…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Salvatore Federico , Giorgio Ferrari , Maria-Laura Torrente

Vaccine delivery in under-resourced locations with security risks is not just challenging but also life threatening. The current COVID pandemic and the need to vaccinate have added even more urgency to this issue. Motivated by this problem,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-04-26 Tien Mai , Arunesh Sinha

We analyze an optimal control version of a simple SIRS epidemiology model. The policy maker can adopt policies to diminish the contact rate between infected and susceptible individuals, at a specific economic cost. The arrival of a vaccine…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-09 Evangelos Magirou

Background: Despite the consensus that vaccines play an important role in combating the global spread of infectious diseases, vaccine inequity is still rampant with deep-seated mentality of self-priority. This study aims to evaluate the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-16 Zhenyu Han , Qianyue Hao , Qiwei He , Katherine Budeski , Depeng Jin , Fengli Xu , Kun Tang

We evaluate the efficiency of various heuristic strategies for allocating vaccines against COVID-19 and compare them to strategies found using optimal control theory. Our approach is based on a mathematical model which tracks the spread of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-04 Jeta Molla , Alejandro Ponce de León Chávez , Takayuki Hiraoka , Tapio Ala-Nissila , Mikko Kivelä , Lasse Leskelä

This paper considers a simple model where a social planner can influence the spread-intensity of an infection wave, and, consequently, also the economic activity and population health, through a single parameter. Population health is…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-05-18 Tommy Andersson , Albin Erlanson , Daniel Spiro , Robert Östling

Motivated by the issue of COVID-19 mitigation, in this work we tackle the general problem of optimally controlling an epidemic outbreak of a communicable disease structured by time since exposure, by the aid of two types of control…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-13 Alberto d'Onofrio , Mimmo Iannelli , Piero Manfredi , Gabriela Marinoschi

In this paper, we study the problem of minimizing the spread of a viral epidemic when immunization takes a non-negligible amount of time to take into effect. Specifically, our problem is to determine which set of nodes to be vaccinated when…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-07-14 Shiju Li , Xin Huang , Chul-Ho Lee , Do Young Eun

We study in a general mathematical framework the optimal allocation of vaccine in an heterogeneous population. We cast the problem of optimal vaccination as a bi-objective minimization problem min(C($\eta$),L($\eta$)), where C and L stand…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-21 Jean-François Delmas , Dylan Dronnier , Pierre-André Zitt

Compartmental models have long served as important tools in mathematical epidemiology, with their usefulness highlighted by the recent COVID-19 pandemic. However, most of the classical models fail to account for certain features of this…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Monique Chyba , Taylor Klotz , Yuriy Mileyko , Corey Shanbrom

With significant population fractions in many societies who refuse vaccines, it is important to reconsider how vaccination is incorporated into compartmental epidemiology models. It is still most common to apply the vaccination rate to the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-09 Glenn Ledder

Millions of young people are not immunized in low- and middle-income (LMI) countries because of low vaccine availability resulting from inefficiencies in cold supply chains. We create supply chain network design and distribution models to…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-11 Zahra Azadi , Sandra D. Eksioglu , H. Neil Geismar

We investigate how a population's natural and vaccine immunity affects the competitive balance between two strains of an infectious disease with different epidemiological characteristics. Specifically, we consider the case where one strain…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Matthew D. Johnston , Bruce Pell , Jared Pemberton , David A. Rubel