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Respondent-Driven Sampling (RDS) employs a variant of a link-tracing network sampling strategy to collect data from hard-to-reach populations. By tracing the links in the underlying social network, the process exploits the social structure…

Applications · Statistics 2009-04-14 Krista J. Gile , Mark S. Handcock

An analytical study of the disease COVID-19 in Colombia was carried out using mathematical models such as Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed (SEIR), Logistic Regression (LR), and a machine learning method called Polynomial Regression…

Psychology research focuses on interactions, and this has deep implications for inference from non-representative samples. For the goal of estimating average treatment effects, we propose to fit a model allowing treatment to interact with…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-15 Lauren Kennedy , Andrew Gelman

Infectious disease modeling and forecasting have played a key role in helping assess and respond to epidemics and pandemics. Recent work has leveraged data on disease peak infection and peak hospital incidence to fit compartmental models…

We develop a statistical model for the testing of disease prevalence in a population. The model assumes a binary test result, positive or negative, but allows for biases in sample selection and both type I (false positive) and type II…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-28 Lucas Böttcher , Maria R. D'Orsogna , Tom Chou

Health disparity research often evaluates health outcomes across demographic subgroups. Multilevel regression and poststratification (MRP) is a popular approach for small subgroup estimation due to its ability to stabilize estimates by…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-26 Katherine Li , Yajuan Si

Respondent-driven sampling (RDS) is a widely used method for sampling from hard-to-reach human populations, especially groups most at-risk for HIV/AIDS. Data are collected through a peer-referral process in which current sample members…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-28 Krista J. Gile , Lisa G. Johnston , Matthew J. Salganik

Monitoring the incidence of new infections during a pandemic is critical for an effective public health response. General population prevalence surveys for SARS-CoV-2 can provide high-quality data to estimate incidence. However, estimation…

During 2020 and 2021, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission has been increasing amongst the world's population at an alarming rate. Reducing the spread of SARS-CoV-2 and other diseases that are spread in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Patrick Urrutia , David Wren , Chrysafis Vogiatzis , Ruriko Yoshida

Modeling epidemic spread is critical for informing policy decisions aimed at mitigation. Accordingly, in this work we present a new data-driven method based on Gaussian process regression (GPR) to model epidemic spread through the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-23 Baike She , Lei Xin , Philip E. Paré , Matthew Hale

Understanding the dynamics of infectious disease spread in a heterogeneous population is an important factor in designing control strategies. Here, we develop a novel tensor-driven multi-compartment version of the classic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-22 Inbar Seroussi , Nir Levy , Elad Yom-Tov

Compartmental epidemic models with dynamics that evolve over a graph network have gained considerable importance in recent years but analysis of these models is in general difficult due to their complexity. In this paper, we develop two…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-31 Sei Zhen Khong , Lanlan Su

Understanding how treatment effects vary on individual characteristics is critical in the contexts of personalized medicine, personalized advertising and policy design. When the characteristics are of practical interest are only a subset of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-03 Peng Wu , ShaSha Han , Xingwei Tong , Runze Li

The world is still struggling in controlling and containing the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus. The medical conditions associated with SARS-CoV-2 infections have resulted in a surge in the number of patients…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-04 Hossein Aboutalebi , Maya Pavlova , Mohammad Javad Shafiee , Ali Sabri , Amer Alaref , Alexander Wong

While national biobanks are essential for advancing medical research, their non-probability sampling designs limit their representativeness of the target population. This paper proposes a method that leverages high-quality national surveys…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-17 Huiding Chen , Andrew Guide , Lina Sulieman , Robert M Cronin , Thomas Lumley , Qingxia Chen

We propose a Multi-vAlue Rule Set (MRS) model for in-hospital predicting patient mortality. Compared to rule sets built from single-valued rules, MRS adopts a more generalized form of association rules that allows multiple values in a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-07-24 Tong Wang , Veerajalandhar Allareddy , Sankeerth Rampa , Veerasathpurush Allareddy

Vaccines have proven effective in mitigating the threat of severe infections and deaths during outbreaks of infectious diseases. However, vaccine hesitancy (VH) complicates disease spread prediction and healthcare resource assessment across…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-10 Hieu Bui , Sandra Eksioglu , Ruben Proano , Haoming Shen

The pandemic of COVID-19 has imposed tremendous pressure on public health systems and social economic ecosystems over the past years. To alleviate its social impact, it is important to proactively track the prevalence of COVID-19 within…

The SARS-CoV-2 infectious outbreak has rapidly spread across the globe and precipitated varying policies to effectuate physical distancing to ameliorate its impact. In this study, we propose a new hybrid machine learning model, SIRNet, for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-23 Nicholas Soures , David Chambers , Zachariah Carmichael , Anurag Daram , Dimpy P. Shah , Kal Clark , Lloyd Potter , Dhireesha Kudithipudi

This study presents a new approach to determine the likelihood of asymptomatic carriers of the SARS-CoV-2 virus by using interaction-based continuous learning and inference of individual probability (CLIIP) for contagious ranking. This…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Shangching Liu , Koyun Liu , Hwaihai Chiang , Jianwei Zhang , Tsungyao Chang
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