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In this paper, statistical machine learning algorithms, as well as deep neural networks, are used to predict the values of the price gap between day-ahead and real-time electricity markets. Several exogenous features are collected and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-24 Nika Nizharadze , Arash Farokhi Soofi , Saeed D. Manshadi

This study introduces a dynamic investment framework to enhance portfolio management in volatile markets, offering clear advantages over traditional static strategies. Evaluates four conventional approaches : equal weighted, minimum…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-07 Jinhui Li , Wenjia Xie , Luis Seco

We consider the scenario where $N$ utilities strategically bid for electricity in the day-ahead market and balance the mismatch between the committed supply and actual demand in the real-time market, with uncertainty in demand and local…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-15 Tianyu Zhao , Hanling Yi , Minghua Chen , Chenye Wu , Yunjian Xu

In this paper, we design an analytically and experimentally better online energy and job scheduling algorithm with the objective of maximizing net profit for a service provider in green data centers. We first study the previously known…

Performance · Computer Science 2014-04-22 Huangxin Wang , Jean X. Zhang , Fei Li

This paper addresses the question of how much to bid to maximize the profit when trading in two electricity markets: the hourly Day-Ahead Auction and the quarter-hourly Intraday Auction. For optimal coordinated bidding many price scenarios…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-27 Michał Narajewski , Florian Ziel

The demand response provides an opportunity for load serving entities (LSEs) that operate retail electricity markets (REMs) to strategically purchase energy and provide reserves in wholesale electricity markets (WEMs). This paper concerns…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-09 Hanchen Xu , Kaiqing Zhang , Junbo Zhang

In day-ahead electricity markets based on uniform marginal pricing, small variations in the offering and bidding curves may substantially modify the resulting market outcomes. In this work, we deal with the problem of finding the optimal…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-01 António Alcántara , Carlos Ruiz

With the increasing integration of power plants into the frequency-regulation markets, the importance of optimal trading has grown substantially. This paper conducts an in-depth analysis of their optimal trading behavior in sequential…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-30 Saeed Nordin , Abolfazl Khodadadi , Priyanka Shinde , Evelin Blom , Mohammad Reza Hesamzadeh , Lennart Söder

Recent studies concerning the point electricity price forecasting have shown evidence that the hourly German Intraday Continuous Market is weak-form efficient. Therefore, we take a novel, advanced approach to the problem. A probabilistic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-02 Michał Narajewski , Florian Ziel

The rapid progression of sophisticated advance metering infrastructure (AMI), allows us to have a better understanding and data from demand-response (DR) solutions. There are vast amounts of research on the internet of things and its…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-09 Ramin Faraji Fijani , Behrouz Azimian , Ehsan Ghotbi , Xingwu Wang

This paper formulates a time-varying social-welfare maximization problem for distribution grids with distributed energy resources (DERs) and develops online distributed algorithms to identify (and track) its solutions. In the considered…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-19 Xinyang Zhou , Emiliano Dall'Anese , Lijun Chen , Andrea Simonetto

This paper proposes two decentralised, secure and privacy-friendly protocols for local electricity trading and billing, respectively. The trading protocol employs a bidding algorithm based upon secure multiparty computations and allows…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-01-26 Aysajan Abidin , Abdelrahaman Aly , Sara Cleemput , Mustafa A. Mustafa

This study investigates the application of machine learning algorithms, particularly in the context of pricing American options using Monte Carlo simulations. Traditional models, such as the Black-Scholes-Merton framework, often fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Prudence Djagba , Callixte Ndizihiwe

We consider the problem of dynamic pricing of a product in the presence of feature-dependent price sensitivity. Developing practical algorithms that can estimate price elasticities robustly, especially when information about no purchases…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-21 Ravi Kumar , Shahin Boluki , Karl Isler , Jonas Rauch , Darius Walczak

In multi-hop secondary networks, bidding strategies for spectrum auction, route selection and relaying incentives should be jointly considered to establish multi-hop communication. In this paper, a framework for joint resource bidding and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Beatriz Lorenzo , Ivana Kovacevic , Ana Peleteiro , Francisco J. Gonzalez-Castano , Juan C. Burguillo

Deep Learning is applied to energy markets to predict extreme loads observed in energy grids. Forecasting energy loads and prices is challenging due to sharp peaks and troughs that arise due to supply and demand fluctuations from intraday…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-11 Michael Polson , Vadim Sokolov

Uncertainties in renewable generation and demand dynamics challenge day-ahead scheduling. To enhance renewable penetration and maintain intra-day balance, we develop a multi-agent reinforcement learning framework for self-interested…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Junhao Ren , Honglin Gao , Lan Zhao , Qiyu Kang , Gaoxi Xiao , Yajuan Sun

An increasing share of energy is produced from renewable sources by many small producers. The efficiency of those sources is volatile and, to some extent, random, exacerbating the problem of energy market balancing. In many countries, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Łukasz Lepak , Paweł Wawrzyński

Hydro storage system optimization is becoming one of the most challenging tasks in Energy Finance. While currently the state-of-the-art of the commercial software in the industry implements mainly linear models, we would like to introduce…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-28 Simone Farinelli , Luisa Tibiletti

This paper studies the problem of stochastic dynamic pricing and energy management policy for electric vehicle (EV) charging service providers. In the presence of renewable energy integration and energy storage system, EV charging service…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-01-09 Chao Luo , Yih-Fang Huang , Vijay Gupta