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The rapid deployment of distributed energy resources (DERs) is one of the essential efforts to mitigate global climate change. However, a vast number of small-scale DERs are difficult to manage individually, motivating the introduction of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-26 Tao Tan , Rui Xie , Meng Yang , Yue Chen

Wind power producers (WPPs) participating in short-term power markets face significant imbalance costs due to their non-dispatchable and variable production. While some WPPs have a large enough market share to influence prices with their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Shobhit Singhal , Marta Fochesato , Liviu Aolaritei , Florian Dörfler

This paper proposes a new combinatorial auction framework for local energy flexibility markets, which addresses the issue of prosumers' inability to bundle multiple flexibility time intervals. To solve the underlying NP-complete winner…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-27 Awadelrahman M. A. Ahmed , Frank Eliassen , Yan Zhang

This paper presents an integrated model for bidding energy storage in day-ahead and real-time markets to maximize profits. We show that in integrated two-stage bidding, the real-time bids are independent of day-ahead settlements, while the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-30 Saud Alghumayjan , Jiajun Han , Ningkun Zheng , Ming Yi , Bolun Xu

We present a novel approach to probabilistic electricity price forecasting which utilizes distributional neural networks. The model structure is based on a deep neural network that contains a so-called probability layer. The network's…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-29 Grzegorz Marcjasz , Michał Narajewski , Rafał Weron , Florian Ziel

Power producers use a wide range of decision support systems to manage and plan for sales in the day-ahead electricity market, and they are often faced with the challenge of choosing the most advantageous bidding strategy for any given day.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Hans Ole Riddervold , Signe Riemer-Sørensen , Peter Szederjesi , Magnus Korpås

Maintaining system balance becomes increasingly challenging as market design and grid capacity enhancement lag behind the growing share of renewables, requiring greater effort from both the transmission system operator (TSO) and the Balance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-19 Hang Thanh Nguyen , Bart Van Der Holst , Phuong Hong Nguyen , Koen Kok

The increasing penetration of renewable energy necessitates improved power system flexibility, driving the deployment of independent energy storage operators (ESOs). Existing research extensively investigates capacity sizing for price-taker…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-19 Lizhong Zhang , Junqi Liu , Jianxiao Wang , Lei Zhu

In the smart grid, the prosumers can sell unused electricity back to the power grid, assuming the prosumers own renewable energy sources and storage units. The maximizing of their profits under a dynamic electricity market is a problem that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Kode Creer , Imitiaz Parvez

This paper proposes a fully distributed Demand-Side Management system for Smart Grid infrastructures, especially tailored to reduce the peak demand of residential users. In particular, we use a dynamic pricing strategy, where energy tariffs…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-05-09 Antimo Barbato , Antonio Capone , Lin Chen , Fabio Martignon , Stefano Paris

We study an online learning problem on dynamic pricing and resource allocation, where we make joint pricing and inventory decisions to maximize the overall net profit. We consider the stochastic dependence of demands on the price, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Jianyu Xu , Xuan Wang , Yu-Xiang Wang , Jiashuo Jiang

Traditional bulk load flexibility options, such as load shifting and load curtailment, for managing uncertainty in power markets limit the diversity of options and ignore the preferences of the individual loads, thus reducing efficiency and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-20 Majid Majidi , Deepan Muthirayan , Masood Parvania , Pramod P. Khargonekar

With the recent rise of Machine Learning as a candidate to partially replace classic Financial Mathematics methodologies, we investigate the performances of both in solving the problem of dynamic portfolio optimization in continuous-time,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-29 Babak Mahdavi-Damghani , Konul Mustafayeva , Stephen Roberts , Cristin Buescu

The online portfolio selection (OLPS) problem differs from classical portfolio model problems, as it involves making sequential investment decisions. Many OLPS strategies described in the literature capture market movement based on various…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-03 Man Yiu Tsang , Tony Sit , Hoi Ying Wong

This paper studies the problem of maximizing revenue from a grid-scale battery energy storage system, accounting for uncertain future electricity prices and the effect of degradation on battery lifetime. We formulate this task as an online…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-27 Jack Umenberger , Anna Osguthorpe Rasmussen

This paper introduced key aspects of applying Machine Learning (ML) models, improved trading strategies, and the Quasi-Reversibility Method (QRM) to optimize stock option forecasting and trading results. It presented the findings of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-30 Zheng Cao , Raymond Guo , Wenyu Du , Jiayi Gao , Kirill V. Golubnichiy

Large-scale streaming data are common in modern machine learning applications and have led to the development of online learning algorithms. Many fields, such as supply chain management, weather and meteorology, energy markets, and finance,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-27 Simon Hirsch , Jonathan Berrisch , Florian Ziel

Prediction markets rely on liquidity to convert trades into informative prices, yet existing mechanisms fix liquidity ex ante. This restriction enforces a static trade-off between price responsiveness and worst-case loss despite inherently…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Enrique Nueve , Bao Nguyen , Rafael Frongillo , Bo Waggoner

Accurate and efficient imbalance electricity price forecasting is critical for industrial energy trading systems, especially as battery assets and automated bidding pipelines increasingly participate in balancing markets. However, real-time…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-12 Runyao Yu , Julia Lin , Derek W. Bunn , Jochen Stiasny , Wentao Wang , Yujie Chen , Tara Esterl , Peter Palensky , Jochen L. Cremer

A natural optimization model that formulates many online resource allocation and revenue management problems is the online linear program (LP) in which the constraint matrix is revealed column by column along with the corresponding…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-04-10 Shipra Agrawal , Zizhuo Wang , Yinyu Ye
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