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Psychological change processes, such as university student dropout in math, often exhibit discrete latent state transitions and can be studied using regime-switching models with intensive longitudinal data (ILD). Recently, regime-switching…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Kento Okuyama , Tim Fabian Schaffland , Pascal Kilian , Holger Brandt , Augustin Kelava

Intensive Longitudinal Data (ILD) is increasingly available to social and behavioral scientists. With this increased availability come new opportunities for modeling and predicting complex biological, behavioral, and physiological…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Zachary F. Fisher , Younghoon Kim , Barbara Fredrickson , Vladas Pipiras

Whilst most psychological research focuses on differences in means, a growing body of literature demonstrates the value of considering differences in intra-individual variability. Compared to the number of methods available for analyzing…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-12 Joshua F. Wiley , Bei Bei , John Trinder , Rachel Manber

Intensive longitudinal data (ILD) collected in mobile health (mHealth) studies contain rich information on multiple outcomes measured frequently over time that have the potential to capture short-term and long-term dynamics. Motivated by an…

Student dropout in distance learning remains a critical challenge, with profound societal and economic consequences. While classical machine learning models leverage structured socio-demographic and behavioral data, they often fail to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Miloud Mihoubi , Meriem Zerkouk , Belkacem Chikhaoui

Spurred in part by the ever-growing number of sensors and web-based methods of collecting data, the use of Intensive Longitudinal Data (ILD) is becoming more common in the social and behavioural sciences. The ILD collected in this field are…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-25 Jasper Ginn , Sebastian Mildiner Moraga , Emmeke Aarts

Interactive online learning environments, represented by Massive AI-empowered Courses (MAIC), leverage LLM-driven multi-agent systems to transform passive MOOCs into dynamic, text-based platforms, enhancing interactivity through LLMs. This…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Yuanchun Wang , Yiyang Fu , Jifan Yu , Daniel Zhang-Li , Zheyuan Zhang , Joy Lim Jia Yin , Yucheng Wang , Peng Zhou , Jing Zhang , Huiqin Liu

This study proposes a temporal modeling framework with a counterfactual policy-simulation layer for student dropout in higher education, using LMS engagement data and administrative withdrawal records. Dropout is operationalized as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Rafael da Silva , Jeff Eicher , Gregory Longo

The availability of mobile health (mHealth) technology has enabled increased collection of intensive longitudinal data (ILD). ILD have potential to capture rapid fluctuations in outcomes that may be associated with changes in the risk of an…

When modeling longitudinal biomedical data, often dimensionality reduction as well as dynamic modeling in the resulting latent representation is needed. This can be achieved by artificial neural networks for dimension reduction, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-01 Göran Köber , Raffael Kalisch , Lara Puhlmann , Andrea Chmitorz , Anita Schick , Harald Binder

Large-scale administrative data is a common input in early warning systems for college dropout in higher education. Still, the terminology and methodology vary significantly across existing studies, and the implications of different…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-01-15 Dominik Glandorf , Hye Rin Lee , Gabe Avakian Orona , Marina Pumptow , Renzhe Yu , Christian Fischer

Timely prediction of students at high risk of dropout is critical for early intervention and improving educational outcomes. However, in offline educational settings, poor data quality, limited scale, and high heterogeneity often hinder the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Jiabei Cheng , Zhen-Qun Yang , Jiannong Cao , Yu Yang , Xinzhe Zheng

The integration of mobile health (mHealth) devices into behavioral health research has fundamentally changed the way researchers and interventionalists are able to collect data as well as deploy and evaluate intervention strategies. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-17 Matthew D. Koslovsky , Emily T. Hebert , Michael S. Businelle , Marina Vannucci

Intensive longitudinal biomarker data are increasingly common in scientific studies that seek temporally granular understanding of the role of behavioral and physiological factors in relation to outcomes of interest. Intensive longitudinal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Mingyan Yu , Zhenke Wu , Margaret Hicken , Michael R. Elliott

Automatic prediction of emotion promises to revolutionise human-computer interaction. Recent trends involve fusion of multiple data modalities - audio, visual, and physiological - to classify emotional state. However, in practice,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Ross Harper , Joshua Southern

Intensive longitudinal data, characterized by frequent measurements across numerous time points, are increasingly common due to advances in wearable devices and mobile health technologies. We consider evaluating causal mediation pathways…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-26 Tianchen Qian

We propose a method for learning dynamical systems from high-dimensional empirical data that combines variational autoencoders and (spatio-)temporal attention within a framework designed to enforce certain scientifically-motivated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Kai Lagemann , Christian Lagemann , Sach Mukherjee

Deep learning tools have gained tremendous attention in applied machine learning. However such tools for regression and classification do not capture model uncertainty. In comparison, Bayesian models offer a mathematically grounded…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-05 Yarin Gal , Zoubin Ghahramani

Often in follow-up studies intermediate events occur in some patients, such as reinterventions or adverse events. These intermediate events directly affect the shapes of their longitudinal profiles. Our work is motivated by two studies in…

Longitudinal data are commonly encountered in biomedical research, including randomized trials and retrospective cohort studies. Subjects are typically followed over a period of time and may be scheduled for follow-up at pre-determined time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-23 George Stefan , Eleanor Pullenayegum
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