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Student dropout is a persistent concern in Learning Analytics, yet comparative studies frequently evaluate predictive models under heterogeneous protocols, prioritizing discrimination over temporal interpretability and calibration. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Rafael da Silva , Jeff Eicher , Gregory Longo

Student simulation with Large language models (LLMs) offers a scalable alternative for educational research and teacher training. Yet, its validity depends on whether models maintain stable personas across extended interactions. We test…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Jana Gonnermann-Müller , Jennifer Haase , Nicolas Leins , Thomas Kosch , Sebastian Pokutta

In longitudinal studies, subjects may be lost to follow-up, or miss some of the planned visits, leading to incomplete response sequences. When the probability of non-response, conditional on the available covariates and the observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-10 Alessandra Spagnoli , Maria Francesca Marino , Marco Alfò

Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) are attracting the attention of people all over the world. Regardless the platform, numbers of registrants for online courses are impressive but in the same time, completion rates are disappointing.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2017-10-11 Tom Rolandus Hagedoorn , Gerasimos Spanakis

Dyadic data are common in the social and behavioral sciences, in which members of dyads are correlated due to the interdependence structure within dyads. The analysis of longitudinal dyadic data becomes complex when nonignorable dropouts…

Applications · Statistics 2012-06-29 Guangyu Zhang , Ying Yuan

In the educational domain, identifying students at risk of dropping out is essential for allowing educators to intervene effectively, improving both academic outcomes and overall student well-being. Data in educational settings often…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Jiabei Cheng , Zhen-Qun Yang , Jiannong Cao , Yu Yang , Kai Cheung Franky Poon , Daniel Lai

The high level of attrition and low rate of certification in Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) has prompted a great deal of research. Prior researchers have focused on predicting dropout based upon behavioral features such as student…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-09-05 Niki Gitinabard , Farzaneh Khoshnevisan , Collin F. Lynch , Elle Yuan Wang

In statistical learning, a dataset is often partitioned into two parts: the training set and the holdout (i.e., testing) set. For instance, the training set is used to learn a predictor, and then the holdout set is used for estimating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Jun Zhao

We propose a novel approach to leveraging pre-trained language models (LMs) for early forecasting of academic trajectories in STEM students using high-dimensional longitudinal experiential data. This data, which captures students'…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Ahatsham Hayat , Bilal Khan , Mohammad Rashedul Hasan

In this paper we propose a heterogeneous modeling framework which achieves individual-wise feature selection and individualized covariates' effects subgrouping simultaneously. In contrast to conventional model selection approaches, the new…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-11 Xiwei Tang , Fei Xue , Annie Qu

Simulating stochastic differential equations (SDEs) in bounded domains, presents significant computational challenges due to particle exit phenomena, which requires accurate modeling of interior stochastic dynamics and boundary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-23 Minglei Yang , Yanfang Liu , Diego del-Castillo-Negrete , Yanzhao Cao , Guannan Zhang

Large Language Models (LLMs) excel at human-like language generation but often embed and amplify implicit, intersectional biases, especially under persona-driven contexts. Existing bias audits rely on static, embedding-based tests (CEAT,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-09 Nandini Arimanda , Achyuth Mukund , Sakthi Balan Muthiah , Rajesh Sharma

The importance of retention rate for higher education institutions has encouraged data analysts to present various methods to predict at-risk students. The present study, motivated by the same encouragement, proposes a deep learning model…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Sahar Voghoei , James M. Byars , Scott Jackson King , Soheil Shapouri , Hamed Yaghoobian , Khaled M. Rasheed , Hamid R. Arabnia

Many classical models of collective behavior assume that emergent dynamics result from external and observable interactions among individuals. However, how collective dynamics in human populations depend on the internal psychological…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-27 Alice C Schwarze , Mari Kawakatsu , Sarah Iams , Nina H Fefferman , Tahra L Eissa

High-dimensional multivariate longitudinal data, which arise when many outcome variables are measured repeatedly over time, are becoming increasingly common in social, behavioral and health sciences. We propose a latent variable model for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-09 Sze Ming Lee , Yunxiao Chen , Tony Sit

Disciplinary diversity is being recognized today as the key to establish a vibrant academic environment with bigger potential for breakthroughs in research and technology. However, the interaction of several factors including policies, and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-24 Stefano Mazzoleni , Lucia Russo , Francesco Giannino , Gerardo Toraldo , Constantinos Siettos

We illustrate a class of conditional models for the analysis of longitudinal data suffering attrition in random effects models framework, where the subject-specific random effects are assumed to be discrete and to follow a time-dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-28 Antonello Maruotti

Intensive longitudinal (IL) data are increasingly prevalent in psychological science, coinciding with technological advancements that make it simple to deploy study designs such as daily diary and ecological momentary assessments. IL data…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Teague R. Henry , Lindley R. Slipetz , Ami Falk , Jiaxing Qiu , Meng Chen

In various biomedical studies, analysis often focuses on data magnitudes, particularly when algebraic signs are irrelevant or lost. For repeated measures studies involving magnitude outcomes, incorporating random effects is essential as…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Wen Teng , Niall D. Ferguson , Ewan C. Goligher , Anna Heath

In the institutional research mode, in order to explore which characteristics are the best indicators for predicting academic risk from the student behavior data sets that have high-dimensional, unbalanced classified small sample, it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Shudong Yang