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Most clinical prediction studies are developed from retrospective cohorts and reported as if all patient information were observed at once. In practice, clinicians face a more consequential question: \emph{when is there already enough…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-27 Hui-Mean Foo , Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

Modeling and analysis for event series generated by users of heterogeneous behavioral patterns are closely involved in our daily lives, including credit card fraud detection, online platform user recommendation, and social network analysis.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-07 Henry Shaowu Yuchi , Shixiang Zhu , Li Dong , Yigit M. Arisoy , Matthew C. Spencer

Future trajectories play an important role across domains such as autonomous driving, hurricane forecasting, and epidemic modeling, where practitioners commonly generate ensemble paths by sampling probabilistic models or leveraging multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Ruipu Li , Daniel Menacho , Alexander Rodríguez

In this work we addressed the problem of capturing sequential information contained in longitudinal electronic health records (EHRs). Clinical notes, which is a particular type of EHR data, are a rich source of information and practitioners…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Andrey Kormilitzin , Nemanja Vaci , Qiang Liu , Hao Ni , Goran Nenadic , Alejo Nevado-Holgado

When modeling longitudinal biomedical data, often dimensionality reduction as well as dynamic modeling in the resulting latent representation is needed. This can be achieved by artificial neural networks for dimension reduction, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-01 Göran Köber , Raffael Kalisch , Lara Puhlmann , Andrea Chmitorz , Anita Schick , Harald Binder

Event data is present in a variety of domains such as electronic health records, daily living activities and web clickstream records. Current visualization methods to explore event data focus on discovering sequential patterns but present…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-08-05 Jessica Magallanes , Lindsey van Gemeren , Steven Wood , Maria-Cruz Villa-Uriol

Early recognition of risky trajectories during an Intensive Care Unit (ICU) stay is one of the key steps towards improving patient survival. Learning trajectories from physiological signals continuously measured during an ICU stay requires…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Tiago Alves , Alberto Laender , Adriano Veloso , Nivio Ziviani

Session-based recommendation aims at predicting the next item given a sequence of previous items consumed in the session, e.g., on e-commerce or multimedia streaming services. Specifically, session data exhibits some unique characteristics,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Minjin Choi , jinhong Kim , Joonseok Lee , Hyunjung Shim , Jongwuk Lee

Many scientific fields, from medicine to seismology, rely on analyzing sequences of events over time to understand complex systems. Traditionally, machine learning models must be built and trained from scratch for each new dataset, which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 David Berghaus , Patrick Seifner , Kostadin Cvejoski , Ramses J. Sanchez

Electronic health records arise from the complex interaction between patients and the healthcare system. This observation process of interactions, referred to as clinical presence, often impacts observed outcomes. When using electronic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Vincent Jeanselme , Glen Martin , Matthew Sperrin , Niels Peek , Brian Tom , Jessica Barrett

Predicting the patient's clinical outcome from the historical electronic medical records (EMR) is a fundamental research problem in medical informatics. Most deep learning-based solutions for EMR analysis concentrate on learning the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-28 Liantao Ma , Chaohe Zhang , Yasha Wang , Wenjie Ruan , Jiantao Wang , Wen Tang , Xinyu Ma , Xin Gao , Junyi Gao

Quantifying uncertainty in clinical predictions is critical for high-stakes diagnosis tasks. Conformal prediction offers a principled approach by providing prediction sets with theoretical coverage guarantees. However, in practice, patient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Arjun Chatterjee , Sayeed Sajjad Razin , John Wu , Siddhartha Laghuvarapu , Jathurshan Pradeepkumar , Jimeng Sun

Given a sequence of sets, where each set has a timestamp and contains an arbitrary number of elements, temporal sets prediction aims to predict the elements in the subsequent set. Previous studies for temporal sets prediction mainly focus…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Le Yu , Zihang Liu , Leilei Sun , Bowen Du , Chuanren Liu , Weifeng Lv

Early prediction of patients at risk of clinical deterioration can help physicians intervene and alter their clinical course towards better outcomes. In addition to the accuracy requirement, early warning systems must make the predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Ibrahim Hammoud , Prateek Prasanna , IV Ramakrishnan , Adam Singer , Mark Henry , Henry Thode

Understanding medication events in clinical narratives is essential to achieving a complete picture of a patient's medication history. While prior research has explored classification of medication changes from clinical notes, studies to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-05-20 Diwakar Mahajan , Jennifer J Liang , Ching-Huei Tsou

Adaptive cognition requires structured internal models of objects and their relations. Predictive neural networks are often proposed to learn such world models, but how these are instantiated and how they support prediction remain unclear.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Linda Ariel Ventura , Victoria Bosch , Tim C Kietzmann , Sushrut Thorat

Given a sequence of sets, where each set contains an arbitrary number of elements, the problem of temporal sets prediction aims to predict the elements in the subsequent set. In practice, temporal sets prediction is much more complex than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Le Yu , Leilei Sun , Bowen Du , Chuanren Liu , Hui Xiong , Weifeng Lv

We develop a simulation tool to support policy-decisions about healthcare for chronic diseases in defined populations. Incident disease-cases are generated in-silico from an age-sex characterised general population using standard…

Applications · Statistics 2010-09-03 Nathan Green , Duncan Smith , Matthew Sperrin , Iain Buchan

Electronic health records contain valuable information for monitoring patients' health trajectories over time. Disease progression models have been developed to understand the underlying patterns and dynamics of diseases using these data as…

Much work aims to explain a model's prediction on a static input. We consider explanations in a temporal setting where a stateful dynamical model produces a sequence of risk estimates given an input at each time step. When the estimated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-12 Michaela Hardt , Alvin Rajkomar , Gerardo Flores , Andrew Dai , Michael Howell , Greg Corrado , Claire Cui , Moritz Hardt
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