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Terra Seismic can predict most major earthquakes (M6.2 or greater) at least 2 - 5 months before they will strike. Global earthquake prediction is based on determinations of the stressed areas that will start to behave abnormally before…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-03-18 Oleg Elshin , Andrew A. Tronin

Strong deep earthquakes occurred in the Sea of Okhotsk, May 24, 2013 at 05:44 UTC. The magnitude of the earthquake is M = 8.3, the depth of the hypocenter is 629 km. The earthquake was accompanied by the deep-focus aftershocks. The paper is…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-07-30 Anatol V. Guglielmi , Oleg D. Zotov

The eastern Izu Peninsula in Japan is volcanically and seismically active. Ordinary earthquakes frequently occurred at shallow depths in 2006 and 2009, when they clustered as swarms. Beneath ordinary earthquakes, low-frequency earthquakes…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-05-20 K. Z. Nanjo , Y. Yukutake , T. Kumazawa

Spatio-temporal correlations of the one-dimensional spring-block (Burridge-Knopoff) model of earthquakes are extensively studied by means of numerical computer simulations. Particular attention is paid to clarifying how the statistical…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-26 Takahiro Mori , Hikaru Kawamura

We examine the applicability of modern neural network architectures to the midterm prediction of earthquakes. Our data-based classification model aims to predict if an earthquake with the magnitude above a threshold takes place at a given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-04 Roman Kail , Alexey Zaytsev , Evgeny Burnaev

The statistical properties of earthquake aftershocks are studied. The scaling relation for the exponents of the Omori law and the power-law calm time distribution (i.e., the interoccurrence time distribution), which is valid if a sequence…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

Long-term slow-slip events (LSSEs) usually occur on the deep, shallow parts of subducting plates and have substantial relation with adjacent megathrust fault motion. Conventional techniques of quantifying slow earthquake frictional features…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-09-21 Shin-ichi Ito , Masayuki Kano , Hiromichi Nagao

The M8.8 Kamchatka earthquake on July 29, 2025 was one of the largest in the first quarter of the 21st century. It deserves a thorough analysis including the preparation process. A smaller M7.4 earthquake occurred on July 20 with its…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-01-23 Ivan O. Kitov

Statistical properties of the one-dimensional spring-block (Burridge-Knopoff) model of earthquakes obeying the rate and state dependent friction law are studied by extensive computer simulations. The quantities computed include the…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-04-19 Hikaru Kawamura , Yushi Ueda , Shingo Kakui , Syouji Morimoto , Takumi Yamamoto

Super-critical Kuramoto oscillators with distributed frequencies separate into two disjoint groups: an ordered one locked to the mean field, and a disordered one consisting of effectively decoupled oscillators -- at least so in the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-09-18 F. Peter , C. Gong , A. Pikovsky

Synchronization systems with effective inertia, such as power grid networks and coupled electromechanical oscillators, are commonly modeled by the second-order Kuramoto model. In the forward process, numerical simulations exhibit a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-01 Gug Young Kim , Mi Jin Lee , Seung-Woo Son

Based on waveform data from a profile of aftershocks following the north-south trace of the June 28, 1992 Landers rupture across the Mojave desert, we construct a new velocity model for the Mojave region which features a thin, slow crust.…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-03-22 Laura E. Jones , Donald V. Helmberger

Waiting-time statistics are generated from the Olami-Feder-Christensen model and shown to mimic some aspects of real seismicity. Preliminary analysis of the model data implies a recently proposed universal scaling law for the distribution…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-09-08 Morgan Hedges , George Takacs

The recently introduced Minimalist Model [Vazquez- Prada et al., 2002] of characteristic earthquakes provides a simple representation of the seismicity originated in a sin- gle fault. Here, we first characterize the properties of this model…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-09-29 R. Lopez-Ruiz , M. Vazquez-Prada , J. B. Gomez , A. F. Pacheco

Hawkes process is one of the most commonly used models for investigating the self-exciting nature of earthquake occurrences. However, seismicity patterns have complicated characteristics due to heterogeneous geology and stresses, for which…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-15 Junhyeon Kwon , Yingcai Zheng , Mikyoung Jun

Using the ETAS branching model of triggered seismicity, we apply the formalism of generating probability functions to calculate exactly the average difference between the magnitude of a mainshock and the magnitude of its largest aftershock…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

It is well accepted that, at the global scale, the Gutenberg-Richter (GR) law describing the distribution of earthquake magnitude or seismic moment has to be modified at the tail to properly account for the most extreme events. It is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-11-10 Alvaro Corral , Isabel Serra

We study the behavior of U.S. markets both before and after U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings, and show that the announcement of a U.S. Federal Reserve rate change causes a financial shock, where the dynamics after the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-05 Alexander M. Petersen , Fengzhong Wang , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

By analyzing a southern California earthquake catalog, Davidsen and Paczuski [Phys. Rev. Lett. 94, 048501 (2005)] claim to have found evidence contradicting the theory of aftershock zone scaling in favor of scale-free statistics. We present…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 M. J. Werner , D. Sornette

Here we focus on a basic statistical measure of earthquake catalogs that has not been studied before, the asymmetry of interevent time series (e.g., reflecting the tendency to have more aftershocks than spontaneous earthquakes). We define…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-10-04 Yongwen Zhang , Yosef Ashkenazy , Shlomo Havlin