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Globalization processes interweave economic structures at a worldwide scale, trade playing a central role as one of the elemental channels of interaction among countries. Despite the significance of such phenomena, measuring economic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Angeles Serrano

A simple method is proposed to estimate the instantaneous correlations between state variables in a hybrid system from the empirical correlations between observable market quantities such as spot rate, stock price and implied volatility.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-10 Baron Law

We propose an optimal-transport-based matching method to nonparametrically estimate linear models with independent latent variables. The method consists in generating pseudo-observations from the latent variables, so that the Euclidean…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-01-01 Manuel Arellano , Stephane Bonhomme

The broad application range of the predator-prey modelling enabled us to apply it to represent the dynamics of the work-employment system. For the adopted period, we conclude that this dynamics is chaotic in the beginning of the time series…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2011-03-21 Nilo Serpa , Jose Roberto Steiner

Many programs evaluated in observational studies incorporate a sequential structure, where individuals may be assigned to various programs over time. While this complexity is often simplified by analyzing programs at single points in time,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-16 Fabian Muny

On the basis of an analysis of previous research, we present a generalized approach for measuring the difference of plans with an exemplary application to machine scheduling. Our work is motivated by the need for such measures, which are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Martin Josef Geiger

Temporal data distribution shift is prevalent in the financial text. How can a financial sentiment analysis system be trained in a volatile market environment that can accurately infer sentiment and be robust to temporal data distribution…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Yue Guo , Chenxi Hu , Yi Yang

The persistence of racial inequality in the U.S. labor market against a general backdrop of formal equality of opportunity is a troubling phenomenon that has significant ramifications on the design of hiring policies. In this paper, we show…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-02-22 Lily Hu , Yiling Chen

We investigate the daily correlation present among market indices of stock exchanges located all over the world in the time period Jan 1996 - Jul 2009. We discover that the correlation among market indices presents both a fast and a slow…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-16 Dong-Ming Song , Michele Tumminello , Wei-Xing Zhou , Rosario N. Mantegna

We review in details some recently proposed kinetic models of opinion dynamics. We discuss the several variants including a generalised model. We provide mean field estimates for the critical points, which are numerically supported with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-17 Soumyajyoti Biswas , Anjan Kumar Chandra , Arnab Chatterjee , Bikas K. Chakrabarti

The increasing attention to environmental issues is forcing the implementation of novel energy models based on renewable sources, fundamentally changing the configuration of energy management and introducing new criticalities that are only…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-09 Mario Mureddu , Guido Caldarelli , Alessandro Chessa , Antonio Scala , Alfonso Damiano

The emergence of labor division in multi-agent system is analyzed by the method of statistical physics. Considering a system consists of N homogeneous agents. Their behaviors are determined by the returns from their production. Using the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Jinshan Wu , Zengru Di , Z. R. Yang

We present Link Density (LD) computed from the Recurrence Network (RN) of a time series data as an effective measure that can detect dynamical transitions in a system. We illustrate its use using time series from the standard Rossler system…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-05-31 Rinku Jacob , R. Misra , K P Harikrishnan , G Ambika

The paper presents a method by which the mean field dynamics of a population of dynamical systems with parameter diversity and global coupling can be described in terms of a few macroscopic degrees of freedom. The method applies to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Silvia De Monte , Francesco d'Ovidio , Erik Mosekilde

A well-interpretable measure of information has been recently proposed based on a partition obtained by intersecting a random sequence with its moving average. The partition yields disjoint sets of the sequence, which are then ranked…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-01 Linda Ponta , Anna Carbone

We study the volatility of the MIB30-stock-index high-frequency data from November 28, 1994 through September 15, 1995. Our aim is to empirically characterize the volatility random walk in the framework of continuous-time finance. To this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Marco Raberto , Enrico Scalas , Gianaurelio Cuniberti , Massimo Riani

The objective of the paper is to understand the role of workers bargaining for the labor share in transition economies. We rely on a share-capital schedule, whereby workers bargaining power is represented as a move off the schedule.…

General Economics · Economics 2023-10-10 Marjan Petreski , Stefan Tanevski

Can data from mobile phones be used to observe economic shocks and their consequences at multiple scales? Here we present novel methods to detect mass layoffs, identify individuals affected by them, and predict changes in aggregate…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-05-27 Jameson L. Toole , Yu-Ru Lin , Erich Muehlegger , Daniel Shoag , Marta C. Gonzalez , David Lazer

Among other macroeconomic indicators, the monthly release of U.S. unemployment rate figures in the Employment Situation report by the U.S. Bureau of Labour Statistics gets a lot of media attention and strongly affects the stock markets. I…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-02 Johannes Bock

The mean-field analysis of a multi-population agent-based model is performed. The model couples a particle dynamics driven by a nonlocal velocity with a Markow-type jump process on the probability that each agent has of belonging to a given…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-07-12 Marco Morandotti , Francesco Solombrino
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