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Predicting the ancestral sequences of a group of homologous sequences related by a phylogenetic tree has been the subject of many studies, and numerous methods have been proposed to this purpose. Theoretical results are available that show…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-05 Olivier Gascuel , Mike Steel

Reconstructing evolutionary trees from molecular sequence data is a fundamental problem in computational biology. Stochastic models of sequence evolution are closely related to spin systems that have been extensively studied in statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-20 Sebastien Roch , Allan Sly

Ancestral maximum likelihood (AML) is a method that simultaneously reconstructs a phylogenetic tree and ancestral sequences from extant data (sequences at the leaves). The tree and ancestral sequences maximize the probability of observing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-07-24 Elchanan Mossel , Sebastien Roch , Mike Steel

Ancestral state reconstruction is one of the most important tasks in evolutionary biology. Conditions under which we can reliably reconstruct the ancestral state have been studied for both discrete and continuous traits. However, the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-16 Lam Si Tung Ho , Vu Dinh

In phylogenetic studies, biologists often wish to estimate the ancestral discrete character state at an interior vertex $v$ of an evolutionary tree $T$ from the states that are observed at the leaves of the tree. A simple and fast…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-03 Lina Herbst , Thomas Li , Mike Steel

Bayesian inference is now a leading technique for reconstructing phylogenetic trees from aligned sequence data. In this short note, we formally show that the maximum posterior tree topology provides a statistically consistent estimate of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-07-12 Mike Steel

Supertree methods are tree reconstruction techniques that combine several smaller gene trees (possibly on different sets of species) to build a larger species tree. The question of interest is whether the reconstructed supertree converges…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-06 Lam Si Tung Ho , Vu Dinh

It is common in phylogenetics to have some, perhaps partial, information about the overall evolutionary tree of a group of organisms and wish to find an evolutionary tree of a specific gene for those organisms. There may not be enough…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-01-09 Vu Dinh , Lam Si Tung Ho , Marc A. Suchard , Frederick A. Matsen

We consider a broadcasting problem on a tree where a binary digit (e.g., a spin or a nucleotide's purine/pyrimidine type) is propagated from the root to the leaves through symmetric noisy channels on the edges that randomly flip the state…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-24 David Clancy , Hanbaek Lyu , Sebastien Roch , Allan Sly

We derive tractable criteria for the consistency of Bayesian tree reconstruction procedures, which constitute a central class of algorithms for inferring common ancestry among DNA sequence samples in phylogenetics. Our results encompass…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Alisa Kirichenko , Luke J. Kelly , Jere Koskela

Several real-world and abstract structures and systems are characterized by marked hierarchy to the point of being expressed as trees. Because the study of these entities often involves sampling (or discovering) the tree nodes in a specific…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-18 Alexandre Benatti , Luciano da F. Costa

Phylogenetic inference, the task of reconstructing how related sequences evolved from common ancestors, is a central objective in evolutionary genomics. The current state-of-the-art methods exploit probabilistic models of sequence evolution…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-19 Luc Blassel , Noémie Sauvage , Pierre Barrat-Charlaix , Bastien Boussau , Nicolas Lartillot , Laurent Jacob

We consider the branch-length estimation problem on a bifurcating tree: a character evolves along the edges of a binary tree according to a two-state symmetric Markov process, and we seek to recover the edge transition probabilities from…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-30 David Clancy , Hanbaek Lyu , Sebastien Roch

One of the main aims in phylogenetics is the estimation of ancestral sequences based on present-day data like, for instance, DNA alignments. One way to estimate the data of the last common ancestor of a given set of species is to first…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-02-07 Lina Herbst , Mareike Fischer

We consider phylogeny estimation under a two-state model of sequence evolution by site substitution on a tree. In the asymptotic regime where the sequence lengths tend to infinity, we show that for any fixed $k$ no statistically consistent…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-03 Wai-Tong Louis Fan , Brandon Legried , Sebastien Roch

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) methods are widely used for evolutionary tree. As evolutionary tree is not a smooth parameter, the consistency of its MLE has been a topic of debate. It has been noted without proof that the classical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-05-06 Arindam RoyChoudhury

The reconstruction of a species tree from genomic data faces a double hurdle. First, the (gene) tree describing the evolution of each gene may differ from the species tree, for instance, due to incomplete lineage sorting. Second, the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-07 Sebastien Roch , Mike Steel

In this paper we investigate mathematical questions concerning the reliability (reconstruction accuracy) of Fitch's maximum parsimony algorithm for reconstructing the ancestral state given a phylogenetic tree and a character. In particular,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-07-06 Mareike Fischer , Bhalchandra D. Thatte

Inferences about the evolution of continuous traits based on reconstruction of ancestral states has often been considered more error-prone than analysis of independent contrasts. Here we show that both methods in fact yield identical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-10-02 Michael G. Elliot

Tree reconstruction methods are often judged by their accuracy, measured by how close they get to the true tree. Yet most reconstruction methods like ML do not explicitly maximize this accuracy. To address this problem, we propose a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-22 Peter Huggins , Wenbin Li , David Haws , Thomas Friedrich , Jinze Liu , Ruriko Yoshida
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