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This paper presents a new approach for trees-based regression, such as simple regression tree, random forest and gradient boosting, in settings involving correlated data. We show the problems that arise when implementing standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-09 Assaf Rabinowicz , Saharon Rosset

The last decade has shed some light on theoretical properties such as their consistency for regression tasks. In the current paper, we propose a new class of very simple learners based on so-called naive trees. These naive trees partition…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-18 Nico Föge , Markus Pauly , Lena Schmid , Marc Ditzhaus

We propose a new method for hierarchical clustering based on the optimisation of a cost function over trees of limited depth, and we derive a message--passing method that allows to solve it efficiently. The method and algorithm can be…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-14 M. Bailly-Bechet , S. Bradde , A. Braunstein , A. Flaxman , L. Foini , R. Zecchina

Random forests have proven to be reliable predictive algorithms in many application areas. Not much is known, however, about the statistical properties of random forests. Several authors have established conditions under which their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-05 Stefan Wager

Despite their performance and widespread use, little is known about the theory of Random Forests. A major unanswered question is whether, or when, the Random Forest algorithm is consistent. The literature explores various variants of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-12 Nicholas Waltz

Random forests have become an important tool for improving accuracy in regression and classification problems since their inception by Leo Breiman in 2001. In this paper, we revisit a historically important random forest model originally…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-24 Jason M. Klusowski

The main goal of this paper is to describe a new pruning method for solving decision trees and game trees. The pruning method for decision trees suggests a slight variant of decision trees that we call scenario trees. In scenario trees, we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Prakash P. Shenoy

We show that the error of iteratively magnitude-pruned networks empirically follows a scaling law with interpretable coefficients that depend on the architecture and task. We functionally approximate the error of the pruned networks,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Jonathan S. Rosenfeld , Jonathan Frankle , Michael Carbin , Nir Shavit

In this paper we study asymptotic properties of random forests within the framework of nonlinear time series modeling. While random forests have been successfully applied in various fields, the theoretical justification has not been…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-07 Richard A. Davis , Mikkel S. Nielsen

Rooted trees with probabilities are used to analyze properties of a variable length code. A bound is derived on the difference between the entropy rates of the code and a memoryless source. The bound is in terms of normalized informational…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-10-11 Georg Böcherer , Rana Ali Amjad

Tree-based machine learning models, such as decision trees and random forests, have been hugely successful in classification tasks primarily because of their predictive power in supervised learning tasks and ease of interpretation. Despite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-08 Tanmay Surve , Romila Pradhan

The Distributional Random Forest (DRF) is a recently introduced Random Forest algorithm to estimate multivariate conditional distributions. Due to its general estimation procedure, it can be employed to estimate a wide range of targets such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-20 Jeffrey Näf , Corinne Emmenegger , Peter Bühlmann , Nicolai Meinshausen

This work develops formal statistical inference procedures for machine learning ensemble methods. Ensemble methods based on bootstrapping, such as bagging and random forests, have improved the predictive accuracy of individual trees, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-11 Lucas Mentch , Giles Hooker

Decision trees and their ensembles are popular in machine learning as easy-to-understand models. Several techniques have been proposed in the literature for learning tree-based classifiers, with different techniques working well for data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Maria-Florina Balcan , Dravyansh Sharma

Random forests are popular methods for regression and classification analysis, and many different variants have been proposed in recent years. One interesting example is the Mondrian random forest, in which the underlying constituent trees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Matias D. Cattaneo , Jason M. Klusowski , William G. Underwood

Dealing with datasets of very high dimension is a major challenge in machine learning. In this paper, we consider the problem of feature selection in applications where the memory is not large enough to contain all features. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-07 Antonio Sutera , Célia Châtel , Gilles Louppe , Louis Wehenkel , Pierre Geurts

Classification and Regression Trees (CARTs) are off-the-shelf techniques in modern Statistics and Machine Learning. CARTs are traditionally built by means of a greedy procedure, sequentially deciding the splitting predictor variable(s) and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-25 Rafael Blanquero , Emilio Carrizosa , Cristina Molero-Río , Dolores Romero Morales

Merging the two cultures of deep and statistical learning provides insights into structured high-dimensional data. Traditional statistical modeling is still a dominant strategy for structured tabular data. Deep learning can be viewed…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-25 Anindya Bhadra , Jyotishka Datta , Nick Polson , Vadim Sokolov , Jianeng Xu

Random forests and, more generally, (decision\nobreakdash-)tree ensembles are widely used methods for classification and regression. Recent algorithmic advances allow to compute decision trees that are optimal for various measures such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Christian Komusiewicz , Pascal Kunz , Frank Sommer , Manuel Sorge

We introduce a novel interpretable tree based algorithm for prediction in a regression setting. Our motivation is to estimate the unknown regression function from a functional decomposition perspective in which the functional components…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-04 Munir Hiabu , Enno Mammen , Joseph T. Meyer