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Forecasts of product demand are essential for short- and long-term optimization of logistics and production. Thus, the most accurate prediction possible is desirable. In order to optimally train predictive models, the deviation of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-23 Dominik Martin , Philipp Spitzer , Niklas Kühl

Intermittency is a common and challenging problem in demand forecasting. We introduce a new, unified framework for building intermittent demand forecasting models, which incorporates and allows to generalize existing methods in several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Ali Caner Turkmen , Tim Januschowski , Yuyang Wang , Ali Taylan Cemgil

Intermittent demand, where demand occurrences appear sporadically in time, is a common and challenging problem in forecasting. In this paper, we first make the connections between renewal processes, and a collection of current models used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-26 Ali Caner Turkmen , Yuyang Wang , Tim Januschowski

Intermittent demand forecasting is a ubiquitous and challenging problem in production systems and supply chain management. In recent years, there has been a growing focus on developing forecasting approaches for intermittent demand from…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-01 Li Li , Yanfei Kang , Fotios Petropoulos , Feng Li

Demand functions for goods are generally cyclical in nature with characteristics such as trend or stochasticity. Most existing demand forecasting techniques in literature are designed to manage and forecast this type of demand functions.…

Applications · Statistics 2011-10-04 Murphy Choy , Michelle L. F. Cheong

In recent decades, new methods and approaches have been developed for forecasting intermittent demand series. However, the majority of research has focused on point forecasting, with little exploration into probabilistic intermittent demand…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-16 Shengjie Wang , Yanfei Kang , Fotios Petropoulos

Sparse and intermittent demand forecasting in supply chains presents a critical challenge, as frequent zero-demand periods hinder traditional model accuracy and impact inventory management. We propose and evaluate a Model-Router framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Qiwen Zhang

Water demand is a highly important variable for operational control and decision making. Hence, the development of accurate forecasts is a valuable field of research to further improve the efficiency of water utilities. Focusing on…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-12 Jens Kley-Holsteg , Florian Ziel

Premium automotive manufacturers face increasingly complex forecasting challenges due to high product variety, sparse variant-level data, and volatile market dynamics. This study addresses monthly automobile demand forecasting across a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-24 Tom Nahrendorf , Stefan Minner , Helfried Binder , Richard Zinck

Simple exponential smoothing is widely used in forecasting economic time series. This is because it is quick to compute and it generally delivers accurate forecasts. On the other hand, its multivariate version has received little attention…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-17 Federico Poloni , Giacomo Sbrana

Time series forecasting plays an increasingly important role in modern business decisions. In today's data-rich environment, people often aim to choose the optimal forecasting model for their data. However, identifying the optimal model…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-17 Xixi Li , Fotios Petropoulos , Yanfei Kang

Effective demand forecasting is critical for inventory management, production planning, and decision making across industries. Selecting the appropriate model and suitable features to efficiently capture patterns in the data is one of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Ivan Svetunkov , Anna Sroginis

Forecasting demand is one of the fundamental components of a successful revenue management system in hospitality. The industry requires understandable models that contribute to adaptability by a revenue management department to make…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-08 Rik van Leeuwen , Ger Koole

Demand forecasting plays an important role in many inventory control problems. To mitigate the potential harms of model misspecification, various forms of distributionally robust optimization have been applied. Although many of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-21 Linwei Xin , David A. Goldberg

Time series forecasting is an important task in many fields ranging from supply chain management to weather forecasting. Recently, Transformer neural network architectures have shown promising results in forecasting on common time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Rares Cristian , Pavithra Harsha , Clemente Ocejo , Georgia Perakis , Brian Quanz , Ioannis Spantidakis , Hamza Zerhouni

When modeling the demand in revenue management systems, a natural approach is to focus on a canonical interval of time, such as a week, so that we forecast the demand over each week in the selling horizon. Ideally, we would like to use…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-09 Weiyuan Li , Paat Rusmevichientong , Huseyin Topaloglu

The problem of demand inversion - a crucial step in the estimation of random utility discrete-choice models - is equivalent to the determination of stable outcomes in two-sided matching models. This equivalence applies to random utility…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-30 Odran Bonnet , Alfred Galichon , Yu-Wei Hsieh , Keith O'Hara , Matt Shum

Dockless e-scooters, a key micromobility service, have emerged as eco-friendly and flexible urban transport alternatives. These services improve first and last-mile connectivity, reduce congestion and emissions, and complement public…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Omri Porat , Michael Fire , Eran Ben-Elia

Multimodal demand forecasting aims at predicting product demand utilizing visual, textual, and contextual information. This paper proposes a method for multimodal product demand forecasting using convolutional, graph-based, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-07 Maarten Sukel , Stevan Rudinac , Marcel Worring

Accurate demand forecasting is vital for ensuring reliable access to contraceptive products, supporting key processes like procurement, inventory, and distribution. However, forecasting contraceptive demand in developing countries presents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Harsha Chamara Hewage , Bahman Rostami-Tabar , Aris Syntetos , Federico Liberatore , Glenn Milano
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