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Service platforms must determine rules for matching heterogeneous demand (customers) and supply (workers) that arrive randomly over time and may be lost if forced to wait too long for a match. Our objective is to maximize the cumulative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Angelos Aveklouris , Levi DeValve , Maximiliano Stock , Amy R. Ward

On-demand service platforms face a challenging problem of forecasting a large collection of high-frequency regional demand data streams that exhibit instabilities. This paper develops a novel forecast framework that is fast and scalable,…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-03 Yu Jeffrey Hu , Jeroen Rombouts , Ines Wilms

In an era of increasing computational capabilities and growing environmental consciousness, organizations face a critical challenge in balancing the accuracy of forecasting models with computational efficiency and sustainability. Global…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-15 Marco Zanotti

Predicting the demand for electricity with uncertainty helps in planning and operation of the grid to provide reliable supply of power to the consumers. Machine learning (ML)-based demand forecasting approaches can be categorized into (1)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-15 Yiwei Fu , Nurali Virani , Honggang Wang

Demand forecasting of hierarchical components is essential in manufacturing. However, its discussion in the machine-learning literature has been limited, and judgemental forecasts remain pervasive in the industry. Demand planners require…

In this paper, we consider a distributionally robust resource planning model inspired by a real-world service industry problem. In this problem, there is a mixture of known demand and uncertain future demand. Prior to having full knowledge…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-07 Ben Black , Russell Ainslie , Trivikram Dokka , Christopher Kirkbride

Reliable demand forecasts are critical for the effective supply chain management. Several endogenous and exogenous variables can influence the dynamics of demand, and hence a single statistical model that only consists of historical sales…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-09 Mahdi Abolghasemi , Ali Eshragh , Jason Hurley , Behnam Fahimnia

Service supply chain management is to prepare spare parts for failed products under warranty. Their goal is to reach agreed service level at the minimum cost. We convert this business problem into a preference based multi-objective…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-06-20 Wenli Ouyang

Dynamic Linear Models (DLMs) are commonly employed for time series analysis due to their versatile structure, simple recursive updating, ability to handle missing data, and probabilistic forecasting. However, the options for count time…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-30 Brian King , Daniel R. Kowal

Recommending the right products is the central problem in recommender systems, but the right products should also be recommended at the right time to meet the demands of users, so as to maximize their values. Users' demands, implying strong…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-03-04 Ting Bai , Pan Du , Wayne Xin Zhao , Ji-Rong Wen , Jian-Yun Nie

Demand forecasting applications have immensely benefited from the state-of-the-art Deep Learning methods used for time series forecasting. Traditional uni-modal models are predominantly seasonality driven which attempt to model the demand…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-24 Nitesh Kumar , Kumar Dheenadayalan , Suprabath Reddy , Sumant Kulkarni

Temporal aggregation is an intuitively appealing approach to deal with demand uncertainty. There are two types of temporal aggregation: non-overlapping and overlapping. Most of the supply chain forecasting literature has focused so far on…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-31 Bahman Rostami-Tabar , Mohamed Zied Babai , Aris Syntetos

Current time-series forecasting problems use short-term weather attributes as exogenous inputs. However, in specific time-series forecasting solutions (e.g., demand prediction in the supply chain), seasonal climate predictions are crucial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Smit Marvaniya , Jitendra Singh , Nicolas Galichet , Fred Ochieng Otieno , Geeth De Mel , Kommy Weldemariam

Forecasting with longitudinal data has been rarely studied. Most of the available studies are for continuous response and all of them are for univariate response. In this study, we consider forecasting multivariate longitudinal binary data.…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-13 Ozgur Asar , Ozlem Ilk

This work presents a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network for forecasting a monthly electricity demand time series with a one-year horizon. The novelty of this work is the use of pattern representation of the seasonal time series as an…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-29 Paweł Pełka , Grzegorz Dudek

Advancements in smart metering technologies have significantly improved the ability to monitor and manage water utilities. In the context of increasing uncertainty due to climate change, securing water resources and supply has emerged as an…

Early and timely prediction of patient care demand not only affects effective resource allocation but also influences clinical decision-making as well as patient experience. Accurately predicting patient care demand, however, is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Annie Hu , Samuel Stockman , Xun Wu , Richard Wood , Bangdong Zhi , Oliver Y. Chén

Demand forecasting is a central component of the replenishment process for retailers, as it provides crucial input for subsequent decision making like ordering processes. In contrast to point estimates, such as the conditional mean of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 F. Wick , U. Kerzel , M. Hahn , M. Wolf , T. Singhal , D. Stemmer , J. Ernst , M. Feindt

In this paper, we present machine learning approaches for characterizing and forecasting the short-term demand for on-demand ride-hailing services. We propose the spatio-temporal estimation of the demand that is a function of variable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-08 Ismaïl Saadi , Melvin Wong , Bilal Farooq , Jacques Teller , Mario Cools

Production planning must account for uncertainty in a production system, arising from fluctuating demand forecasts. Therefore, this article focuses on the integration of updated customer demand into the rolling horizon planning cycle. We…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-27 Manuel Schlenkrich , Wolfgang Seiringer , Klaus Altendorfer , Sophie N. Parragh