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In machine learning (ML), a widespread claim is that the area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) is a superior metric for model comparison to the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) for tasks with class imbalance.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Matthew B. A. McDermott , Haoran Zhang , Lasse Hyldig Hansen , Giovanni Angelotti , Jack Gallifant

Accurate value estimates are important for off-policy reinforcement learning. Algorithms based on temporal difference learning typically are prone to an over- or underestimation bias building up over time. In this paper, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-24 Nicolai Dorka , Tim Welschehold , Joschka Boedecker , Wolfram Burgard

Uncertainty is prevalent in engineering design, data-driven problems, and decision making broadly. Due to inherent risk-averseness and ambiguity about assumptions, it is common to address uncertainty by formulating and solving conservative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-05 Johannes O. Royset

In medical practice, treatments are selected based on the expected causal effects on patient outcomes. Here, the gold standard for estimating causal effects are randomized controlled trials; however, such trials are costly and sometimes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-24 Dennis Frauen , Tobias Hatt , Valentyn Melnychuk , Stefan Feuerriegel

Verification bias is a well-known problem that may occur in the evaluation of predictive ability of diagnostic tests. When a binary disease status is considered, various solutions can be found in the literature to correct inference based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-10 Khanh To Duc , Monica Chiogna , Gianfranco Adimari

The last decade's research in artificial intelligence had a significant impact on the advance of autonomous driving. Yet, safety remains a major concern when it comes to deploying such systems in high-risk environments. The objective of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-16 Charles Corbière

In data containing heterogeneous subpopulations, classification performance benefits from incorporating the knowledge of cluster structure in the classifier. Previous methods for such combined clustering and classification either 1) are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-04 Shivin Srivastava , Siddharth Bhatia , Lingxiao Huang , Lim Jun Heng , Kenji Kawaguchi , Vaibhav Rajan

Area under ROC (AUC) is an important metric for binary classification and bipartite ranking problems. However, it is difficult to directly optimizing AUC as a learning objective, so most existing algorithms are based on optimizing a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-28 Siwei Lyu , Yiming Ying

Uncertainty quantification is critical for deploying deep neural networks (DNNs) in real-world applications. An Auxiliary Uncertainty Estimator (AuxUE) is one of the most effective means to estimate the uncertainty of the main task…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-14 Xuanlong Yu , Gianni Franchi , Jindong Gu , Emanuel Aldea

The ROC curve is the major tool for assessing not only the performance but also the fairness properties of a similarity scoring function. In order to draw reliable conclusions based on empirical ROC analysis, accurately evaluating the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Jean-Rémy Conti , Stéphan Clémençon

In machine learning contests such as the ImageNet Large Scale Visual Recognition Challenge and the KDD Cup, contestants can submit candidate solutions and receive from an oracle (typically the organizers of the competition) the accuracy of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-16 Jacob Whitehill

With model trustworthiness being crucial for sensitive real-world applications, practitioners are putting more and more focus on improving the uncertainty calibration of deep neural networks. Calibration errors are designed to quantify the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Sebastian G. Gruber , Florian Buettner

In a data-scarce field such as healthcare, where models often deliver predictions on patients with rare conditions, the ability to measure the uncertainty of a model's prediction could potentially lead to improved effectiveness of decision…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-26 Lotta Meijerink , Giovanni Cinà , Michele Tonutti

Diagnostic performance in medical AI varies systematically across demographic groups, yet subgroup AUC can mask clinically important disparities. At a fixed inference-time operating point, some groups may exhibit over-diagnostic behaviour,…

Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves are useful for evaluation in binary classification and changepoint detection, but difficult to use for learning since the Area Under the Curve (AUC) is piecewise constant (gradient zero almost…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Jadon Fowler , Toby Dylan Hocking

With the increase of the Electronic Health Records (EHR) data, more and more researchers are developing machine learning models to learn from the medical notes. These unstructured text data pose significant challenges on the learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Zijiang Yang

Many applications of AI involve scoring individuals using a learned function of their attributes. These predictive risk scores are then used to take decisions based on whether the score exceeds a certain threshold, which may vary depending…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-26 Robin Vogel , Aurélien Bellet , Stephan Clémençon

Defect prediction models that are trained on class imbalanced datasets (i.e., the proportion of defective and clean modules is not equally represented) are highly susceptible to produce inaccurate prediction models. Prior research compares…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-02-01 Chakkrit Tantithamthavorn , Ahmed E. Hassan , Kenichi Matsumoto

The Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC) is a widely used performance measure for imbalanced classification arising from many application domains where high-dimensional sparse data is abundant. In such cases, each $d$ dimensional sample has only…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-24 Baojian Zhou , Yiming Ying , Steven Skiena

The ROC curve is a statistical tool that analyses the accuracy of a diagnostic test in which a variable is used to decide whether an individual is healthy or not. Along with that diagnostic variable it is usual to have information of some…