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The resilience of electric power grids is threatened by natural hazards. Climate-related hazards are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. Statistical analyses clearly demonstrate a rise in the number of incidents (power…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-30 George Karagiannakis , Mathaios Panteli , Sotirios Argyroudis

Accurate next-day active fire forecasts can support early warning, disaster response, forest risk assessment, and downstream estimation of fire-related carbon emissions. Existing machine learning approaches to wildfire forecasting typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yuchen Bai , Georgios Athanasiou , Xin Yu , Diogenis Antonopoulos , Ioannis Papoutsis , Stijn Hantson , Nuno Carvalhais

Mediterranean ecosystems such as those found in California, Central Chile, Southern Europe, and Southwest Australia host numerous, diverse, fire-adapted micro-ecosystems. These micro-ecosystems are as diverse as mountainous conifer to…

The ongoing California drought has highlighted the potential vulnerability of state water management infrastructure to multi-year dry intervals. Due to the high complexity of the network, dynamic storage changes across the California…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-28 Armeen Taeb , John T. Reager , Michael Turmon , Venkat Chandrasekaran

Wildfires, as an integral component of the Earth system, are governed by a complex interplay of atmospheric, oceanic, and terrestrial processes spanning a vast range of spatiotemporal scales. Modeling their global activity on large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Fan Xu , Wei Gong , Hao Wu , Lilan Peng , Nan Wang , Qingsong Wen , Xian Wu , Kun Wang , Xibin Zhao

Forest fires pose a natural threat with devastating social, environmental, and economic implications. The rapid and highly uncertain rate of spread of wildfires necessitates a trustworthy digital tool capable of providing real-time…

Thanks to recent advances in generative AI, computers can now simulate realistic and complex natural processes. We apply this capability to predict how wildfires spread, a task made difficult by the unpredictable nature of fire and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Wenbo Yu , Anirbit Ghosh , Tobias Sebastian Finn , Rossella Arcucci , Marc Bocquet , Sibo Cheng

he evaluation of the impact of actions undertaken is essential in management. This paper assesses the impact of efforts considered to mitigate risk and create safe environments on a global scale. We measure this impact by looking at the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Christian Mulomba Mukendi , Hyebong Choi

The global occurrence, scale, and frequency of wildfires pose significant threats to ecosystem services and human livelihoods. To effectively quantify and attribute the antecedent conditions for wildfires, a thorough understanding of Earth…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Ilektra Karasante , Lazaro Alonso , Ioannis Prapas , Akanksha Ahuja , Nuno Carvalhais , Ioannis Papoutsis

Understanding the dynamics of wildfire is crucial for developing management and intervention strategies. Mathematical and computational models can be used to improve our understanding of wildfire processes and dynamics. This paper presents…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-02 Cordula Reisch , Adrián Navas-Montilla , Ilhan Özgen-Xian

Recent research has demonstrated the potential of deep neural networks (DNNs) to accurately predict wildfire spread on a given day based upon high-dimensional explanatory data from a single preceding day, or from a time series of T…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Saad Lahrichi , Jake Bova , Jesse Johnson , Jordan Malof

With climate change intensifying fire weather conditions globally, accurate seasonal wildfire forecasting has become critical for disaster preparedness and ecosystem management. We introduce FireCastNet, a novel deep learning architecture…

Wildfire frequency is increasing as the climate changes, and the resulting air pollution poses health risks. Just as people routinely use hourly weather forecasts to plan their day's activities around precipitation, reliable hourly air…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Renato Berlinghieri , David R. Burt , Paolo Giani , Arlene M. Fiore , Tamara Broderick

Wildfires pose a severe challenge to ecosystems and human settlements, exacerbated by climate change and environmental factors. Traditional wildfire modeling, while useful, often fails to adapt to the rapid dynamics of such events. This…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Abdelrahman Ramadan

Atlantic Canada faces significant hurricane threats from damaging winds and coastal flooding that are projected to intensify under climate change. This study adopts a two-stage framework. First, the evolution of wind and coastal-flood…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-24 Saeed Saviz Naeini , Reda Snaiki , Alejandro Di Luca

Wildfire evacuation behavior is highly variable and influenced by complex interactions among household resources, preparedness, and situational cues. Using a large-scale MTurk survey of residents in California, Colorado, and Oregon, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Sazzad Bin Bashar Polock , Anandi Dutta , Subasish Das

Increases in wildfire activity and the resulting impacts have prompted the development of high-resolution wildfire behavior models for forecasting fire spread. Recent progress in using satellites to detect fire locations further provides…

The understanding and prediction of large wildland fire events around the world is a growing interdisciplinary research area advanced rapidly by development and use of computational models. Recent models bidirectionally couple computational…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-07-06 J. L. Coen , W. Schroeder , S. Conway , L. Tarnay

Disparity in suicide rates between urban and suburban/rural areas is growing, with rural areas typically witnessing higher suicide rates in the U.S. However, previous studies often ignored the effect of socio-environmental factors on the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-19 Sayanti Mukherjee , Zhiyuan Wei

Utilities in California conduct Public Safety Power Shut-offs (PSPSs) to eliminate the elevated chances of wildfire ignitions caused by power lines during extreme weather conditions. We propose Wildfire Risk Aware operation planning Problem…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-15 Reza Bayani , Muhammad Waseem , Saeed D. Manshadi , Hassan Davani