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We consider the problem of modelling the term structure of defaultable bonds, under minimal assumptions on the default time. In particular, we do not assume the existence of a default intensity and we therefore allow for the possibility of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-03 Claudio Fontana , Thorsten Schmidt

The two main approaches in credit risk are the structural approach pioneered in Merton (1974) and the reduced-form framework proposed in Jarrow & Turnbull (1995) and in Artzner & Delbaen (1995). The goal of this article is to provide a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-14 Frank Gehmlich , Thorsten Schmidt

A market with defaultable bonds where the bond dynamics is in a Heath-Jarrow-Morton setting and the forward rates are driven by an infinite number of Levy factors is considered. The setting includes rating migrations driven by a Markov…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-24 Jacek Jakubowski , Mariusz Nieweglowski

This paper considers general term structure models like the ones appearing in portfolio credit risk modelling or life insurance. We give a general model starting from families of forward rates driven by infinitely many Brownian motions and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-27 Stefan Tappe , Thorsten Schmidt

Overnight rates, such as the SOFR (Secured Overnight Financing Rate) in the US, are central to the current reform of interest rate benchmarks. A striking feature of overnight rates is the presence of jumps and spikes occurring at…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-14 Claudio Fontana , Zorana Grbac , Thorsten Schmidt

We develop a unified framework for modeling multiple term structures arising in financial, insurance, and energy markets, adopting an extended Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) approach under the real-world probability. We study market viability…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-18 Claudio Fontana , Eckhard Platen , Stefan Tappe

We develop a general term structure framework taking stochastic discontinuities explicitly into account. Stochastic discontinuities are a key feature in interest rate markets, as for example the jumps of the term structures in…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-28 Claudio Fontana , Zorana Grbac , Sandrine Gümbel , Thorsten Schmidt

We give a comprehensive review of credit term structure modeling methodologies. The conventional approach to modeling credit term structure is summarized and shown to be equivalent to a particular type of the reduced form credit risk model,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-12-29 Arthur M. Berd

In this paper, we study term structure movements in the spirit of Heath, Jarrow, and Morton [Econometrica 60(1), 77-105] under volatility uncertainty. We model the instantaneous forward rate as a diffusion process driven by a G-Brownian…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-06 Julian Hölzermann

We provide a unified framework for modeling LIBOR rates using general semimartingales as driving processes and generic functional forms to describe the evolution of the dynamics. We derive sufficient conditions for the model to be…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-12 Kathrin Glau , Zorana Grbac , Antonis Papapantoleon

We consider a generalization of the Heath Jarrow Morton model for the term structure of interest rates where the forward rate is driven by Paretian fluctuations. We derive a generalization of It\^{o}'s lemma for the calculation of a…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Przemyslaw Repetowicz , Brian Lucey , Peter Richmond

The problem of existence of arbitrage free and monotone CDO term structure models is studied. Conditions for positivity and monotonicity of the corresponding Heath-Jarrow-Morton-Musiela equation for the $x$-forward rates with the use of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-11 Michał Barski

In this work we introduce Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) interest rate models driven by fractional Brownian motions. By using support arguments we prove that the resulting model is arbitrage free under proportional transaction costs in the same…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-09 Alberto Ohashi

We investigate default-free bond markets where the standard relationship between a possibly existing bank account process and the term structure of bond prices is broken, i.e. the bank account process is not a valid num\'eraire. We argue…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-02 Irene Klein , Thorsten Schmidt , Josef Teichmann

L\'evy driven term structure models have become an important subject in the mathematical finance literature. This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the L\'evy driven Heath-Jarrow-Morton type term structure equation. This includes a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-21 Damir Filipović , Stefan Tappe

SOFR derivatives market remains illiquid and incomplete so it is not amenable to classical risk-neutral term structure models which are based on the assumption of perfect liquidity and completeness. This paper develops a statistical SOFR…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-18 Teemu Pennanen , Waleed Taoum

In credit risk literature, the existence of an equivalent martingale measure is stipulated as one of the main assumptions in the hazard process model. Here we show by construction the existence of a measure that turns the discounted stock…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-28 Marek Capiński , Tomasz Zastawniak

We model the term structure of the forward default intensity and the default density by using L\'evy random fields, which allow us to consider the credit derivatives with an after-default recovery payment. As applications, we study the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-14 Lijun Bo , Ying Jiao , Xuewei Yang

We introduce the concept of no-arbitrage in a credit risk market under ambiguity considering an intensity-based framework. We assume the default intensity is not exactly known but lies between an upper and lower bound. By means of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-25 Tolulope Fadina , Thorsten Schmidt

No-arbitrage models of term structure have the feature that the return on zero-coupon bonds is the sum of the short rate and the product of volatility and market price of risk. Well known models restrict the behavior of the market price of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-05-21 Hassan Allouba , Victor Goodman
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