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Early on during a pandemic, vaccine availability is limited, requiring prioritisation of different population groups. Evaluating vaccine allocation is therefore a crucial element of pandemics response. In the present work, we develop a…

The sudden and rapid spread of the COVID_19 pandemic with its terrible consequences has put the management of governments and the various world institutions into a crisis. They have been subjected to a considerable economic effort to be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-08 Rehana Naz , Andrew Omame , Mariano Torrisi

Background: During 2021 several new variants of the SARS-CoV-2 virus appeared with both increased levels of transmissibility and virulence with respect to the original wild variant. The Delta (B.1.617.2) variation, first seen in India,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-17 William A. Barletta

The recent global surge in COVID-19 infections has been fueled by new SARS-CoV-2 variants, namely Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta, etc. The molecular mechanism underlying such surge is elusive due to 4,653 non-degenerate mutations on the spike…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-13 Rui Wang , Jiahui Chen , Yuta Hozumi , Changchuan Yin , Guo-Wei Wei

We introduce a novel compartmental model accounting for the effects of vaccine efficacy, deployment rates and timing of initiation of deployment. We simulate different scenarios and initial conditions, and we find that higher abundancy and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-28 Omar El Deeb , Maya Jalloul

Motivated by massive outbreaks of COVID-19 that occurred even in populations with high vaccine uptake, we propose a novel multi-population temporal network model for the spread of recurrent epidemic diseases. We study the effect of human…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-09-19 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

In a world being hit by waves of COVID-19, vaccination is a light on the horizon. However, the roll-out of vaccination strategies and their influence on the pandemic are still open problems. In order to compare the effect of various…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-23 N. L. Barreiro , C. I. Ventura , T. Govezensky , M. Núñez , P. G. Bolcatto , R. A. Barrio

In this paper, we estimate the seroprevalence against COVID-19 by country and derive the seroprevalence over the world. To estimate seroprevalence, we use serological surveys (also called the serosurveys) conducted within each country. When…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-01 Kwangmin Lee , Seongmin Kim , Seongil Jo , Jaeyong Lee

Studies of HPV vaccine efficacy usually record infections with vaccine targeted and nontargeted strains. Contrary to blinded randomized controlled trials, confounding bias can be a threat and risk compensation may occur in observational…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Lola Etievant

The COVID-19 is sweeping the world with deadly consequences. Its contagious nature and clinical similarity to other pneumonias make separating subjects contracted with COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 viral pneumonia a priority and a challenge.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-15 Forrest Sheng Bao , Youbiao He , Jie Liu , Yuanfang Chen , Qian Li , Christina R. Zhang , Lei Han , Baoli Zhu , Yaorong Ge , Shi Chen , Ming Xu , Liu Ouyang

For time-to-event data with finitely many competing risks, the proportional hazards model has been a popular tool for relating the cause-specific outcomes to covariates [Prentice et al. Biometrics 34 (1978) 541--554]. This article studies…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-04 Yanqing Sun , Peter B. Gilbert , Ian W. McKeague

With the approval of vaccines for the coronavirus disease by many countries worldwide, most developed nations have begun, and developing nations are gearing up for the vaccination process. This has created an urgent need to provide a…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Mahzabeen Emu , Dhivya Chandrasekaran , Vijay Mago , Salimur Choudhury

We investigated the negative relationship between mortality and COVID-19 vaccination at ecological level, which has been established through clinical trials and other investigations at the individual level. We conducted an exploratory,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-26 Cosima Rughinis , Mihai Dima , Simona-Nicoleta Vulpe , Razvan Rughinis , Sorina Vasile

Governments and public health authorities use seroprevalence studies to guide responses to the COVID-19 pandemic. Seroprevalence surveys estimate the proportion of individuals who have detectable SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. However, serologic…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-11 Samuel P. Rosin , Bonnie E. Shook-Sa , Stephen R. Cole , Michael G. Hudgens

The demand for improved efficiency and accuracy in vaccine safety assessments is increasing. Here, we explore the application of computer vision technologies to automate the monitoring of experimental mice for potential side effects after…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Chuang Li , Shuai Shao , Willian Mikason , Rubing Lin , Yantong Liu

Non-pharmacological interventions (NPIs), and in particular social distancing, in conjunction with the advent of effective vaccines at the end of 2020, aspired for the development of a protective immunity shield against the spread of…

This study assesses the impact of COVID-19 vaccines through an epidemiological model that quantifies their role in pandemic control. We analyze an SIR-based model incorporating vaccination effects and calculate the basic reproduction…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Tesfalem Abate Tegegn , Yibeltal Adane Terefe

There are several reasons why the fear of vaccination has caused population rejection. Questions have been raised by students regarding the effectiveness of vaccines, which in turn has led to vaccination hesitancy. Students perceptions are…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Ashraf Elnagar , Imad Afyouni , Ismail Shahin , Ali Bou Nassif , Said A. Salloum

Understanding vaccine effects on post-infection outcomes is critical for evaluating the full value proposition of a vaccine. However, defining appropriate causal effects on such outcomes is challenging because infection is affected by…

This study examines the roles of public and private sector actors in the development of mRNA vaccines, a breakthrough innovation in modern medicine. Using a dataset of 151 core patent families and 2,416 antecedent (cited) patents, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-03-19 Rossana Mastrandrea , Fabio Montobbio , Gabriele Pellegrino , Massimo Riccaboni , Valerio Sterzi