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Related papers: Estimating Vaccine Efficacy Over Time After a Rand…

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In this article, we propose a theory to explain the reduction in vaccine effectiveness (VE) against the Delta SARS-CoV-2 variant and decreasing VE over time reported in recent studies. Using a model illustration, we show that in-host viral…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-09 Wan Yang , Jeffrey Shaman

We develop semiparametric methods for estimating subgroup-specific relative vaccine efficacy against multiple viral strains in a partially vaccinated population. Focusing on observational case-only studies, we address informative…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-12 Lars van der Laan , Peter B. Gilbert

Suppose one has data from one or more completed vaccine efficacy trials and wishes to estimate the efficacy in a new setting. Often logistical or ethical considerations make running another efficacy trial impossible. Fortunately, if there…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-25 Alexander R. Luedtke , Peter B. Gilbert

Based on the information communicated in press releases, and finally published towards the end of 2020 by Pfizer, Moderna and AstraZeneca, we have built up a simple Bayesian model, in which the main quantity of interest plays the role of…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-07 Giulio D'Agostini , Alfredo Esposito

The phase III BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine trial is based on a Bayesian design and analysis, and the main evidence of vaccine efficacy is presented in Bayesian statistics. Confusion and mistakes are produced in the presentation of the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-10 Yuan Ji , Shijie Yuan

COVID-19 vaccines are highly efficacious at preventing symptomatic infection, severe disease, and death. Most of the evidence that COVID-19 vaccines also reduce transmission of SARS-CoV-2 is based on retrospective, observational studies.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-16 Marlena S. Bannick , Fei Gao , Elizabeth R. Brown , Holly E. Janes

The paper introduces a novel approach to global sensitivity analysis, grounded in the variance-covariance structure of random variables derived from random measures. The proposed methodology facilitates the application of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-20 Caleb Deen Bastian , Herschel Rabitz , Grzegorz A Rempala

Qatar has undergone distinct waves of COVID-19 infections, compounded by the emergence of variants, posing additional complexities. This research uniquely delves into the varied efficacy of existing vaccines and the pivotal role of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-29 Elizabeth Amona , Indranil Sahoo , Edward Boone , Ryad Ghanam

RNA-based vaccination has been broadly applied in the COVID pandemic. A characteristic of the immunization was fast waning immunity. However, the time scale of this process varied considerable for virus subtypes and among individuals.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-10 Juan Magalang , Tyll Krueger , Joerg Galle

Transforming a vaccine concept into a real vaccine product is a complicated process and includes finding suitable antigens and regulatory, technical, and manufacturing obstacles. A relevant issue within this scope is the clinical trial…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Ivan da Silva Sendin , Rodrigo Sanches Miani

I present here longitudinal evaluation of T and B cell immunity to SARS-CoV2 and variants of concern (VOC) from a single subject (me) over an entire year post vaccination. After enrolling in the Moderna phase III clinical trial, I collected…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-07 Ross M. Kedl

Motivated by the increasing number of COVID-19 cases that have been observed in many countries after the vaccination and relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions, we propose a mathematical model on time-varying networks for the spread…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-09 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

In the 21st century, several emergent viruses have posed a global threat. Each pathogen has emphasized the value of rapid and scalable vaccine development programs. The ongoing SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has made the importance of such efforts…

Background: Recently, a high number of daily positive COVID-19 cases have been reported in regions with relatively high vaccination rates; hence, booster vaccination has become necessary. In addition, infections caused by the different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-26 Essam A. Rashed , Sachiko Kodera , Akimasa Hirata

Safe and effective preventive vaccines have the potential to help stem the HIV epidemic. The efficacy of such vaccines is typically measured in randomized, double-blind phase IIb/III trials and described as a reduction in newly acquired HIV…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Yutong Jin , Alex Luedtke , Zoe Moodie , Holly Janes , David Benkeser

With the emergence and spread of infectious diseases with pandemic potential, such as COVID- 19, the urgency for vaccine development have led to unprecedented compressed and accelerated schedules that shortened the standard development…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-22 Jiayue Wang , Ben Boukai

The test-negative design (TND), which is routinely used for monitoring seasonal flu vaccine effectiveness (VE), has recently become integral to COVID-19 vaccine surveillance, notably in Qu\'ebec, Canada. Some studies have addressed the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-13 Cong Jiang , Denis Talbot , Sara Carazo , Mireille E Schnitzer

With the present highly infectious dominant SARS-CoV-2 strain of B1.1.529 or Omicron spreading around the globe, there is concern that the COVID-19 pandemic will not end soon and that it will be a race against time until a more contagious…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-26 Chottiwatt Jittprasong

The COVID-19 pandemic has made a huge global impact and cost millions of lives. As COVID-19 vaccines were rolled out, they were quickly met with widespread hesitancy. To address the concerns of hesitant people, we launched VIRA, a public…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Shai Gretz , Assaf Toledo , Roni Friedman , Dan Lahav , Rose Weeks , Naor Bar-Zeev , João Sedoc , Pooja Sangha , Yoav Katz , Noam Slonim

In response to COVID-19, many countries have mandated social distancing and banned large group gatherings in order to slow down the spread of SARS-CoV-2. These social interventions along with vaccines remain the best way forward to reduce…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-11 George Li , Ann Li , Madhav Marathe , Aravind Srinivasan , Leonidas Tsepenekas , Anil Vullikanti