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Hierarchical modeling is wonderful and here to stay, but hyperparameter priors are often chosen in a casual fashion. Unfortunately, as the number of hyperparameters grows, the effects of casual choices can multiply, leading to considerably…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 James O. Berger , William Strawderman , Dejun Tang

An admissible estimator of the eigenvalues of the variance-covariance matrix is given for multivariate normal distributions with respect to the scale-invariant squared error loss.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-01-14 Yo Sheena , Akimichi Takemura

We derive minimax generalized Bayes estimators of regression coefficients in the general linear model with spherically symmetric errors under invariant quadratic loss for the case of unknown scale. The class of estimators generalizes the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-14 Yuzo Maruyama , William E. Strawderman

Consider the problem of estimating a multivariate normal mean with a known variance matrix, which is not necessarily proportional to the identity matrix. The coordinates are shrunk directly in proportion to their variances in Efron and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-29 Zhiqiang Tan

We consider evaluating improper priors in a formal Bayes setting according to the consequences of their use. Let $\Phi$ be a class of functions on the parameter space and consider estimating elements of $\Phi$ under quadratic loss. If the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-07 Brian P. Shea , Galin L. Jones

We consider the problem of estimating the error variance in a general linear model when the error distribution is assumed to be spherically symmetric, but not necessary Gaussian. In particular we study the case of a scale mixture of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-18 Yuzo Maruyama , William E. Strawderman

For finite parameter spaces under finite loss, every Bayes procedure derived from a prior with full support is admissible, and every admissible procedure is Bayes. This relationship already breaks down once we move to finite-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-17 Haosui Duanmu , Daniel M. Roy

In the usual statistical inference problem, we estimate an unknown parameter of a statistical model using the information in the random sample. A priori information about the parameter is also known in several real-life situations. One such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-11 Lakshmi Kanta Patra , Constantinos Petropoulos , Shrajal Bajpai , Naresh Garg

Four distinct admissibility geometries govern sequential and distribution-free inference: Blackwell risk dominance over convex risk sets, anytime-valid admissibility within the nonnegative supermartingale cone, marginal coverage validity…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-26 Nicholas G. Polson , Daniel Zantedeschi

The empirical Bayes estimators in mixed models are useful for small area estimation in the sense of increasing precision of prediction for small area means, and one wants to know the prediction errors of the empirical Bayes estimators based…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-07 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

We consider the estimation of the mixing distribution of a normal distribution where both the shift and scale are unobserved random variables. We argue that in general, the model is not identifiable. We give an elegant non-constructive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-20 Ya'acov Ritov

We consider estimation in moment condition models and show that under any bound on identification strength, asymptotically admissible (i.e. undominated) estimators in a wide class of estimation problems must be uniformly continuous in the…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-11 Isaiah Andrews , Anna Mikusheva

We consider nonparametric Bayesian estimation inference using a rescaled smooth Gaussian field as a prior for a multidimensional function. The rescaling is achieved using a Gamma variable and the procedure can be viewed as choosing an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

We address the problem of producing a lower bound for the mean of a discrete probability distribution, with known support over a finite set of real numbers, from an iid sample of that distribution. Up to a constant, this is equivalent to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Erik Learned-Miller

In statistical inference, uncertainty is unknown and all models are wrong. That is to say, a person who makes a statistical model and a prior distribution is simultaneously aware that both are fictional candidates. To study such cases,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Sumio Watanabe

This paper argues that the half-Cauchy distribution should replace the inverse-Gamma distribution as a default prior for a top-level scale parameter in Bayesian hierarchical models, at least for cases where a proper prior is necessary. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-09-27 Nicholas G. Polson , James G. Scott

In various applied areas such as reliability engineering, molecular biology, finance, etc., the measure of uncertainty of a probability distribution plays an important role. In the present work, we consider the estimation of a function of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-09 Lakshmi Kanta Patra , Shrajal Bajpai , Neeraj Misra

Inferring the value of a property of a large stochastic system is a difficult task when the number of samples is insufficient to reliably estimate the probability distribution. The Bayesian estimator of the property of interest requires the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-01-26 Damián G. Hernández , Inés Samengo

We consider evaluation of proper posterior distributions obtained from improper prior distributions. Our context is estimating a bounded function $\phi$ of a parameter when the loss is quadratic. If the posterior mean of $\phi$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-10 Morris L. Eaton , James P. Hobert , Galin L. Jones , Wen-Lin Lai

This paper investigates the problem of estimating the larger location parameter of two general location families from a decision-theoretic perspective. In this estimation problem, we use the criteria of minimizing the risk function and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-26 Naresh Garg , Lakshmi Kanta Patra , Neeraj Misra