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Cross-validation is a popular non-parametric method for evaluating the accuracy of a predictive rule. The usefulness of cross-validation depends on the task we want to employ it for. In this note, I discuss a simple non-parametric setting,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-27 Stefan Wager

Evaluating the predictive performance of species distribution models (SDMs) under realistic deployment scenarios requires careful handling of spatial and temporal dependencies in the data. Cross-validation (CV) is the standard approach for…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-22 Diana Koldasbayeva , Alexey Zaytsev

The four principal energy conditions (ECs) in general relativity prohibit negative energies, repulsive gravity and superluminal energy flows. One must invoke exotic matter to violate any one of these, yet $\Lambda$CDM does so quite…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-29 Namit Chandak , Fulvio Melia , Junjie Wei

We present a model selection framework for the extraction of the CKM matrix element $|V_{cb}|$ from exclusive $B \to D^* l \nu$ decays. By framing the truncation of the Boyd-Grinstein-Lebed (BGL) parameterization as a model selection task,…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-12-11 Eric Persson , Florian Bernlochner

The LCDM model has been presented with a number of cosmic tensions in the face of precision cosmological data, suggesting the presence of a dynamical dark energy component. In this context, we investigate the cosmology arising from a…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-05-08 Matthew Debono , Jackson Levi Said , Gabriel Farrugia

It stands to reason that the amount and the quality of data is of key importance for setting up accurate AI-driven models. Among others, a fundamental aspect to consider is the bias introduced during sample selection in database generation.…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-10-01 Giovanni Trezza , Eliodoro Chiavazzo

Cosmological models beyond $\Lambda$CDM, like those featuring massive neutrinos or modifications of gravity, often display a characteristic change (scale-dependent suppression or enhancement) in the matter power spectrum when compared to a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-05-18 Farbod Hassani , Julian Adamek , Ruth Durrer , Martin Kunz

The complexity and accuracy of current and future precision cosmology observational campaigns has made it essential to develop an efficient technique for directly combining simulation and observational datasets to determine cosmological and…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 Katrin Heitmann , David Higdon , Charles Nakhleh , Salman Habib

Model-independent methods in cosmology has become an essential tool in order to deal with an increasing number of theoretical alternatives for explaining the late-time acceleration of the Universe. In principle, this provides a way of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-01-13 Vinicius C. Busti , Peter K. S. Dunsby , Alvaro de la Cruz-Dombriz , Diego Saez-Gomez

So far large and different data sets revealed the accelerated expansion rate of the Universe, which is usually explained in terms of dark energy. The nature of dark energy is not yet known, and several models have been introduced: a non…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-06-16 M. Demianski , E. Piedipalumbo , D. Sawant , L. Amati

Currently, the increasing availability of accurate cosmological probes leads to the emergence of tensions between data on the one hand and between theoretical predictions and direct observations on the other. Moreover, after 25 years since…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-06-27 M. Benetti , G. Bargiacchi , G. Risaliti , S. Capozziello , E. Lusso , M. Signorini

Non-concave penalized maximum likelihood methods, such as the Bridge, the SCAD, and the MCP, are widely used because they not only do parameter estimation and variable selection simultaneously but also have a high efficiency as compared to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-31 Yuta Umezu , Yusuke Shimizu , Hiroki Masuda , Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

The dark energy-cold dark matter paradigm ($\Lambda$CDM) has gained widespread acceptance because it explains the pattern of anisotropies observed in the cosmic microwave background radiation, the observed distribution of large scale…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2019-12-03 Robert H. Sanders

The absence of guidance from fundamental physics about the mechanism behind cosmic acceleration has given rise to a number of alternative cosmological scenarios. These are based either on modifications of general relativistic gravitation…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-20 M. A. Dantas , J. S. Alcaniz , D. Mania , Bharat Ratra

We propose two methods to evaluate the conditional Akaike information (cAI) for nonlinear mixed-effects models with no restriction on cluster size. Method 1 is designed for continuous data and includes formulae for the derivatives of fixed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-22 Nan Zheng , Noel Cadigan , James T. Thorson

We propose two approaches for selecting variables in latent class analysis (i.e.,mixture model assuming within component independence), which is the common model-based clustering method for mixed data. The first approach consists in…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-08 Matthieu Marbac , Mohammed Sedki

Cross-validation is frequently used for model selection in a variety of applications. However, it is difficult to apply cross-validation to mixed effects models (including nonlinear mixed effects models or NLME models) due to the fact that…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-24 Emily Colby , Eric Bair

Current and upcoming cosmological surveys will produce unprecedented amounts of high-dimensional data, which require complex high-fidelity forward simulations to accurately model both physical processes and systematic effects which describe…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-11 Aizhan Akhmetzhanova , Carolina Cuesta-Lazaro , Siddharth Mishra-Sharma

We consider comparisons of statistical learning algorithms using multiple data sets, via leave-one-in cross-study validation: each of the algorithms is trained on one data set; the resulting model is then validated on each remaining data…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-02 Lorenzo Trippa , Levi Waldron , Curtis Huttenhower , Giovanni Parmigiani

When CMB data are used to derive cosmological parameters, their very choice does matter: some parameter values can be biased if the parameter space does not cover the "true" model. This is a problem, because of the difficulty to parametrize…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-06-23 Giuseppe La Vacca , Loris P. L. Colombo , Luca Vergani , Silvio A. Bonometto