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This paper studies model selection in semiparametric econometric models. It develops a consistent series-based model selection procedure based on a Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) type criterion to select between several classes of…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-11-28 Ivan Korolev

Most dark energy models have the $\Lambda$CDM as their limit, and if future observations constrain our universe to be close to $\Lambda$CDM Bayesian arguments about the evidence and the fine-tuning will have to be employed to discriminate…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-11-27 Olga Avsajanishvili , Yiwen Huang , Lado Samushia , Tina Kahniashvili

We introduce a novel cross-validation method that we call latinCV and we compare this method to other model selection methods using data generated from a stochastic block model. Comparing latinCV to other cross-validation methods, we show…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-11 Beau Dabbs , Brian Junker

We test three common information criteria (IC) for selecting the order of a Hawkes process with an intensity kernel that can be expressed as a mixture of exponential terms. These processes find application in high-frequency financial data…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-05 J. M. Chen , A. G. Hawkes , E. Scalas , M. Trinh

The correct use of model evaluation, model selection, and algorithm selection techniques is vital in academic machine learning research as well as in many industrial settings. This article reviews different techniques that can be used for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-12 Sebastian Raschka

When combining data sets to perform parameter inference, the results will be unreliable if there are unknown systematics in data or models. Here we introduce a flexible methodology, BACCUS: BAyesian Conservative Constraints and Unknown…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-07-04 José Luis Bernal , John A. Peacock

For several decades now, Bayesian inference techniques have been applied to theories of particle physics, cosmology and astrophysics to obtain the probability density functions of their free parameters. In this study, we review and compare…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-09-03 Joshua Albert , Csaba Balazs , Andrew Fowlie , Will Handley , Nicholas Hunt-Smith , Roberto Ruiz de Austri , Martin White

We present a comprehensive comparison of different Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling methods, evaluating their performance on both standard test problems and cosmological parameter estimation. Our analysis includes traditional…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-28 Denitsa Staicova

Kaniadakis Holographic Dark Energy is a one-parameter extension of the standard HDE framework, in which the horizon entropy is reformulated using Kaniadakis entropy. At the cosmological level, it has been shown to give rise to modified…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-23 Giuseppe Gaetano Luciano , Andronikos Paliathanasis

The cosmic distance duality relates the angular-diameter and luminosity distances and its possible violation may puzzle the standard cosmological model. This appears particularly interesting in view of the recent results found by the DESI…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-28 Anna Chiara Alfano , Orlando Luongo

Cross-validation plays a fundamental role in Machine Learning, enabling robust evaluation of model performance and preventing overestimation on training and validation data. However, one of its drawbacks is the potential to create data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Afonso Martini Spezia , Thomas Fontanari , Mariana Recamonde-Mendoza

Traditional probabilistic methods for the simulation of advection-diffusion equations (ADEs) often overlook the entropic contribution of the discretization, e.g., the number of particles, within associated numerical methods. Many times, the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-15 Nhat Thanh Tran , David A. Benson , Michael J. Schmidt , Stephen D. Pankavich

Bayesian inference is often used in cosmology and astrophysics to derive constraints on model parameters from observations. This approach relies on the ability to compute the likelihood of the data given a choice of model parameters. In…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-09-16 Joel Akeret , Alexandre Refregier , Adam Amara , Sebastian Seehars , Caspar Hasner

We compare the evolution of voids formed under the standard cosmological model and two alternative cosmological models. The two models are a quintessence model ($\phi$CDM) and a Coupled Dark Matter-Dark Energy (CDE) model, both of which…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-01 Eromanga Adermann , Pascal J Elahi , Geraint F Lewis , Chris Power

Recent astronomical observations of SNIa, CMB, as well as BAO in the Sloan Digital Sky Survey, suggest that the current Universe has entered a stage of an accelerated expansion with the transition redshift at $z \simeq 0.5$. While the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2010-11-11 Aleksandra Kurek , Marek Szydlowski

Creation of Cold Dark Matter (CCDM), in the context of Einstein Field Equations, leads to negative creation pressure, which can be used to explain the accelerated expansion of the Universe. In this work we tested six different spatially…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-10-04 J. F. Jesus , R. Valentim , F. Andrade-Oliveira

We use parameterized post-Friedmann (PPF) description for dark energy and apply ellipsoidal nested sampling to perform the Bayesian model selection method on different time-dependent dark energy models using a combination of $Planck$ and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-13 Mohsen Khorasani , Moein Mosleh , Ahmad Sheykhi

Noting the erroneous proclivity of information-theoretic approaches, like the Akaike information criterion (AIC), to select simpler models while performing model selection with a small sample size, we address the problem of new physics…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-08-12 Srimoy Bhattacharya , Soumitra Nandi , Sunando Kumar Patra , Shantanu Sahoo

Model Selection is a key part of many ecological studies, with Akaike's Information Criterion the most commonly used technique. Typically, a number of candidate models are defined a priori and ranked according to their expected…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-17 Edward Wheatcroft

Mixture model-based clustering has become an increasingly popular data analysis technique since its introduction over fifty years ago, and is now commonly utilized within a family setting. Families of mixture models arise when the component…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-11 Sanjeena Subedi , Paul D. McNicholas
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