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We provide a simple explicit estimator for discretely observed Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models, prove rigorously consistency and asymptotic normality based on the single assumption that all moments of the stationary distribution of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Friedrich Hubalek , Petra Posedel

We introduce a numerical procedure to evaluate directly the probabilities of large deviations of physical quantities, such as current or density, that are local in time. The large-deviation functions are given in terms of the typical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Cristian Giardina' , Jorge Kurchan , Luca Peliti

We obtain spectral estimates for the iterations of Ruelle operator $L_{f + (a + \i b)\tau + (c + \i d) g}$ with two complex parameters and H\"{o}lder functions $f,\: g$ generalizing the case $\Pr(f) =0$ studied in [PeS2]. As an application…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Vesselin Petkov , Luchezar Stoyanov

To derive the auto-covariance function from a sampled and time-limited signal or the cross-covariance function from two such signals, the mean values must be estimated and removed from the signals. If no a priori information about the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Holger Nobach

Gaussian process (GP) regression with 1D inputs can often be performed in linear time via a stochastic differential equation formulation. However, for non-Gaussian likelihoods, this requires application of approximate inference methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-20 Paul E. Chang , William J. Wilkinson , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Arno Solin

We present a general technique for computing large deviations of nonlinear functions of independent Bernoulli random variables. The method is applied to compute the large deviation rate functions for subgraph counts in sparse random graphs.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-02 Sourav Chatterjee , Amir Dembo

A desirable property of an autocovariance estimator is to be robust to the presence of additive outliers. It is well-known that the sample autocovariance, being based on moments, does not have this property. Hence, the use of an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-24 Céline Lévy-Leduc , Hélène Boistard , Eric Moulines , Murad S. Taqqu , Valderio A. Reisen

In this work, we study the properties of a pentadiagonal symmetric matrix with perturbed corners. More specifically, we present explicit expressions for characterizing when this matrix is non-negative and positive definite in two special…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-23 Maicon J. Karling , Artur O. Lopes , Silvia R. C. Lopes

Statistical inference on the explained variation of an outcome by a set of covariates is of particular interest in practice. When the covariates are of moderate to high-dimension and the effects are not sparse, several approaches have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-24 Hua Yun Chen

We establish a functional large deviation principle for fully connected multi-layer perceptrons with i.i.d. Gaussian weights (LeCun initialization) and general Lipschitz activation functions, including therefore the popular case of ReLU.…

This paper begins with a study of the exact distribution of the empirical correlation of two independent AR(1) processes with Gaussian increments. We proceed to develop rates of convergence for the distribution of the scaled empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Philip A. Ernst , Dongzhou Huang

In this paper we study the large deviation behavior of sums of i.i.d. random variables X_i defined on a supercritical Galton-Watson process Z. We assume the finiteness of the moments EX_1^2 and EZ_1log Z_1. The underlying interplay of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Klaus Fleischmann , Vitali Wachtel

Let $ \{X_j, j\in \Z\}$ be a Gaussian stationary sequence having a spectral function $F$ of infinite type. Then for all $n$ and $z\ge 0$,$$ \P\Big\{\sup_{j=1}^n |X_j|\le z \Big\}\le \Big(\int_{-z/\sqrt{G(f)}}^{z/\sqrt{G(f)}}…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-13 Michel J. G. Weber

In this monograph we develop magnetic pseudodifferential theory for operator-valued and equivariant operator-valued functions and distributions from first principles. These have found plentiful applications in mathematical physics,…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-10-13 Giuseppe De Nittis , Max Lein , Marcello Seri

We propose a novel nonparametric regression framework subject to the positive definiteness constraint. It offers a highly modular approach for estimating covariance functions of stationary processes. Our method can impose positive…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-27 Myeongjong Kang

It is shown by constructing Rohlins canonical measures that for a strictly stationary, d-dimensional vector-valued process X there exists another strictly stationary d-dimensional process U with uniform one-dimensional marginals and with…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Manfred Denker

Under the key assumption of finite {\rho}-variation, {\rho}\in[1,2), of the covariance of the underlying Gaussian process, sharp a.s. convergence rates for approximations of Gaussian rough paths are established. When applied to Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-07 Peter Friz , Sebastian Riedel

We introduce a novel Bayesian approach for both covariate selection and sparse precision matrix estimation in the context of high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models involving multiple responses. Our approach provides a sparse estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-25 Anwesha Chakravarti , Naveen N. Narishetty , Feng Liang

This paper is devoted to studying the first-order variational analysis of non-convex and non-differentiable functions that may not be subdifferentially regular. To achieve this goal, we entirely rely on two concepts of directional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-22 Ashkan Mohammadi

We use the Bellman function method to give an elementary proof of a sharp weighted estimate for the Haar shifts, which is linear in the $A_2$ norm of the weight and in the complexity of the shift. Together with the representation of a…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2011-05-12 Sergei Treil